Monthly-Week — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

$17

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-01 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 0% $-2

Other

27% — —

Politics

23% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes		-122	$8	7¢	$-9	$-17	06-22 12:16
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes		-60	$-19	13¢	$-8	+$11	05-29 16:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	9	$3.5K	9,685	7,285	+2,400	open	—	06-02 06:47
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$3.4K	4,732	0	+4,732	open	—	04-09 09:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	9	$2.8K	2,934	2,573	+361	open	—	05-29 16:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.3K	6,200	0	+6,200	open	—	05-24 18:08
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$819	85,081	0	+85,081	open	—	05-21 13:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$743	572	572	+0	open	—	06-12 11:49
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$739	84,860	0	+84,860	open	—	05-21 13:25
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	9	$662	2,478	1,518	+960	open	—	06-26 10:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$605	337	337	+0	open	—	06-12 13:51
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	10	$377	87	385	-298	open	—	06-03 21:06
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	4	$359	303	303	+0	open	—	06-13 04:52
will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	2	$300	638	0	+638	open	—	06-12 14:53
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	2	$235	221	280	-60	open	—	05-29 16:38
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	2	$223	123	123	+0	open	—	06-15 07:33
will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	3	$182	250	250	+0	open	—	06-05 14:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$182	152	152	+0	open	—	06-12 10:29
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$139	229	229	+0	open	—	06-08 05:14
Will Trump say "Gay" in June?	7	$120	77	77	+0	open	—	06-03 10:41
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$100	98	163	-65	open	—	04-09 06:48
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$97	112	112	+0	open	—	04-23 14:45
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	3	$95	571	0	+571	open	—	06-29 11:07
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$88	56	56	+0	open	—	01-09 10:12
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	2	$77	303	303	+0	open	—	04-23 14:46
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	3	$76	96	46	+50	open	—	06-09 05:09
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	3	$74	389	0	+389	open	—	05-21 11:06
will cristiano ronaldo score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406403	2	$73	100	100	+0	open	—	06-22 12:16
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	2	$58	2,580	0	+2,580	open	—	05-24 18:04
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	4	$58	220	342	-122	open	—	06-22 12:16
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	2	$57	100	100	+0	open	—	06-09 09:00
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$52	146	0	+146	open	—	05-15 06:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 12:29:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0x79d7a0…
06-29 11:07:22	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	251	4¢	$10	0x380cff…
06-28 14:33:14	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	252	18¢	$45	0x071702…
06-26 10:17:44	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	718	6¢	$43	0x9c8252…
06-25 14:06:29	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x326957…
06-22 12:32:13	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	264	22¢	$59	0x65fa32…
06-22 12:17:02	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	334	21¢	$69	0xbd9b44…
06-22 12:16:37	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	SELL	342	7¢	$25	0xd5cb20…
06-22 12:16:29	will cristiano ronaldo score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406403	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x5d90f0…
06-22 12:15:44	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	518	18¢	$94	0xb4ecce…
06-21 15:56:35	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x9e28b1…
06-19 06:40:41	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	77	5¢	$4	0x6a91a6…
06-16 12:34:49	will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x7d0a10…
06-16 12:34:42	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x274c38…
06-16 11:11:40	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	166	1¢	$2	0x358c4d…
06-16 08:04:19	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x662e47…
06-15 07:33:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0xa97408…
06-15 06:25:46	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	11¢	$9	0xd1f823…
06-15 06:25:24	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x2e6173…
06-13 04:52:58	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	303	61¢	$184	0x313f67…
06-12 14:59:52	will cristiano ronaldo score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406403	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xaa74b2…
06-12 14:53:37	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	Yes	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x306c9c…
06-12 14:53:04	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x15197a…
06-12 13:51:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	270	90¢	$244	0xebb3de…
06-12 13:51:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x8ccbd2…
06-12 13:51:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0xb802c2…
06-12 11:49:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	312	59¢	$184	0x213ec4…
06-12 11:45:57	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	1,220	2¢	$20	0x856bd2…
06-12 10:31:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xcdf730…
06-12 10:30:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0x141435…
06-12 10:29:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	260	61¢	$158	0xbea18d…
06-12 10:29:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	152	54¢	$82	0x07f477…
06-10 20:07:16	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xdb6fdf…
06-09 14:19:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x409f79…
06-09 09:00:39	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0xcd6e5e…
06-09 09:00:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	SELL	118	15¢	$18	0xabfcc5…
06-09 08:57:18	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x353ec0…
06-09 08:57:07	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x6e4127…
06-09 07:42:25	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x01cc1c…
06-09 06:12:33	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x48af76…
06-09 05:09:12	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe7f069…
06-09 05:08:13	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0xad92e5…
06-08 14:25:00	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x40ccdb…
06-08 14:10:43	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	BUY	71	15¢	$11	0xa4af72…
06-08 14:10:13	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	15¢	$9	0xd9ce1a…
06-08 14:10:04	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	BUY	86	15¢	$13	0x625393…
06-08 12:34:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x70af33…
06-08 12:23:03	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,441	16¢	$231	0xa63404…
06-08 11:17:07	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	77	10¢	$8	0x870b95…
06-08 11:16:16	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xc22e26…
06-08 09:31:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0x890893…
06-08 05:15:39	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x51a5e6…
06-08 05:15:19	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x9ad0ae…
06-08 05:14:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	229	54¢	$123	0x024f0d…
06-05 16:43:19	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x5a25e2…
06-05 16:42:48	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8fd87d…
06-05 14:29:15	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	188	68¢	$128	0xc4ab38…
06-04 15:08:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	229	7¢	$16	0xbc941e…
06-04 15:07:33	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	62	27¢	$17	0x827a0a…
06-04 11:25:06	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	79	58¢	$46	0xb2e676…
06-04 11:23:06	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x680d16…
06-04 10:30:27	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0x21b266…
06-03 21:06:21	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	150	97¢	$145	0xfa4e5e…
06-03 14:33:37	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd4af06…
06-03 14:33:21	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe909fc…
06-03 11:53:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0x0b00d5…
06-03 11:53:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0xf7429c…
06-03 10:41:01	Will Trump say "Gay" in June?	Yes	SELL	77	85¢	$66	0x2e7865…
06-03 09:10:48	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	250	15¢	$38	0x179f04…
06-03 09:04:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0x84568d…
06-03 08:36:04	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xf8ba54…
06-03 06:04:59	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xdb39c5…
06-03 05:08:10	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x852324…
06-02 16:38:52	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x48ef8a…
06-02 16:07:34	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	470	0¢	$1	0xe25ca5…
06-02 15:07:22	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xd2e4e5…
06-02 13:59:34	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x61ec45…
06-02 13:52:23	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0x6cafa0…
06-02 13:45:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x550a59…
06-02 12:43:44	Will Trump say "Gay" in June?	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x0bc2b1…
06-02 12:31:32	Will Trump say "Gay" in June?	Yes	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x52d9d3…
06-02 12:31:30	Will Trump say "Gay" in June?	Yes	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0xdbf8eb…
06-02 12:31:30	Will Trump say "Gay" in June?	Yes	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x27c871…
06-02 12:31:29	Will Trump say "Gay" in June?	Yes	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0xe73f94…
06-02 12:31:29	Will Trump say "Gay" in June?	Yes	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x2fe98f…
06-02 12:29:07	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xdc22ea…
06-02 12:26:45	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x06ed0a…
06-02 08:42:59	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x5cefcc…
06-02 06:47:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,100	1¢	$10	0x472cf7…
06-02 04:51:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,300	0¢	$5	0xf219cf…
06-02 04:46:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,500	0¢	$10	0x94141c…
06-01 21:17:59	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x6d2d68…
06-01 20:18:48	Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x185b84…
06-01 20:06:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,500	0¢	$7	0x5fc42d…
06-01 19:54:34	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x19c9ab…
06-01 19:48:59	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x134083…
06-01 19:46:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x95cd56…
06-01 19:45:45	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb2b024…
06-01 17:06:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,426	100¢	$2,421	0x6f916f…
06-01 13:58:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,546	38¢	$584	0x9167ef…