Bumpy-Revival — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97

Unrealized P&L

+$1.57K

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

170

Trades

1,166

lifetime

Volume

$131.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

$8.77K

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 09:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Sports

65% 54% -$2,025

Other

23% 55% +$957

Politics

11% 59% +$971

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+4,726	$3,668	94¢	$4.5K	+$799	10-10 21:33
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+1,434	$641	70¢	$1.0K	+$370	05-16 23:26
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	+1,391	$981	68¢	$953	-$28	10-28 06:23
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,000	$445	72¢	$715	+$270	05-26 04:25
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	+441	$346	88¢	$391	+$45	10-20 04:11
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	+460	$235	76¢	$347	+$113	07-22 20:14
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+1,051	$292	26¢	$279	-$13	10-03 03:24
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	-167	-$138	82¢	$-137	+$1	10-29 22:06
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	+169	$80	80¢	$136	+$56	08-18 15:19
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	+400	$124	32¢	$126	+$2	10-30 03:18
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,000	$130	11¢	$110	-$20	10-30 09:48
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+255	$79	32¢	$80	+$1	08-01 20:42
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	+450	$43	5¢	$22	-$21	06-12 16:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nfl hou pit 2026 01 12	1	$5.1K	8,600	0	+8,600	Texans	+$3,526	01-12 20:48
nba uta cle 2026 01 12 1h spread home 7pt5	1	$5.0K	10,140	0	+10,140	Cavaliers	+$5,171	01-12 21:21
nhl min lak 2026 01 05	120	$4.8K	5,263	4,842	+421	Kings	+$0	01-06 05:44
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	63	$4.2K	5,654	0	+5,654	No	+$1,432	06-01 04:17
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	8	$4.0K	11,695	889	+10,806	No	-$3,443	02-03 00:15
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	8	$3.7K	4,726	0	+4,726	open	—	10-10 21:33
nba bos det 2026 01 19 spread home 3pt5	4	$3.1K	6,740	0	+6,740	Celtics	-$3,110	01-19 23:00
nhl wsh ott 2026 01 01	9	$3.1K	2,751	2,751	+0	Senators	+$28	01-01 15:27
cbb prov marq 2026 01 19 spread home 1pt5	39	$3.1K	6,150	0	+6,150	Providence Friars	-$3,092	01-20 00:31
will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	48	$3.0K	9,450	0	+9,450	Yes	-$3,024	06-27 00:52
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	34	$3.0K	4,889	0	+4,889	Yes	-$3,020	07-02 10:59
cbb wyom utahst 2026 01 28 spread home 13pt5	2	$2.9K	5,961	0	+5,961	Utah State Aggies	+$3,040	01-29 01:46
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	30	$2.8K	2,152	2,241	-89	Yes	+$62	01-22 00:14
nhl wpg fla 2026 01 31	2	$2.6K	4,726	0	+4,726	Jets	-$2,586	01-31 19:30
nba uta lac 2026 01 01	19	$2.5K	2,000	996	+1,004	Clippers	+$221	01-01 22:37
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 total 46pt5	3	$2.5K	3,367	2,000	+1,367	Under	-$615	02-08 16:42
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	1	$2.3K	4,060	0	+4,060	Seahawks	+$1,786	01-25 18:58
nba orl sas 2026 02 01 spread home 2pt5	11	$2.3K	4,639	0	+4,639	Spurs	-$2,261	02-02 01:08
nhl edm van 2026 01 17	1	$2.1K	3,425	0	+3,425	Oilers	+$1,336	01-17 19:31
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	19	$1.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	10-27 13:04
cbb utsa ntx 2026 01 21 total 138pt5	2	$1.8K	3,787	0	+3,787	Over	+$134	01-22 03:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$10	01-07 23:27
nhl wpg tor 2026 01 01	2	$1.6K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	Maple Leafs	+$450	01-01 21:27
will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	13	$1.5K	1,936	0	+1,936	No	+$436	07-02 10:30
nba det cle 2026 01 04 spread home 4pt5	3	$1.5K	1,982	982	+1,000	Pistons	-$450	01-04 18:25
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$1.4K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$57	03-01 20:50
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	18	$1.3K	2,800	0	+2,800	No	+$1,476	06-12 12:45
will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	6	$1.2K	2,237	0	+2,237	Yes	-$1,186	06-23 08:31
nhl bos chi 2026 01 17	9	$1.2K	1,605	605	+1,000	Bruins	+$470	01-17 21:08
nhl wpg chi 2026 01 19	1	$1.1K	2,595	0	+2,595	Blackhawks	+$1,453	01-19 20:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:48:00	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x0dd52a…
10-30 09:47:58	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	850	12¢	$101	0x5b3b6b…
10-30 03:18:45	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	76	31¢	$24	0x40cf65…
10-30 03:08:03	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	116	31¢	$36	0xb650be…
10-30 03:07:15	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0x210c69…
10-30 01:48:37	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x16b7ac…
10-30 01:28:55	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x7ea3be…
10-30 01:28:54	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x10e7a0…
10-30 01:28:46	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x6c2e44…
10-30 01:24:22	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	480	45¢	$216	0xc4560b…
10-30 01:01:28	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x1a728b…
10-30 00:38:48	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	497	13¢	$65	0xadadb1…
10-30 00:36:42	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xdb00cf…
10-30 00:34:21	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x228b46…
10-29 22:06:51	Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x884e3e…
10-29 13:01:28	Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x9084e4…
10-29 06:48:50	Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xd9eff1…
10-29 04:15:10	Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x24e98f…
10-28 06:23:08	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	1,000	68¢	$680	0x3c87c7…
10-27 13:04:33	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	481	65¢	$312	0xfd36ff…
10-27 12:42:53	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	136	65¢	$88	0xf59dff…
10-27 12:42:51	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xb754ac…
10-27 12:42:51	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	68	65¢	$44	0x7bdb5b…
10-27 12:42:51	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	324	65¢	$211	0x7b4f4b…
10-27 04:35:26	Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?	Yes	BUY	79	40¢	$32	0x95e07c…
10-27 04:34:00	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	86	65¢	$56	0xb452b4…
10-27 04:34:00	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	43	65¢	$28	0x2c7059…
10-27 04:25:32	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xafa00e…
10-27 04:24:42	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x8c2dc5…
10-27 02:39:02	Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x520fe7…
10-27 02:13:48	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x3cffcb…
10-27 02:10:59	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	184	65¢	$120	0x233d1a…
10-27 02:10:41	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x73c2c0…
10-27 01:40:17	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0x27d8dc…
10-27 01:25:41	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x375b00…
10-27 00:01:20	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	66	65¢	$43	0x34b2d4…
10-26 23:56:17	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x086b1f…
10-26 22:44:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	51	15¢	$8	0x2532e7…
10-26 22:42:15	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x20700f…
10-26 22:32:17	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x68168b…
10-26 22:32:17	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	143	65¢	$93	0x1f7994…
10-26 22:04:35	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x0ed15f…
10-26 22:04:35	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x096126…
10-26 21:58:26	Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	No	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x7e29bb…
10-26 21:56:26	Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	No	SELL	34	68¢	$23	0x49d85e…
10-26 21:51:54	Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	No	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x937f94…
10-26 21:49:33	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0x0b50f8…
10-26 21:45:48	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xa233b5…
10-26 21:45:48	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x7ef2de…
10-26 20:21:21	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf5d344…
10-26 20:21:21	Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x62b48b…
10-26 20:19:50	Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	No	BUY	58	66¢	$38	0x9741f0…
10-26 19:43:03	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x0fc572…
10-26 19:42:56	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	No	BUY	1,097	65¢	$713	0x34a387…
10-20 04:11:06	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x71ee49…
10-19 20:25:12	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5a54ce…
10-19 05:51:33	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	160	78¢	$125	0xc73df3…
10-19 04:51:41	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x74d1f7…
10-17 12:32:50	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xb95c32…
10-16 15:47:49	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x251858…
10-16 15:30:04	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	78	78¢	$61	0x204c2a…
10-16 14:35:24	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$3	0x3846ca…
10-16 09:53:54	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x88e274…
10-12 23:09:18	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6ddddd…
10-12 08:35:36	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4973a7…
10-11 16:31:46	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xdfe919…
10-10 21:33:10	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0x985963…
10-10 19:46:22	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	51	91¢	$47	0x4c8a93…
10-10 19:35:33	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	61	80¢	$49	0x0eb8c6…
10-09 14:54:09	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	BUY	1,400	19¢	$266	0xcdd2f5…
10-07 14:25:50	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	BUY	166	20¢	$33	0xe25873…
10-07 14:25:50	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x283836…
10-07 14:19:43	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xede3f7…
10-05 18:02:10	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x48f3c4…
10-05 17:49:01	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xb876eb…
10-05 17:27:53	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	BUY	59	20¢	$12	0xd2df7b…
10-05 02:10:23	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0e2185…
10-05 01:48:13	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xd5c74f…
10-04 23:28:49	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xbe693c…
10-03 05:47:59	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0x72d2e0…
10-03 03:24:24	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	105	29¢	$30	0xf383e3…
10-03 02:38:53	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x39f392…
10-02 13:43:35	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xfd6db4…
10-02 12:53:26	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	61	29¢	$18	0x74f7f2…
10-02 12:51:41	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	141	29¢	$41	0x2d8ff1…
10-02 12:49:20	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x767de3…
10-02 12:38:44	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	493	35¢	$172	0xab4c8d…
10-02 12:28:03	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xef4dc2…
10-02 11:00:06	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x8f77e5…
10-02 08:32:20	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1095ed…
10-02 08:29:41	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x9d7153…
10-02 08:19:39	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x181c93…
10-02 06:59:00	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xa4797d…
10-02 06:38:14	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xd2e09e…
10-02 00:01:17	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	391	77¢	$301	0x0c3436…
10-01 23:51:54	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	BUY	104	20¢	$21	0x8176e0…
10-01 15:26:56	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xf8cbb2…
10-01 15:20:18	Will Étienne Grandmont win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x66b50d…
10-01 15:19:38	Will Étienne Grandmont win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x56b7b2…
09-30 04:22:26	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0x35d4b3…