Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$664

Unrealized P&L

-$170

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

211

Trades

848

lifetime

Volume

$60.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

$3.51K

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 09:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

75% 82% -$1,450

Politics

14% 75% +$352

Crypto

9% 89% +$405

Sports

3% 100% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-512	-$474	96¢	$-492	-$18	09-14 13:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-556	-$267	88¢	$-486	-$220	07-15 00:05
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	-443	-$368	88¢	$-388	-$20	09-29 10:50
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	+291	$250	96¢	$280	+$30	10-12 17:19
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	-291	-$274	96¢	$-280	-$6	09-16 22:02
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	+278	$250	97¢	$270	+$20	07-09 06:19
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	+272	$250	96¢	$262	+$12	07-03 07:11
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	-401	-$337	63¢	$-253	+$84	09-24 15:23
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	+262	$241	95¢	$250	+$9	05-06 08:05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+275	$250	90¢	$246	-$4	07-16 14:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+305	$250	72¢	$221	-$29	10-29 00:19
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	No	+544	$125	12¢	$68	-$57	09-06 07:14
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	-225	-$40	6¢	$-12	+$28	05-05 09:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	9	$1.3K	750	750	+0	No	+$105	02-05 06:20
wta cristia alexand 2026 01 11	5	$1.0K	610	610	+0	Cristian	+$28	01-12 07:52
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	6	$705	412	412	+0	Yes	+$4	01-15 14:50
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	7	$650	956	0	+956	No	+$306	01-07 19:43
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-09-05?	9	$582	372	372	+0	No	+$5	09-05 19:17
kristi noem out by march 31	2	$570	364	364	+0	Yes	+$70	02-01 18:22
Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-02?	4	$567	368	368	+0	Yes	+$66	08-02 15:55
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$553	329	329	+0	No	+$53	03-10 15:23
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	2	$543	295	295	+0	No	+$42	07-18 21:50
atp sinner djokovi 2026 07 08	7	$542	317	317	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$41	07-10 15:58
spl ahl nsr 2026 01 02 nsr	2	$537	305	305	+0	No	+$37	01-02 19:16
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$536	447	447	+0	Yes	+$36	01-15 07:41
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-09-06?	3	$535	302	302	+0	Yes	+$33	09-06 11:38
cfb ore txtech 2026 01 01	2	$530	291	291	+0	Oregon	+$29	01-01 19:45
Will Santos FC win on 2026-09-06?	7	$529	283	283	+0	Yes	+$26	09-06 19:41
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-07-30?	3	$526	286	286	+0	Yes	+$23	07-30 17:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	2	$526	278	278	+0	No	+$26	10-26 17:22
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	2	$524	281	281	+0	No	+$24	04-25 18:14
efa mnu bha 2026 01 11 bha	5	$524	291	291	+0	Yes	+$23	01-11 18:09
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	3	$523	317	317	+0	open	—	08-12 04:21
mlb stl chc 2026 08 16	3	$522	278	278	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	+$21	08-16 20:57
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-18?	3	$520	281	281	+0	Yes	+$20	07-18 13:17
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	3	$520	281	281	+0	Belgium	+$20	07-01 21:37
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 16 2026 412	11	$519	281	279	+2	No	+$18	01-13 19:15
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-30?	4	$519	275	275	+0	No	+$15	07-22 18:33
will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	11	$517	278	278	+0	No	+$17	01-27 10:41
Will Torino FC win on 2026-09-01?	2	$517	275	275	+0	No	+$16	09-01 20:40
Will FC Blau-Weiß Linz win on 2026-07-24?	8	$516	363	363	+0	No	+$14	07-24 18:35
Will Young Boys Bern win on 2026-09-05?	3	$516	298	298	+0	No	+$15	09-05 17:34
sea ver tor 2026 01 04 ver	5	$514	275	275	+0	No	+$14	01-04 18:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 09:16:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in November?	No	BUY	374	67¢	$251	0x608144…
11-01 08:48:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?	No	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x559ee5…
11-01 06:53:58	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xa1f67f…
10-29 16:57:13	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x3efc0a…
10-29 06:33:19	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	41	82¢	$33	0x414f92…
10-29 00:19:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	305	82¢	$250	0xc1f925…
10-28 21:28:56	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x5287c9…
10-28 21:28:28	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xa8ee5e…
10-28 15:10:58	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	58	89¢	$52	0xe8036a…
10-28 15:10:31	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x5f5799…
10-27 16:13:48	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x954fce…
10-27 13:01:14	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x569748…
10-26 18:28:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	168	77¢	$130	0xc92f27…
10-26 18:24:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x495aaa…
10-26 18:24:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xf0ec5e…
10-26 18:24:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x0e40d7…
10-26 18:24:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x0250df…
10-26 18:24:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x22776f…
10-26 17:22:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	SELL	278	99¢	$276	0x22e953…
10-26 17:00:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x52ccfe…
10-26 16:08:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x2c74fa…
10-26 16:01:56	Will USD/BRL hit 4 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb0893e…
10-26 15:11:38	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	43	87¢	$37	0xc19528…
10-26 15:11:38	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xbee22c…
10-26 13:04:23	Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe7f4ec…
10-26 13:02:24	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x3a83e3…
10-26 11:42:59	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x246a43…
10-26 10:24:20	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x284000…
10-26 10:23:48	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0xb4e37a…
10-26 07:41:56	Will USD/BRL hit 4.25 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	85	95¢	$81	0x3064b2…
10-26 07:39:03	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	58	80¢	$46	0x638e1c…
10-12 17:19:33	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0xa23543…
10-12 17:19:33	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x2c5081…
10-12 17:19:33	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	257	86¢	$221	0x1c30d5…
10-04 04:31:13	Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x6412f9…
10-03 18:39:39	Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xdf74ba…
10-02 14:38:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	151	83¢	$125	0x079aeb…
10-02 09:44:18	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	281	90¢	$253	0x76eb5d…
10-02 09:24:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	278	90¢	$250	0x1c43fa…
10-01 08:59:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	193	65¢	$125	0xa21b1f…
09-30 15:47:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x991eb0…
09-30 15:47:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0x2de25e…
09-30 15:47:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	52	91¢	$47	0x85ae12…
09-30 15:46:35	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x34a927…
09-30 15:46:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x915dc9…
09-30 15:46:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3bf290…
09-30 15:46:32	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x288732…
09-30 15:46:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xbadd3d…
09-30 15:46:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3272cd…
09-30 15:46:29	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x89802e…
09-30 15:46:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xfeefa5…
09-30 15:46:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x337a03…
09-30 15:46:26	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xedddc9…
09-30 15:46:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x644799…
09-30 15:46:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x42c7b0…
09-30 15:46:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa4083b…
09-30 15:46:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb7e52c…
09-30 15:46:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7ea2f8…
09-30 15:46:20	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x805f4d…
09-30 15:46:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x4c991b…
09-30 15:46:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x0e453a…
09-30 15:46:17	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xfa93ed…
09-30 15:46:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x63f4db…
09-30 15:46:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x51f61a…
09-30 15:42:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa6069b…
09-30 15:42:38	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe7793c…
09-30 15:41:29	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xc559e1…
09-30 15:40:56	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x0e3c86…
09-30 15:40:20	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0xe44fe0…
09-30 15:40:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb29558…
09-30 15:40:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x14e374…
09-30 15:40:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8ba3f9…
09-30 15:40:06	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xd09ea9…
09-30 15:40:05	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x4bfd93…
09-30 14:11:41	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	78	70¢	$55	0x883911…
09-30 14:11:20	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x365c75…
09-30 12:47:32	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x6c733b…
09-30 12:47:26	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x74a713…
09-30 12:47:06	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x38c917…
09-30 12:39:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	45	80¢	$36	0x40b706…
09-29 18:34:08	Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	72	35¢	$25	0x97ffa4…
09-29 10:50:47	Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	443	83¢	$368	0x5c6945…
09-28 18:39:36	Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0x27c0e9…
09-28 12:23:39	Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	63	35¢	$22	0x687229…
09-28 12:23:39	Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x59dc09…
09-28 12:23:39	Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x53d271…
09-26 00:36:15	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	281	89¢	$250	0x494209…
09-24 15:23:15	Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	401	84¢	$337	0xe91deb…
09-21 09:08:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	No	BUY	31	89¢	$28	0xb37a31…
09-21 09:04:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	No	BUY	250	89¢	$222	0x624b41…
09-16 22:02:36	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	57	94¢	$54	0x0d215f…
09-16 21:51:10	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x3b39ad…
09-16 14:34:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	144	87¢	$125	0x25ded9…
09-15 21:53:54	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	210	94¢	$198	0xb0cfb0…
09-15 18:50:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	165	71¢	$117	0x0f2416…
09-15 15:33:16	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x3390b2…
09-15 14:44:13	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	161	78¢	$126	0xdf5dd1…
09-14 13:27:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	320	92¢	$294	0xb28d37…
09-14 12:48:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	92¢	$39	0xd21386…
09-10 21:40:03	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xc3b757…