Realized P&L
-$14.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$600
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved
572
Trades
5,104
lifetime
Volume
$525.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$51.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 19:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Politics
54% 51% -$11,300
Other
40% 50% -$423
Sports
5% 48% -$3,506
Crypto
1% 75% +$420
Tech
0% 67% +$104
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$443
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -5,787 -$5,520 98¢ $-5657 -$137 07-27 06:40
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -5,000 -$4,905 99¢ $-4952 -$47 10-28 14:06
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -4,100 -$3,533 97¢ $-3981 -$448 06-03 08:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -4,000 -$3,580 97¢ $-3866 -$286 10-28 07:37
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +3,399 $2,919 88¢ $3.0K +$89 09-23 09:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,888 $3,531 57¢ $2.8K -$721 10-29 11:09
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +2,600 $2,344 95¢ $2.5K +$130 07-03 07:11
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,100 $2,090 72¢ $2.2K +$126 10-30 18:43
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +2,500 $1,715 68¢ $1.7K -$3 10-24 14:03
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +2,300 $1,820 72¢ $1.7K -$164 10-29 12:47
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +1,600 $1,366 97¢ $1.6K +$193 06-27 07:09
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,600 $1,398 92¢ $1.5K +$82 09-24 10:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,540 70¢ $1.4K -$140 09-24 08:37
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,250 68¢ $1.4K +$120 10-29 17:19
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,300 $1,098 100¢ $1.3K +$198 10-07 18:25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,300 $1,180 94¢ $1.2K +$36 10-13 21:16
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +1,200 $1,063 92¢ $1.1K +$35 10-14 06:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,416 $1,059 42¢ $1.0K -$32 10-28 09:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -931 -$911 98¢ $-910 +$1 10-28 07:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,161 43¢ $863 -$298 10-29 17:16
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -872 -$862 98¢ $-857 +$5 09-30 02:34
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $849 86¢ $856 +$7 09-24 12:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +900 $621 92¢ $832 +$212 09-25 00:02
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +800 $723 95¢ $756 +$33 07-30 12:16
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +900 $720 83¢ $747 +$27 10-07 13:15
SBF released from custody in 2026? No +700 $651 98¢ $689 +$38 05-13 16:35
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +700 $784 98¢ $683 -$101 09-19 06:19
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +700 $259 97¢ $678 +$419 05-11 14:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -600 -$608 98¢ $-589 +$19 09-12 13:28
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +600 $534 90¢ $540 +$6 09-23 23:57