Realized P&L
+$154
Unrealized P&L
-$1.25K
Hit rate
38.4%
Resolved
4
Trades
3,626
lifetime
Volume
$340.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$94
Open exposure
$9.64K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 03:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
55% 33% +$139
Other
37% 100% +$15
Sports
7%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +1,600 $1,425 93¢ $1.5K +$56 06-09 17:23
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -1,322 $-1,243 96¢ $-1263 $-20 06-15 12:51
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,500 $975 66¢ $998 +$22 06-26 19:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -1,000 $-930 96¢ $-964 $-34 06-06 01:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -1,092 $-387 74¢ $-803 $-415 06-26 06:38
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -800 $-688 92¢ $-732 $-44 06-03 08:24
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +700 $581 86¢ $606 +$24 06-20 15:41
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +900 $531 62¢ $562 +$32 06-29 16:09
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -549 $-534 97¢ $-533 +$1 06-07 11:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,000 $1,100 26¢ $530 $-570 06-26 13:19
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +600 $516 86¢ $519 +$3 06-24 15:56
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $237 72¢ $214 $-22 06-21 19:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +600 $402 30¢ $183 $-219 06-17 17:23
Trump out as President before 2027? No +200 $180 92¢ $183 +$3 06-17 07:48
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +77 $69 94¢ $72 +$3 06-10 15:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +179 $72 $0 $-71 06-25 10:37