Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$154

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,799

lifetime

Volume

$376.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-30 12:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

52% 33% +$139

Other

40% 100% +$15

Sports

6% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	221	$24.0K	15,351	23,869	-8,518	open	—	02-20 13:41
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	13	$7.5K	7,691	0	+7,691	open	—	03-04 16:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	72	$7.2K	9,400	7,000	+2,400	open	—	05-27 12:23
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	12	$6.2K	5,900	4,400	+1,500	open	—	01-31 13:47
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	22	$6.0K	1,000	5,322	-4,322	open	—	07-27 06:40
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	11	$5.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	01-24 08:16
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$5.1K	5,222	0	+5,222	open	—	03-04 16:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	15	$5.1K	6,229	2,931	+3,299	open	—	07-23 21:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	53	$5.0K	10,940	400	+10,540	open	—	02-28 21:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	50	$5.0K	8,930	2,000	+6,930	open	—	04-07 15:57
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	24	$4.9K	1,000	4,000	-3,000	open	—	07-09 16:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	20	$4.8K	5,200	2,000	+3,200	open	—	04-23 06:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	31	$4.3K	5,000	3,800	+1,200	open	—	02-28 20:47
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	6	$4.3K	3,800	800	+3,000	open	—	07-08 18:17
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	9	$4.2K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	06-23 06:36
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	32	$4.0K	5,200	3,000	+2,200	open	—	02-26 10:28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	20	$4.0K	4,695	1,200	+3,495	open	—	02-28 15:57
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	32	$4.0K	5,961	5,656	+305	open	—	04-04 05:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	34	$3.8K	5,400	4,400	+1,000	open	—	07-11 17:44
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	42	$3.5K	2,200	1,700	+500	open	—	06-24 12:27
netanyahu out by march 31 854	9	$3.4K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	04-01 06:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	35	$3.1K	4,086	2,606	+1,480	open	—	06-15 14:45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	7	$3.1K	1,661	2,000	-339	open	—	04-21 12:14
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	16	$2.9K	2,286	2,786	-500	open	—	01-29 13:27
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	9	$2.8K	3,800	0	+3,800	open	—	07-22 07:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	83	$2.8K	5,584	2,640	+2,945	open	—	06-22 14:59
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	19	$2.7K	5,034	0	+5,034	open	—	03-23 16:58
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	26	$2.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	03-27 10:34
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	19	$2.6K	1,413	2,100	-687	open	—	03-22 18:20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	15	$2.6K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	04-09 15:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 12:16:47	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	67	90¢	$61	0x59ade4…
07-30 11:56:36	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	37	90¢	$34	0x60b486…
07-30 11:55:59	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x5bd342…
07-30 09:38:42	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	206	90¢	$186	0x0ad2b1…
07-30 08:12:35	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x720eff…
07-30 06:04:24	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	81	90¢	$73	0x4111dd…
07-30 04:57:53	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x478271…
07-30 02:05:42	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	105	91¢	$95	0xac67b0…
07-29 22:59:27	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$181	0xf39122…
07-27 06:40:36	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	97¢	$970	0xcae0ca…
07-26 20:56:42	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	732	72¢	$527	0x669d27…
07-26 17:30:06	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x402074…
07-26 17:19:52	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xa9d46d…
07-26 17:19:49	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc4e7f2…
07-26 17:19:49	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x9d561d…
07-26 17:19:49	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0x85c2e4…
07-26 17:19:49	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x50fa4e…
07-26 17:19:49	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x16ac2e…
07-26 16:51:09	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x7433bf…
07-26 16:50:39	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	72¢	$38	0x72bb92…
07-26 16:06:55	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	73¢	$365	0xd523f0…
07-25 17:11:21	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	305	33¢	$101	0x2bd930…
07-25 17:11:16	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0x5219e1…
07-25 17:03:21	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xc23409…
07-25 07:38:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	1,743	44¢	$767	0xaae01f…
07-24 21:13:40	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	600	66¢	$396	0xe900f4…
07-23 21:59:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,763	55¢	$969	0x17a062…
07-23 08:00:16	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	929	86¢	$799	0x04b686…
07-23 03:59:34	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x389dd4…
07-22 18:49:57	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x293e16…
07-22 13:29:40	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x6500e0…
07-22 12:38:54	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	27	23¢	$6	0xd93cfb…
07-22 12:30:03	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xc161e2…
07-22 12:23:51	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0xcbe6ef…
07-22 12:19:04	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	54	23¢	$12	0x90cde7…
07-22 12:19:03	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0x9ec9ea…
07-22 11:45:39	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	300	24¢	$72	0xdd5c29…
07-22 09:25:01	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x6e8463…
07-22 07:47:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	359	76¢	$273	0x125147…
07-22 07:10:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	233	44¢	$102	0xf4e4ca…
07-22 06:15:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x4caab0…
07-22 05:42:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xadd3d2…
07-22 05:35:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	14	76¢	$10	0x7a4d30…
07-22 05:09:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xafb768…
07-22 03:41:40	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x4552bc…
07-22 03:24:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x96f39f…
07-22 01:47:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x5f358b…
07-21 21:26:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	1,538	76¢	$1,169	0x82d880…
07-21 21:22:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	1,074	76¢	$816	0xfc9537…
07-21 19:58:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0xf7e235…
07-21 18:51:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	104	55¢	$57	0x6a3582…
07-21 17:57:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xe65f89…
07-21 17:56:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	522	55¢	$287	0x0e4279…
07-21 17:32:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	524	55¢	$288	0x67db6c…
07-21 16:11:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x030ff7…
07-21 16:11:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	140	9¢	$13	0xfed93d…
07-21 15:53:49	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xa46d2c…
07-21 13:38:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xdc7a43…
07-21 11:35:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	196	56¢	$110	0xd52982…
07-21 10:22:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	333	56¢	$187	0xb0bab4…
07-21 10:22:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,554	56¢	$870	0x1aeb4f…
07-21 10:22:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,812	56¢	$1,014	0x1ac159…
07-20 09:17:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,463	53¢	$775	0x441a28…
07-20 08:22:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x6b19f9…
07-20 08:21:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	43	53¢	$23	0x2e27bc…
07-20 07:37:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	490	47¢	$230	0xac6b03…
07-20 07:34:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	500	47¢	$235	0xda7ce5…
07-20 07:34:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xf1ebf8…
07-20 02:52:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	600	86¢	$516	0x23db70…
07-19 21:00:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0x1b67ab…
07-17 15:21:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	400	48¢	$192	0x2ef4f2…
07-17 14:29:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	400	48¢	$192	0x6b1a60…
07-16 03:32:41	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	1,136	55¢	$625	0xd974bc…
07-16 02:18:40	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	236	55¢	$130	0x6b28c5…
07-15 15:01:13	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xd90d2d…
07-15 08:19:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 shots lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x708f54…
07-15 06:42:04	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	1,222	55¢	$672	0x69560f…
07-15 06:17:19	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	400	46¢	$184	0x317f70…
07-13 18:50:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	9¢	$36	0x7cea5f…
07-13 12:17:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	166	70¢	$116	0x85f75e…
07-13 12:05:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	45	70¢	$31	0x9fa4d8…
07-13 10:59:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	589	70¢	$413	0x7efd4e…
07-11 23:02:25	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	600	12¢	$72	0xaf843f…
07-11 19:24:50	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	36	93¢	$34	0x5ba3d0…
07-11 19:20:02	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	464	93¢	$431	0x884dd0…
07-11 17:44:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,400	9¢	$126	0x17d137…
07-11 17:26:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	400	10¢	$40	0xcd03f1…
07-11 14:11:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2,066	22¢	$455	0xbc46bd…
07-11 13:09:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	227	22¢	$50	0x93ea8c…
07-11 13:07:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x226de0…
07-11 11:24:53	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	447	96¢	$429	0x53288b…
07-11 06:00:14	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xcfbb14…
07-10 23:03:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	570	23¢	$131	0x3d9d7a…
07-10 22:48:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x4e0314…
07-10 22:03:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x889d00…
07-10 22:03:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	23	23¢	$5	0x1cc720…
07-10 22:03:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x8cf8be…
07-10 22:02:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x004ef2…
07-10 22:01:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x4a4dc5…
07-10 22:00:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xe0bd5d…