Realized P&L
+$154
Unrealized P&L
-$1.93K
Hit rate
38.4%
Resolved
4
Trades
3,771
lifetime
Volume
$370.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$17.2K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-23 08:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
53% 33% +$139
Other
40% 100% +$15
Sports
6%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -2,641 $-2,573 98¢ $-2581 $-8 07-09 16:22
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +2,600 $2,344 95¢ $2.5K +$125 07-03 07:11
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -2,322 $-2,203 96¢ $-2241 $-38 07-11 11:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +4,427 $2,443 50¢ $2.2K $-251 07-21 19:58
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,800 $-1,708 96¢ $-1722 $-13 07-03 09:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -1,092 $-387 99¢ $-1080 $-693 06-26 06:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,500 $975 66¢ $982 +$8 06-26 19:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -1,000 $-930 97¢ $-972 $-42 06-06 01:34
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -800 $-688 92¢ $-740 $-52 06-03 08:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +800 $708 92¢ $732 +$24 07-03 08:28
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +600 $516 86¢ $519 +$3 06-24 15:56
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +300 $270 92¢ $277 +$7 07-05 12:25
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $237 88¢ $266 +$28 06-21 19:15
Trump out as President before 2027? No +200 $180 92¢ $185 +$5 06-17 07:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +600 $402 22¢ $132 $-270 06-17 17:23
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -63 $-49 66¢ $-42 +$7 07-03 19:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -400 $-36 11¢ $-42 $-6 07-13 18:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,800 $786 $19 $-767 07-11 17:44