Realized P&L
-$329
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
57.8%
Resolved
818
Trades
1,806
lifetime
Volume
$13.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$358
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 09-21 14:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
47% 60% -$776
Crypto
26% 73% +$633
Sports
17% 55% +$54
Politics
10% 55% -$241
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +50 $40 82¢ $41 +$1 07-03 12:49
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +40 $38 96¢ $39 +$1 07-07 17:20
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922 Yes +53 $20 74¢ $39 +$19 07-06 08:38
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 Yes +43 $20 85¢ $36 +$16 07-06 08:38
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +51 $20 44¢ $22 +$2 09-11 19:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +24 $20 86¢ $21 +$1 07-06 07:13
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 97¢ $20 +$0 07-03 12:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 07-03 17:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No +21 $20 95¢ $20 +$0 07-03 12:50
will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928 No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 07-07 17:13
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +97 $20 18¢ $18 -$2 07-03 12:49
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +56 $15 23¢ $13 -$2 09-13 20:06
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +12 $10 96¢ $12 +$2 08-19 06:41
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +11 $10 87¢ $9 -$1 05-24 04:48
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +10 $5 66¢ $7 +$2 08-11 18:18
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +11 $10 57¢ $6 -$4 05-24 04:54
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +8 $5 72¢ $6 +$1 09-13 21:01
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +18 $5 28¢ $5 $0 09-13 20:04
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +7 $5 70¢ $5 $0 09-06 21:40
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +32 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 09-10 09:00