Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$112

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

321

Trades

1,470

lifetime

Volume

$9.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-15

last 10-02 18:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

54% 56% +$81

Politics

39% 54% +$71

Crypto

6% 77% -$14

Tech

1% 50% -$22

Sports

0% 50% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+3	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	09-14 17:13
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+0	-$5	71¢	$0	+$5	09-22 08:31
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+0	-$1	71¢	$0	+$1	09-22 06:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	22	$174	158	139	+19	No	-$2	08-17 10:32
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	10	$152	115	115	+0	No	+$40	08-12 18:38
Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	8	$151	108	108	+0	open	—	08-23 00:53
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	6	$136	189	189	+0	open	—	09-01 11:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	14	$130	244	204	+40	No	-$18	07-12 01:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	10	$129	73	73	+0	No	+$5	08-05 22:46
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	5	$127	114	114	+0	open	—	09-09 14:55
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	22	$118	212	201	+11	Yes	+$0	08-11 20:39
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	25	$116	210	195	+16	No	+$26	08-25 23:43
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	13	$114	64	64	+0	Yes	-$1	09-01 11:27
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?	8	$111	163	78	+85	No	-$2	08-18 22:41
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	10	$109	131	131	+0	open	—	09-01 11:02
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	3	$109	126	126	+0	Yes	+$59	08-14 12:43
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	6	$102	97	60	+37	No	+$39	07-05 21:07
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	7	$100	53	53	+0	No	+$0	07-31 20:08
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	4	$100	99	99	+0	No	+$38	08-25 14:00
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	8	$100	101	101	+0	Yes	$0	07-10 03:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?	6	$97	52	52	+0	No	+$8	08-03 08:09
Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	9	$94	96	96	+0	open	—	08-24 02:01
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	5	$93	53	53	+0	No	-$3	07-17 13:54
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	7	$90	93	69	+24	Yes	-$5	08-07 19:53
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	20	$89	208	171	+37	No	-$18	07-14 15:12
wta sabalen wa 2026 08 18 set totals 2pt5	3	$89	120	120	+0	Under 2.5	-$31	08-18 17:51
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	9	$84	44	44	+0	Yes	+$4	08-12 00:27
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?	7	$84	62	57	+5	Yes	-$7	08-19 02:10
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	5	$83	43	43	+0	No	+$3	07-25 22:14
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	11	$82	59	59	+0	open	—	09-07 17:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$78	199	199	+0	open	—	08-21 22:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?	23	$73	89	89	+0	Yes	-$21	08-02 08:10
will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	20	$70	69	46	+23	No	+$21	08-14 00:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 18:50:15	Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?	No	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0x8820d8…
10-02 18:49:33	Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xf5e8c5…
10-02 18:49:05	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x7b892d…
10-02 18:48:48	Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xdc3824…
09-28 13:00:24	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0x0910de…
09-28 12:58:54	Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x9e66a8…
09-28 12:58:44	Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x29fbec…
09-28 12:58:21	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x891362…
09-28 12:58:08	Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0xc3a863…
09-28 12:57:57	Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x1e2cb2…
09-28 12:57:44	Will MLSTP win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0xbf2cbf…
09-28 12:57:32	Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x5d8a3d…
09-28 12:57:20	Will Chinda Kingsley Ogundu win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x132dec…
09-28 12:57:09	Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xb5e846…
09-28 12:57:00	Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	Yes	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0x72cc76…
09-28 12:56:41	Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x60b1c2…
09-28 12:56:29	Will María Teresa Guerra Ochoa win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x9f8476…
09-28 12:54:57	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x4c4a96…
09-28 12:54:45	Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x7c1244…
09-28 12:54:26	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x3f42f9…
09-28 12:53:59	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x6be0c2…
09-26 20:40:50	Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	SELL	18	59¢	$11	0x23be15…
09-26 20:40:36	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x887860…
09-26 20:40:24	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0x0c791b…
09-26 20:40:00	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	85¢	$15	0xda7781…
09-26 03:12:54	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x721904…
09-24 14:25:41	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x9ae840…
09-22 14:08:22	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x415657…
09-22 08:31:52	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x9500f8…
09-22 08:31:40	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xbefa15…
09-22 08:31:39	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x0e37ae…
09-22 08:31:37	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x369d97…
09-22 08:31:34	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xf94e2b…
09-22 08:31:33	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x2aa06a…
09-22 06:21:10	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x245c76…
09-22 06:21:09	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x6afdfb…
09-22 06:21:09	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x407527…
09-22 06:21:06	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x933531…
09-22 06:21:04	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0xecefa0…
09-22 06:21:01	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x6e5b4b…
09-22 06:21:00	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xcd81e6…
09-22 06:21:00	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x9e147a…
09-19 11:24:36	Will Gears of War: E-Day win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0xc0ae8f…
09-18 11:50:34	Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x1dd4a1…
09-18 11:50:21	Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0x6198fa…
09-18 11:49:48	Will Helen Eliasson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa99e68…
09-18 11:49:36	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x953e68…
09-18 11:49:18	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xeb73f0…
09-18 11:48:48	Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat?	Yes	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x716130…
09-18 11:48:36	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x8f9071…
09-18 11:48:16	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	50	37¢	$19	0x90d428…
09-18 11:48:00	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	24	84¢	$21	0x67afc8…
09-18 11:47:43	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0xac4081…
09-17 16:58:36	Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x14d067…
09-17 14:27:34	Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x4e2f8e…
09-17 11:41:07	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	129	2¢	$2	0xc55d12…
09-16 19:03:33	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	27	55¢	$15	0x56fe51…
09-16 13:21:21	Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x38f664…
09-16 13:20:27	Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x822109…
09-16 10:34:37	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	42	91¢	$38	0xb11035…
09-16 10:23:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	95¢	$32	0x268ad8…
09-14 21:36:33	Broncos vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xaf8608…
09-14 17:13:10	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x4f44ad…
09-14 14:46:51	US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	Yes	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x99186f…
09-14 14:46:15	Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x601ac5…
09-14 14:45:54	Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x2c47cb…
09-14 11:57:57	Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x3ea536…
09-14 07:29:49	Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xd9787a…
09-13 23:41:19	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x2065c8…
09-13 23:40:24	Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	37	30¢	$11	0xb64533…
09-12 17:05:03	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x42f9a2…
09-10 23:27:39	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xbb4230…
09-10 23:26:42	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xf5dc62…
09-10 16:19:06	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0xa3c64f…
09-10 07:15:25	Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xc01939…
09-09 14:56:30	Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat?	Yes	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x25955a…
09-09 14:55:39	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	SELL	57	66¢	$37	0xfc0211…
09-09 14:11:54	Will Helen Eliasson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x76f47b…
09-09 14:11:48	Will Helen Eliasson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xf8ab6b…
09-09 08:59:46	Will Helen Eliasson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x09fd3b…
09-07 17:16:40	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?	No	SELL	16	91¢	$14	0x89b471…
09-07 17:16:27	Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?	Yes	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0x346313…
09-07 17:15:07	Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?	Yes	SELL	24	89¢	$22	0x15d6af…
09-07 17:14:51	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	67	34¢	$23	0xf6a4fc…
09-07 17:13:57	Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x8fc754…
09-07 17:12:42	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xc3d6e0…
09-07 17:12:34	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	70¢	$41	0x4acb19…
09-07 17:10:00	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	16¢	$15	0xd910a5…
09-07 00:54:15	Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	No	SELL	16	84¢	$14	0x84dfef…
09-06 16:39:54	Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x661c4f…
09-06 16:38:10	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	93¢	$21	0x765fb3…
09-05 19:04:19	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x386fd1…
09-05 10:28:36	Will Helen Eliasson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x643bc3…
09-04 23:52:37	Will Pedro Paulo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xc405ce…
09-04 04:11:30	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x5a639c…
09-04 01:44:39	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7ef128…
09-02 14:50:24	Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xb06078…
09-01 21:46:57	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x0b9e92…
09-01 21:46:46	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x22aa25…
09-01 21:46:31	Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x1c499e…