Awful-Ebook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

147

lifetime

Volume

$6.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 08-01 19:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

71% — —

Other

28% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba uta dal 2026 01 17	16	$3.0K	5,063	0	+5,063	open	—	01-17 15:31
mwoh fin swi 2026 02 18	17	$1.7K	5,543	0	+5,543	open	—	02-18 07:10
nba cle lal 2026 03 31	56	$1.2K	2,745	0	+2,745	open	—	04-01 02:39
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$43	21,440	21,440	+0	open	—	03-23 18:58
GTA VI released before June 2026?	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-13 18:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 11:31
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	3	$4	3	1	+1	open	—	07-09 17:28
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	07-04 12:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-04 12:46
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-04 12:46
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	06-06 15:05
New pandemic in 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	07-09 17:28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	06-06 15:05
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-17 16:06
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-16 20:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-19 11:42
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-16 20:34
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-16 20:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-19 11:41
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-17 16:05
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	08-01 19:23
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-19 11:43
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-19 11:48
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-09 17:31
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-16 20:33
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-17 16:04
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-18 05:19
us strike on somalia by february 28	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-09 17:41
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-09 17:31
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be less than 1pt0	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-09 17:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 19:23:35	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf1de68…
07-09 17:31:29	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc93d76…
07-09 17:31:04	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1eb25e…
07-09 17:30:16	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2114ad…
07-09 17:28:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbbd782…
07-09 17:28:22	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x19ff86…
07-09 17:27:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1ce85b…
07-09 17:27:19	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x329f91…
07-09 17:26:25	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x18b892…
07-04 12:46:11	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc3558d…
07-04 12:46:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf80cd6…
07-04 12:45:56	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdeccfd…
06-16 20:34:05	Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9a895f…
06-16 20:33:43	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x08ca67…
06-16 20:33:08	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb755ee…
06-16 20:30:22	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x04c6ae…
06-16 20:29:32	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x67c1bb…
06-16 20:28:26	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfd49c7…
06-16 20:28:04	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7261fe…
06-06 15:05:30	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xae8cde…
06-06 15:05:22	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x950d90…
06-06 15:05:12	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1b3a7b…
05-19 11:48:16	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x053a30…
05-19 11:43:34	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf1b611…
05-19 11:42:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xe84a7d…
05-19 11:41:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xff4f3d…
05-13 18:28:48	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x84fe2f…
05-05 11:31:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf0e081…
04-04 11:13:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6c8de5…
04-01 02:39:49	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	38	44¢	$17	0x3a5d55…
03-31 22:57:01	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0xb9884f…
03-31 22:56:57	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	60	46¢	$28	0xe78cde…
03-31 22:56:53	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x7a74c8…
03-31 22:56:51	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	46	46¢	$21	0x320b82…
03-31 22:56:51	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x0904ce…
03-31 22:56:49	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x61cff7…
03-31 22:56:45	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x47916e…
03-31 22:56:35	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xdd776a…
03-31 22:56:35	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	48	46¢	$22	0x8d335b…
03-31 22:56:21	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0xd58473…
03-31 22:56:19	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x8ff0b8…
03-31 22:56:19	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x8382b1…
03-31 22:56:13	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xff0edb…
03-31 22:56:09	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x85a24c…
03-31 22:55:59	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0xd39246…
03-31 22:55:57	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xd9c32a…
03-31 22:55:57	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x91aca3…
03-31 22:55:57	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x4f110b…
03-31 22:55:57	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	504	46¢	$232	0x343226…
03-31 22:55:55	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	175	46¢	$80	0xce3f1b…
03-31 22:55:51	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	149	46¢	$69	0x21329c…
03-31 22:55:41	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0xd88416…
03-31 21:48:29	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	91	45¢	$41	0x63eeb6…
03-31 21:48:05	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	49	45¢	$22	0xa8f738…
03-31 21:47:37	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0x5b5731…
03-31 21:47:37	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x4aeb34…
03-31 21:47:35	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0x14c280…
03-31 21:47:29	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8ab7ad…
03-31 21:47:13	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x296a94…
03-31 21:46:55	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4f3f0e…
03-31 21:46:53	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5cf1db…
03-31 21:45:49	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	91	45¢	$41	0xd355e1…
03-31 21:45:43	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xfe9880…
03-31 21:45:41	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	54	45¢	$24	0xd78369…
03-31 21:45:19	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	43	45¢	$19	0x94b307…
03-31 21:45:09	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	171	45¢	$77	0xf3c3f4…
03-31 21:44:59	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xdc2ac5…
03-31 21:44:43	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0x58c399…
03-31 21:44:27	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0xec9841…
03-31 21:44:19	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	49	45¢	$22	0x971108…
03-31 21:44:13	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xbea370…
03-31 21:43:57	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x3e3f51…
03-31 21:43:39	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xf463fd…
03-31 21:43:33	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xc71802…
03-31 21:12:09	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	28	45¢	$13	0xc6ddef…
03-31 21:11:43	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	28	45¢	$13	0xfd8ce4…
03-31 21:11:23	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0xcaaa9e…
03-31 21:11:13	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	109	45¢	$49	0xb9ce7f…
03-31 21:11:01	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfcf45f…
03-31 21:09:41	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x69eb57…
03-31 21:09:39	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x84a534…
03-31 21:09:35	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xf35b60…
03-31 21:09:29	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	52	45¢	$23	0x4a3adb…
03-31 21:09:27	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0xda5c7f…
03-31 21:09:03	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xbf2e9f…
03-31 18:07:59	will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 385	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x262231…
03-31 18:06:57	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1b4166…
03-23 18:58:19	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	5,327	0¢	$5	0x15d19e…
03-23 18:57:53	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	12,130	0¢	$12	0x519cf8…
03-23 16:33:47	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x400e4b…
03-23 15:06:27	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xf854af…
03-23 14:45:29	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x01d6a9…
03-23 10:38:41	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xbd863c…
03-23 10:38:33	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	976	0¢	$1	0x689d65…
03-21 20:23:01	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	21,440	0¢	$21	0x66c8ee…
03-17 16:06:05	Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x85faed…
03-17 16:05:23	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbfe715…
03-17 16:05:03	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbcfd1d…
03-17 16:04:29	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x203020…
03-17 16:04:09	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ccb2b…