Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
88.5%
Resolved
5
Trades
208
lifetime
Volume
$6.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$241
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 07-21 21:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Crypto
66% 100% +$2
Other
19% 100% +$41
Politics
13% 0% $-53
Sports
1% 100% +$0
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-49 99¢ $-49 $-0 06-01 20:49
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -30 $-28 92¢ $-28 +$0 05-30 06:17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -26 $-25 96¢ $-25 $-0 07-01 11:47
Spain snap election called in 2026? No -30 $-26 82¢ $-25 +$1 07-21 21:01
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -20 $-20 97¢ $-19 +$0 06-02 21:25
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-0 07-03 06:41
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -20 $-19 95¢ $-19 $-0 07-01 14:14
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -20 $-19 94¢ $-19 +$0 07-06 04:00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -20 $-18 92¢ $-18 $-0 07-03 05:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 06-11 02:29
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 06-14 11:52
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? Yes +20 $0 $1 +$0 07-09 10:19