Realized P&L
-$127
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
52.7%
Resolved
461
Trades
67,356
lifetime
Volume
$179.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$8
18 positions
First seen
2026-07-03
last 10-05 20:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
51% 25% -$49
Politics
45% 28% -$48
Tech
2% 32% +$27
Sports
1% 25% -$19
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
1% 15% -$37
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 1957 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +43 $2 6¢ $3 +$0 08-25 01:31
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +2 -$7 94¢ $2 +$9 08-09 09:55
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 -$1 47¢ $1 +$2 09-29 19:13
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632 Yes +5 $2 14¢ $1 -$2 08-08 19:09
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +2 $1 19¢ $0 -$1 07-13 18:27
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +1 $1 18¢ $0 -$1 10-04 01:51
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +5 $5 4¢ $0 -$5 09-27 16:00
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +4 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-01 14:58
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 Yes +3 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 07-13 14:29
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +3 $0 3¢ $0 $0 08-23 16:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 $1 18¢ $0 -$1 08-26 16:15
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2 $0 1¢ $0 $0 07-07 21:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 -$1 12¢ $0 +$1 09-25 17:11
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $1 53¢ $0 -$1 09-30 11:58
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +0 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 07-14 14:02
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$3 2¢ $0 +$3 10-04 16:17
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? Yes +0 $20 0¢ $0 -$20 10-03 17:03
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 $8 0¢ $0 -$8 10-02 19:00