Realized P&L
+$216
Unrealized P&L
+$983
Hit rate
14.6%
Resolved
6
Trades
90,762
lifetime
Volume
$1.60M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$1.28K
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-29 06:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
29% 67% +$250
Other
27% 33% $-35
Sports
26%
Crypto
18%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 11883 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? No -222 $-219 99¢ $-220 $-1 06-20 08:51
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -187 $-176 95¢ $-178 $-1 06-22 09:03
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -158 $-152 96¢ $-152 $-0 06-24 07:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -144 $-141 100¢ $-143 $-2 06-16 07:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -120 $-103 88¢ $-105 $-2 06-22 09:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +117 $9 86¢ $101 +$92 06-22 09:03
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -79 $-66 84¢ $-66 $-0 06-25 12:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -82 $-58 72¢ $-58 $-0 06-29 06:15
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -64 $-57 87¢ $-56 +$1 06-29 06:15
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No -55 $-53 98¢ $-53 $-0 06-29 06:15
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +44 $38 90¢ $39 +$2 06-16 10:01
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -37 $-35 100¢ $-37 $-1 05-31 04:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -36 $-21 100¢ $-36 $-14 06-16 07:54
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -70 $-10 16¢ $-11 $-2 06-26 17:56
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -9 $-28 100¢ $-9 +$19 06-24 07:24
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-18 00:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 06-24 08:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $5 20¢ $3 $-1 06-16 10:13
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 06-26 17:34
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-26 10:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +256 $-770 $1 +$771 06-16 07:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +231 $-117 $1 +$117 06-21 16:38
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes -28 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-13 14:23
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -25 $-4 $-0 +$4 06-16 13:26