Realized P&L
+$216
Unrealized P&L
+$79
Hit rate
14.6%
Resolved
6
Trades
90,768
lifetime
Volume
$1.60M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$1.03K
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 07-15 13:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
29% 67% +$250
Other
27% 33% $-35
Sports
26%
Crypto
18%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -187 $-176 97¢ $-181 $-5 06-22 09:03
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -158 $-152 98¢ $-154 $-3 06-24 07:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -120 $-103 86¢ $-104 $-1 06-22 09:04
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No -96 $-94 97¢ $-93 +$1 07-15 13:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -130 $-95 68¢ $-87 +$7 07-14 14:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +117 $9 72¢ $83 +$75 06-22 09:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -82 $-58 78¢ $-64 $-6 06-29 06:15
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -64 $-57 94¢ $-60 $-4 06-29 06:15
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No -55 $-53 98¢ $-53 $-0 06-29 06:15
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -79 $-66 66¢ $-53 +$13 06-25 12:33
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -47 $-44 94¢ $-44 $-0 07-15 13:06
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -37 $-35 100¢ $-37 $-1 05-31 04:25
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -70 $-10 $-6 +$4 06-26 17:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 07-05 03:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $5 14¢ $2 $-2 06-16 10:13
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +2 $2 85¢ $2 +$0 06-26 17:34