Realized P&L
-$1.50K
Unrealized P&L
-$139
Hit rate
19.0%
Resolved
26
Trades
1,322
lifetime
Volume
$84.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$70.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 17:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
58% 0% -$8
Sports
22% 43% -$1,495
Politics
17% 33% +$3
Crypto
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +23,753 $22,855 98¢ $23.2K +$387 10-19 10:57
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +9,916 $9,632 98¢ $9.8K +$121 10-11 09:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +9,908 $9,609 98¢ $9.7K +$136 10-10 10:02
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +9,751 $9,437 99¢ $9.6K +$183 09-29 01:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +5,694 $5,553 99¢ $5.7K +$104 10-19 15:41
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2,820 $2,699 91¢ $2.6K -$123 09-29 10:49
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,695 $1,626 88¢ $1.5K -$136 10-09 04:53
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +1,497 $1,482 99¢ $1.5K -$2 08-19 22:01
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,453 $1,343 97¢ $1.4K +$69 08-28 08:44
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +916 $897 99¢ $902 +$6 10-06 17:22
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +887 $853 98¢ $871 +$18 10-20 17:06
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +766 $720 94¢ $722 +$2 09-09 20:19
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +662 $627 96¢ $635 +$8 10-16 16:42
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +604 $582 94¢ $571 -$11 08-27 02:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +23,753 $943 2¢ $511 -$432 10-19 02:23
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +565 $492 86¢ $485 -$7 10-19 05:52
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +2,820 $121 9¢ $244 +$123 09-30 13:46
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,695 $82 12¢ $205 +$123 10-09 23:57
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +9,916 $284 2¢ $164 -$121 10-17 20:11
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +9,908 $306 2¢ $163 -$142 10-06 21:21
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +9,751 $340 1¢ $132 -$208 09-30 08:55
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +565 $90 14¢ $80 -$10 10-19 12:58
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +766 $40 6¢ $44 +$4 09-11 03:56
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +1,453 $113 3¢ $41 -$72 08-27 04:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +5,694 $147 1¢ $37 -$110 10-18 14:32
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +604 $24 6¢ $34 +$9 09-04 13:08
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +662 $41 4¢ $27 -$15 10-20 12:02
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,497 $32 1¢ $17 -$15 08-21 05:04
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +887 $33 2¢ $16 -$18 10-19 05:44
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +916 $24 1¢ $13 -$11 10-10 09:30