Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$191
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
603
lifetime
Volume
$8.34K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$117
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 06-30 06:36
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
77%
Politics
10%
Other
9%
Sports
2%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +87 $45 39¢ $34 $-11 06-21 06:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +69 $29 34¢ $23 $-6 06-30 06:22
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +200 $30 10¢ $19 $-11 06-27 17:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +100 $20 12¢ $12 $-8 06-07 19:34
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +157 $15 $9 $-6 06-07 20:59
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +143 $10 $6 $-4 06-07 20:58
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +26 $5 22¢ $6 +$1 06-30 06:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +662 $123 $3 $-120 06-15 20:09
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? Yes +71 $5 $2 $-3 06-07 20:54
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $5 $2 $-3 06-07 20:59
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +455 $10 $0 $-10 06-07 19:27
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? Yes +137 $1 $0 $-1 06-27 17:54
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +250 $5 $0 $-5 06-07 19:44
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +20 $5 $0 $-5 06-09 06:57