Bumpy-Pronunciation 0x8b5a2a…30b95d
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.26K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.00K
Hit rate
49.3%
Resolved
437
Trades
1,818
lifetime
Volume
$64.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$27.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 10-27 23:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Crypto
44% 38% -$4,930
Politics
38% 35% -$312
Other
13% 24% -$579
Sports
5% 32% -$498
Tech
0% 62% +$57
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 366 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +45,663 $16,315 50¢ $22.6K +$6,288 10-27 23:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,040 $1,109 66¢ $1.3K +$232 10-09 10:57
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,744 $1,116 66¢ $1.2K +$44 10-12 05:03
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10,209 $1,370 6¢ $561 -$809 10-25 19:03
israeli airspace closed by december 31 2026 Yes +1,458 $360 26¢ $386 +$26 10-25 18:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +300 $204 74¢ $224 +$19 10-04 22:51
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,432 $406 6¢ $221 -$184 10-09 10:57
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +837 $236 20¢ $163 -$73 08-31 14:15
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +331 $138 32¢ $104 -$34 10-06 18:05
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +164 $115 62¢ $103 -$12 08-23 13:39
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +91,320 $864 0¢ $91 -$773 10-25 19:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +611 $40 10¢ $58 +$18 10-25 19:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +226 $79 23¢ $52 -$27 10-08 14:38
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,161 $336 4¢ $47 -$289 08-31 14:15
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +401 $56 10¢ $42 -$14 08-31 14:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,036 $210 4¢ $41 -$169 10-14 15:12
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,224 $53 2¢ $29 -$24 07-16 23:29
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +210 $70 12¢ $26 -$44 07-15 08:26
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +110 $45 21¢ $23 -$22 06-09 06:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +363 $61 4¢ $15 -$46 10-12 05:03
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +8,675 $50 0¢ $13 -$37 10-04 20:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $18 35¢ $12 -$6 10-05 20:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +2,000 $10 0¢ $9 -$1 10-04 20:24
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,000 $16 0¢ $8 -$8 09-09 08:31
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3,620 $29 0¢ $5 -$24 06-16 10:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -9 -$19 50¢ $-5 +$15 08-19 08:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +4,500 $20 0¢ $4 -$16 10-14 15:12
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,500 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 08-19 08:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +100 $20 3¢ $3 -$17 06-07 19:34
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 Yes +83 $20 4¢ $3 -$17 06-30 06:27