Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$36
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
772
lifetime
Volume
$11.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$574
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 07-20 07:11
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
65%
Other
21%
Politics
10%
Sports
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +570 $230 50¢ $288 +$58 07-15 08:24
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +695 $211 29¢ $202 $-9 07-20 07:11
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,224 $53 $48 $-5 07-16 23:29
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +200 $30 $15 $-15 06-27 17:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +100 $20 12¢ $12 $-8 06-07 19:34
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +157 $15 $6 $-9 06-07 20:59
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +5 $2 34¢ $2 $-0 07-14 20:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +106 $39 $1 $-38 07-02 07:46
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $5 $0 $-5 06-07 20:59
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? Yes +71 $5 $0 $-5 06-07 20:54