Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$72
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
523
lifetime
Volume
$6.83K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$193
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 06-09 07:10
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
87%
Politics
8%
Other
3%
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +600 $30 $33 +$3 06-07 19:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +318 $35 10¢ $30 $-5 06-07 19:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +130 $30 20¢ $27 $-3 06-07 20:51
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +49 $25 48¢ $23 $-2 06-08 06:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +100 $20 18¢ $18 $-2 06-07 19:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +39 $15 38¢ $15 $-0 06-08 03:07
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +157 $15 $14 $-1 06-07 20:59
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +143 $10 $9 $-1 06-07 20:58
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +455 $10 $6 $-4 06-07 19:27
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +20 $5 24¢ $5 $-0 06-09 06:57
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? Yes +71 $5 $5 $-0 06-07 20:54
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? Yes +556 $5 $4 $-1 06-07 20:59
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $5 $3 $-2 06-07 20:59
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +250 $5 $2 $-3 06-07 19:44
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +135 $50 $0 $-50 06-07 19:13