(anonymous) 0x3275f8…787b7e
cold 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.17K
Unrealized P&L
+$328
Hit rate
24.1%
Resolved
18
Trades
1,449
lifetime
Volume
$72.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$67.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-28 00:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
42% — —
Other
35% — —
Sports
20% 33% -$2,169
Crypto
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +8,242 $7,968 98¢ $8.1K +$130 09-20 13:21
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +6,991 $6,709 96¢ $6.7K +$13 09-20 20:57
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,446 $6,220 100¢ $6.4K +$216 08-29 00:45
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +6,325 $6,093 96¢ $6.1K -$24 09-21 09:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +4,590 $4,492 98¢ $4.5K +$4 10-27 23:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,380 $4,268 98¢ $4.3K +$13 10-27 23:06
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,658 $3,590 99¢ $3.6K +$26 09-21 03:51
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +3,551 $3,480 98¢ $3.5K +$2 10-27 10:18
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,100 $2,985 96¢ $3.0K +$5 10-27 20:18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,778 $2,476 92¢ $2.6K +$94 10-22 06:38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +2,707 $2,401 92¢ $2.5K +$103 09-21 02:58
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,437 $2,362 98¢ $2.4K +$21 09-14 18:55
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +2,399 $2,350 98¢ $2.3K -$7 08-19 22:01
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,035 $1,988 96¢ $2.0K -$25 09-04 14:26
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +2,016 $1,874 93¢ $1.9K -$7 10-27 23:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,605 $1,343 82¢ $1.3K -$35 09-20 03:02
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +1,223 $1,119 99¢ $1.2K +$97 09-03 03:21
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,163 $1,107 96¢ $1.1K +$14 08-27 16:03
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +880 $860 98¢ $865 +$5 10-28 00:13
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +735 $690 94¢ $691 +$0 10-27 12:44
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +642 $627 98¢ $631 +$5 08-21 03:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,605 $260 18¢ $297 +$37 09-20 15:47
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +6,991 $289 4¢ $269 -$20 09-18 05:05
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6,325 $244 4¢ $256 +$12 09-19 12:29
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +248 $235 95¢ $235 $0 10-22 04:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +2,778 $298 8¢ $208 -$90 10-22 02:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +2,707 $323 8¢ $203 -$120 09-20 02:11
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,111 $148 7¢ $155 +$7 10-27 13:41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +8,242 $276 2¢ $144 -$132 09-19 22:55
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,846 $117 4¢ $101 -$16 10-28 01:02