Realized P&L
+$2.01K
Unrealized P&L
-$102
Hit rate
84.9%
Resolved
20
Trades
996
lifetime
Volume
$15.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$3.03K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 10-10 15:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Tech
63% 67% +$2,418
Other
26% 10% -$207
Sports
5% 33% -$152
Crypto
3% 33% -$62
Politics
3% 100% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +624 $570 99¢ $616 +$46 08-23 18:22
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +427 $235 97¢ $414 +$179 09-11 08:57
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +270 $218 94¢ $255 +$37 09-04 11:31
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +248 $150 86¢ $214 +$64 08-24 00:13
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +144 $143 100¢ $143 +$0 08-20 19:02
US recession by end of 2026? No +150 $125 93¢ $140 +$15 09-15 20:45
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +150 $118 92¢ $139 +$21 09-10 14:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +190 $59 72¢ $137 +$78 10-10 15:36
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +892 $312 14¢ $120 -$192 08-28 01:40
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +110 $99 95¢ $104 +$5 08-06 10:21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +124 $56 68¢ $84 +$27 07-20 03:04
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,113 $102 2¢ $73 -$28 08-24 08:16
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes +124 $47 52¢ $64 +$17 07-20 03:04
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No +124 $55 48¢ $60 +$5 06-26 09:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +112 $99 47¢ $53 -$46 09-05 14:49
Discord IPO before 2027? No +54 $42 94¢ $51 +$9 09-04 13:09
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +50 $43 95¢ $48 +$5 08-06 10:21
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +48 $41 97¢ $46 +$6 08-06 10:14
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +134 $74 32¢ $44 -$31 08-11 19:03
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +41 $39 98¢ $40 +$1 06-13 16:06
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No +32 $29 99¢ $32 +$2 08-21 10:32
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +660 $236 3¢ $21 -$215 08-24 07:50
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +332 $88 6¢ $20 -$68 09-08 05:12
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$1 09-13 09:44
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +20 $14 94¢ $19 +$5 07-27 07:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +64 $39 28¢ $18 -$21 09-04 11:53
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +60 $21 26¢ $16 -$5 08-27 16:55
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +15 $12 93¢ $14 +$2 08-10 17:01
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +25 $12 51¢ $13 +$1 08-16 20:09
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? Yes +137 $33 8¢ $10 -$22 09-07 06:50