Realized P&L (90d)
-$104
Unrealized P&L
-$140
Hit rate
8.7%
Resolved (90d)
9
Trades (90d)
374
996 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$3.07K
$15.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$2.99K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 10-10 15:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Tech
63% 67% +$2,418
Other
26% 10% -$207
Sports
5% 33% -$152
Crypto
3% 33% -$62
Politics
3% 100% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +624 $570 99¢ $619 +$48 08-23 18:22
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +427 $235 97¢ $414 +$179 09-11 08:57
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +270 $218 94¢ $255 +$37 09-04 11:31
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +248 $150 90¢ $224 +$74 08-24 00:13
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +144 $143 100¢ $143 +$0 08-20 19:02
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +150 $118 96¢ $143 +$26 09-10 14:39
US recession by end of 2026? No +150 $125 94¢ $142 +$17 09-15 20:45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +190 $59 64¢ $121 +$62 10-10 15:36
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +110 $99 95¢ $104 +$5 08-06 10:21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +124 $56 72¢ $89 +$32 07-20 03:04
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +892 $312 10¢ $85 -$228 08-28 01:40
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes +124 $47 51¢ $63 +$16 07-20 03:04
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,113 $102 2¢ $61 -$41 08-24 08:16
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No +124 $55 49¢ $61 +$6 06-26 09:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +112 $99 46¢ $52 -$46 09-05 14:49
Discord IPO before 2027? No +54 $42 94¢ $51 +$9 09-04 13:09
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +50 $43 95¢ $48 +$5 08-06 10:21
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +48 $41 97¢ $46 +$6 08-06 10:14
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +41 $39 98¢ $40 +$2 06-13 16:06
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +134 $74 29¢ $38 -$36 08-11 19:03
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No +32 $29 98¢ $32 +$2 08-21 10:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +64 $39 36¢ $23 -$16 09-04 11:53
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +332 $88 6¢ $21 -$67 09-08 05:12
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +660 $236 3¢ $21 -$215 08-24 07:50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$1 09-13 09:44
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +20 $14 94¢ $19 +$5 07-27 07:07
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +182 $35 8¢ $15 -$19 09-12 00:37
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +15 $12 94¢ $14 +$2 08-10 17:01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +60 $21 24¢ $14 -$7 08-27 16:55
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +20 $10 56¢ $11 +$1 09-06 18:39