Realized P&L (30d)
-$40
Unrealized P&L
-$178
Hit rate
25.1%
Resolved (30d)
7
Trades (30d)
2
996 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$8
$15.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$2.85K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 10-10 15:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Tech
63% 67% +$2,418
Other
26% 10% -$207
Sports
5% 33% -$152
Crypto
3% 33% -$62
Politics
3% 33% -$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +624 $570 99¢ $619 +$48 08-23 18:22
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +427 $235 97¢ $413 +$179 09-11 08:57
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +270 $218 96¢ $259 +$41 09-04 11:31
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +248 $150 90¢ $222 +$72 08-24 00:13
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +144 $143 100¢ $143 +$0 08-20 19:02
US recession by end of 2026? No +150 $125 96¢ $143 +$18 09-15 20:45
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +150 $118 95¢ $143 +$25 09-10 14:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +190 $59 68¢ $128 +$69 10-10 15:36
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +110 $99 95¢ $104 +$5 08-06 10:21
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +892 $312 11¢ $94 -$219 08-28 01:40
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes +124 $47 52¢ $65 +$18 07-20 03:04
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No +124 $55 48¢ $59 +$4 06-26 09:15
Discord IPO before 2027? No +54 $42 94¢ $51 +$9 09-04 13:09
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +50 $43 96¢ $48 +$5 08-06 10:21
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +48 $41 97¢ $47 +$6 08-06 10:14
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +112 $99 40¢ $45 -$53 09-05 14:49
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +41 $39 99¢ $41 +$2 06-13 16:06
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,113 $102 1¢ $36 -$66 08-24 08:16
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No +32 $29 99¢ $32 +$2 08-21 10:32
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +660 $236 3¢ $21 -$215 08-24 07:50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +64 $39 32¢ $21 -$18 09-04 11:53
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +182 $35 11¢ $20 -$15 09-12 00:37
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +332 $88 6¢ $19 -$69 09-08 05:12
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +20 $14 94¢ $19 +$5 07-27 07:07
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +20 $10 57¢ $12 +$2 09-06 18:39
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +25 $12 42¢ $11 -$2 08-16 20:09
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +9 $8 98¢ $9 +$1 09-06 01:14
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +10 $9 89¢ $9 +$0 09-06 17:13
No one announced as next James Bond? No +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$1 09-12 22:08
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +265 $43 3¢ $7 -$36 09-02 13:00