Insistent-Salt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

37.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$22.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$585

Open exposure

$1.87K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-22 16:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 91% +$12

Other

4% 50% -$4

Politics

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,000	$954	99¢	$993	+$38	05-21 23:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-386	-$361	98¢	$-379	-$18	05-16 16:02
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	-200	-$185	97¢	$-194	-$9	05-27 14:09
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	-110	-$102	97¢	$-106	-$4	06-21 09:00
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$94	98¢	$98	+$4	05-21 06:24
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	-100	-$86	98¢	$-98	-$12	05-06 04:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$8.3K	4,172	4,172	+0	No	-$8	01-08 01:25
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	2	$3.5K	1,808	1,808	+0	open	—	10-22 16:49
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	13	$3.3K	2,200	1,200	+1,000	open	—	05-21 23:57
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$1.4K	1,415	0	+1,415	No	+$1	02-25 04:09
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$1.3K	1,320	0	+1,320	No	+$5	03-05 04:59
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$950	500	500	+0	open	—	05-17 21:51
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	1	$579	580	0	+580	No	+$1	05-16 07:16
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	1	$496	500	0	+500	No	+$4	04-08 10:09
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	1	$398	400	0	+400	No	+$2	04-08 09:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	1	$397	400	0	+400	No	+$3	04-08 09:06
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$361	0	386	-386	open	—	05-16 16:02
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	02-25 04:09
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$185	0	200	-200	open	—	05-27 14:09
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	1	$142	0	148	-148	No	-$6	05-06 04:51
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	03-05 04:58
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	1	$109	110	0	+110	No	+$1	02-25 04:02
x banned in uk by march 31	1	$108	110	0	+110	No	+$2	02-25 03:55
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	1	$102	0	110	-110	open	—	06-21 09:00
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$102	0	110	-110	No	-$8	05-06 04:50
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$94	100	0	+100	open	—	05-21 06:24
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	1	$86	0	100	-100	open	—	05-06 04:51
Will February be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-25 04:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 16:49:18	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,808	98¢	$1,765	0x42d1fd…
06-21 09:01:23	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,808	96¢	$1,736	0x85f312…
06-21 09:00:20	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	110	93¢	$102	0x6c9593…
05-27 14:09:52	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$185	0xfee328…
05-21 23:57:25	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	117	96¢	$112	0x35e9ff…
05-21 23:56:53	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	883	96¢	$846	0x0d37ea…
05-21 06:24:52	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	87	94¢	$82	0xd1fc70…
05-21 06:06:12	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xd68d58…
05-20 02:29:46	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	950	96¢	$910	0xa85967…
05-20 01:07:52	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x72885d…
05-19 22:51:26	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	97	96¢	$93	0x851530…
05-19 20:42:34	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xc95b3d…
05-19 18:59:54	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0xbb754f…
05-19 16:11:09	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x0f9d82…
05-19 16:07:27	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb2e953…
05-19 10:01:42	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x049011…
05-19 08:56:30	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9ae403…
05-19 07:58:30	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x6a8276…
05-17 21:51:28	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	95¢	$475	0x33efba…
05-16 16:02:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	386	94¢	$361	0xa0419f…
05-16 07:16:44	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	580	100¢	$579	0x296d59…
05-08 10:01:12	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	96¢	$1,146	0xcb8525…
05-06 09:52:18	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$474	0x6d28ed…
05-06 04:51:50	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	SELL	148	96¢	$142	0xc3f0b7…
05-06 04:51:20	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x9521d3…
05-06 04:50:16	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	110	93¢	$102	0x00a938…
04-08 10:09:49	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x9567d1…
04-08 09:06:31	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x8a1520…
04-08 09:06:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$397	0x9e10ec…
03-05 04:59:07	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,320	100¢	$1,315	0xafd3d8…
03-05 04:58:47	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf922a7…
02-25 04:09:48	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	1,415	100¢	$1,413	0x13b9e8…
02-25 04:09:04	Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x344875…
02-25 04:08:22	Will February be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x7f5301…
02-25 04:02:16	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x0b1258…
02-25 03:55:08	x banned in uk by march 31	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x9fa6d7…
01-08 01:25:09	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	4,172	99¢	$4,147	0x2db63a…
01-04 04:08:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	4,172	100¢	$4,155	0xf619c1…