Queasy-Divorce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$160

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

338

Trades

1,621

lifetime

Volume

$2.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-25 20:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 49% -$144

Other

11% 28% -$40

Sports

9% 21% +$25

Politics

9% 38% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+3	$0	3¢	$0	$0	09-04 02:59
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+3	$0	3¢	$0	+$0	09-04 03:00
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	+1	$0	4¢	$0	$0	09-04 03:03
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	-1	$0	5¢	$-0	+$0	10-25 11:38
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$0	4¢	$0	$0	09-04 03:03
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+3	$0	2¢	$0	+$0	09-04 03:01
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+3	$0	2¢	$0	$0	09-04 03:00
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+3	$0	2¢	$0	+$0	09-04 03:02
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+3	$0	2¢	$0	$0	09-04 03:01
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+3	$0	2¢	$0	+$0	09-04 03:02
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+3	$0	1¢	$0	$0	09-04 02:59
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+3	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	09-04 03:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+1	$0	3¢	$0	$0	09-04 03:03
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+3	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	09-04 03:00
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+3	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	09-04 03:01
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+3	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	09-04 03:00
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-0	$0	7¢	$-0	+$0	09-06 10:24
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+3	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	09-04 03:00
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+3	$0	1¢	$0	$0	09-04 03:02
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+3	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	09-04 03:02
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+3	$0	1¢	$0	$0	09-04 03:01
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	+1	$0	2¢	$0	+$0	09-04 03:03
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+3	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	09-04 03:01
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+3	$0	1¢	$0	$0	09-04 03:01
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+3	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	09-04 03:02
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+3	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	09-04 02:59
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+3	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	09-04 03:01
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+3	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	09-04 03:02
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+3	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	09-04 03:02
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$0	2¢	$0	$0	09-04 03:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	2	$93	203	203	+0	Yes	+$13	01-21 15:19
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 11:45 UTC	3	$88	76	75	+1	Up	+$10	01-18 11:47
will the patriots win the afc championship 1	2	$68	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	01-24 07:24
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	10	$64	73	72	+1	Yes	+$31	04-12 09:17
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	5	$54	31	31	-0	Yes	-$1	01-24 07:25
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	27	$53	559	559	+0	No	+$3	03-07 14:31
solana above 90 on february 16	1	$50	135	0	+135	No	-$50	02-14 17:42
will silver si hit low 55 by end of february 998 393 222 319 616 673 571 163	2	$39	125	125	+0	No	-$1	02-06 14:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 22:30 UTC	1	$39	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	03-09 22:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 02:00 UTC	1	$38	40	0	+40	Down	+$2	03-10 02:13
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 15:15 UTC	2	$36	51	0	+51	Up	+$15	03-10 15:26
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 26, 2026?	6	$32	35	0	+35	Yes	+$3	08-26 02:43
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 27, 2026?	6	$32	35	0	+35	Yes	+$3	08-26 19:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 10:00 UTC	1	$30	64	0	+64	Down	-$30	01-18 09:56
xrp up or down on january 18	2	$30	170	0	+170	Down	-$30	01-18 11:48
will carson schwesinger be the 2025 2026 nfl defensive rookie of the year	4	$28	15	15	+0	Yes	-$1	01-24 07:25
Will Moises Caicedo be named to the 2026 PFA Premier League Team of the Year?	5	$28	29	0	+29	No	+$1	08-19 06:56
Will Kaela Berg be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?	5	$27	28	0	+28	No	+$1	08-09 03:07
will silver si hit high 150 by end of february 397 652 494 395 172	2	$24	394	394	+0	No	-$16	02-14 03:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 21:30 UTC	1	$21	25	0	+25	Down	+$4	03-09 21:39
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 16:30 UTC	1	$21	25	0	+25	Down	+$4	03-09 16:38
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 17:15 UTC	1	$21	25	0	+25	Down	+$4	03-09 17:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 20:15 UTC	1	$21	26	0	+26	Down	+$5	03-09 20:25
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 02:00 UTC	1	$21	25	0	+25	Up	-$21	03-10 02:08
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 02:15 UTC	1	$21	25	0	+25	Down	+$5	03-10 02:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 02:15 UTC	1	$21	25	0	+25	Up	-$21	03-10 02:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 14:00 UTC	1	$20	25	0	+25	Down	+$5	03-09 14:08
will xrp reach 2pt6 in january 2026	4	$20	276	276	+0	No	-$10	01-20 19:05
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 14:45 UTC	1	$20	25	0	+25	Down	+$5	03-09 14:54
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	5	$20	10	40	-30	No	+$1	01-19 14:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 20:18:17	Rams vs. Raiders	Rams	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xcf0a6a…
10-25 20:01:38	Packers vs. Lions	Packers	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x123fc2…
10-25 19:34:42	Packers vs. Lions	Packers	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xfb75c1…
10-25 16:27:06	Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x4a6bd3…
10-25 16:04:11	Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x685622…
10-25 15:54:59	49ers vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xab1dab…
10-25 15:06:23	Packers vs. Lions	Packers	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x15edc8…
10-25 11:38:32	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xd87290…
10-25 11:38:30	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xb30be1…
10-25 11:38:29	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x816eb7…
10-25 11:38:27	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x83c51b…
10-25 11:38:26	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xfe24d4…
10-25 11:38:26	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x29c8bf…
10-25 11:38:24	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x1ca24d…
10-25 11:38:23	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x1c1dba…
10-25 11:38:21	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xd84ce2…
10-25 11:38:20	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x828bb8…
10-25 11:38:18	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xf7f170…
10-25 11:38:17	Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xabfb09…
10-25 11:38:17	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x006cd3…
10-25 11:38:15	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x7e8c27…
10-25 11:38:14	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x3e4733…
10-25 11:38:08	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xa130d4…
10-25 11:38:06	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x2f33b1…
10-25 11:38:05	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xa2a191…
10-25 11:38:05	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x4702d1…
10-25 11:38:03	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xff7754…
10-25 11:38:02	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x9beaa3…
10-25 11:38:02	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x83570b…
10-25 11:38:00	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xe30000…
10-25 11:37:59	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xe9cbd8…
10-25 11:37:57	Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xd91000…
10-25 11:37:56	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x6f18c2…
10-25 11:37:54	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x8d06ed…
10-25 11:37:54	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x81d147…
10-25 11:37:53	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x34bfaa…
10-25 11:37:51	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x4f6836…
10-25 11:37:50	Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xd7d64a…
10-25 11:37:48	Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x9d8130…
10-25 11:37:48	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x7bc5ce…
10-25 11:37:47	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xcb0191…
10-25 11:37:44	U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x7163a1…
10-25 11:37:42	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xa249d2…
10-25 11:37:41	Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xbdeef2…
10-25 11:37:41	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x90e120…
10-25 11:37:39	Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x5e22ef…
10-25 11:37:39	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x0d9f89…
10-25 11:37:36	Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xedb8c6…
10-25 11:37:36	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xe015c9…
10-25 11:37:35	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x68b6b5…
10-25 11:37:33	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x586286…
10-25 11:37:32	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x8238e0…
10-25 11:37:32	Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x6106e9…
10-25 11:37:29	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x688cf6…
10-25 11:37:29	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x4eff2f…
10-25 11:37:27	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xf88064…
10-25 11:37:26	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0x15db74…
10-25 11:37:24	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x097a5b…
10-25 11:37:23	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xf5a577…
10-25 11:37:23	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xaaed36…
10-25 11:37:21	Kraken IPO by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xf30acd…
10-25 11:37:20	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x8fc727…
10-25 11:37:18	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xe3aad3…
10-25 11:37:18	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x8f95d0…
10-25 11:37:17	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x495592…
10-25 11:37:15	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x025798…
10-25 11:37:14	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xb82efb…
10-25 11:37:14	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x2bb555…
10-25 11:37:12	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x782805…
10-25 11:37:11	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x45d1e9…
10-25 11:37:09	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x7a484d…
10-25 11:37:08	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x0d7119…
10-25 11:35:30	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x4afa52…
09-06 10:24:39	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xe40cfa…
09-06 10:24:36	Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x82d3b0…
09-06 10:24:33	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x8273af…
09-06 10:24:31	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x6a76a5…
09-06 10:24:28	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x1457cc…
09-06 10:24:25	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x75a1f5…
09-06 10:24:24	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x53231d…
09-06 10:24:22	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0x6b7a9e…
09-06 10:24:19	Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x24e43e…
09-06 10:24:16	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xf4e392…
09-06 10:24:15	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xa5b692…
09-06 10:24:12	Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x85226c…
09-04 03:04:15	U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xbb7577…
09-04 03:04:07	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x92e396…
09-04 03:04:07	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x52a044…
09-04 03:04:06	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0x9a36f2…
09-04 03:03:58	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x0f2a1b…
09-04 03:03:57	Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x30a2ba…
09-04 03:03:55	Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x0ee1c0…
09-04 03:03:54	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x441b39…
09-04 03:03:52	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd22c06…
09-04 03:03:52	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x2313b3…
09-04 03:03:51	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x23ce56…
09-04 03:03:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xf9e24f…
09-04 03:03:45	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x4d35ad…
09-04 03:03:37	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x5fc244…
09-04 03:03:34	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe1ec23…