Realized P&L
+$3.90K
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved
9,079
Trades
77,258
lifetime
Volume
$3.50M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$4.20K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-24 02:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 174 days
Categories
Crypto
99%
87%
+$1,816
Other
1%
76%
+$2,142
Sports
0%
43%
-$18
Politics
0%
40%
-$42
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | +1,100 | $1,060 | 99¢ | $1.1K | +$27 | 04-29 08:07 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | +1,000 | $924 | 98¢ | $980 | +$55 | 04-28 16:32 | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,000 | $890 | 98¢ | $975 | +$85 | 04-29 15:36 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +1,100 | $726 | 82¢ | $896 | +$170 | 04-29 08:10 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | +1,100 | $363 | 18¢ | $203 | -$159 | 04-28 18:56 | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +1,000 | $100 | 2¢ | $25 | -$75 | 04-29 12:48 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | +1,000 | $76 | 2¢ | $20 | -$56 | 04-28 14:32 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | +1,100 | $39 | 1¢ | $13 | -$26 | 04-28 13:06 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5? | 139 | $32.9K | 40,466 | 39,773 | +693 | Yes | +$12,606 | 05-04 17:53 |
| wbc cht jap 2026 03 06 | 3 | $11.1K | 11,373 | 0 | +11,373 | Japan | +$320 | 03-06 10:33 |
| wbc jap sok 2026 03 07 | 39 | $6.5K | 10,246 | 0 | +10,246 | Japan | -$249 | 03-07 12:36 |
| spx opens up or down on january 26 2026 | 39 | $3.8K | 5,555 | 0 | +5,555 | Up | +$1,712 | 01-26 14:25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | 26 | $3.5K | 3,760 | 0 | +3,760 | Down | +$244 | 05-17 22:18 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 13:15 UTC | 84 | $3.5K | 6,400 | 0 | +6,400 | Up | -$312 | 02-17 13:26 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 03:15 UTC | 23 | $3.5K | 3,714 | 0 | +3,714 | Down | +$212 | 02-25 03:17 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | 26 | $3.4K | 3,600 | 0 | +3,600 | Down | +$234 | 05-17 11:38 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | 23 | $3.4K | 3,600 | 0 | +3,600 | Down | +$238 | 05-17 13:34 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | 65 | $3.3K | 3,493 | 0 | +3,493 | Down | +$222 | 05-18 01:04 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | 29 | $3.3K | 3,477 | 0 | +3,477 | Down | +$225 | 05-17 02:23 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | 28 | $3.1K | 3,330 | 0 | +3,330 | Up | +$200 | 05-14 10:26 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | 20 | $3.1K | 3,330 | 0 | +3,330 | Up | +$200 | 05-11 22:57 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | 23 | $3.1K | 3,330 | 0 | +3,330 | Up | +$200 | 05-12 00:55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | 28 | $3.1K | 3,330 | 0 | +3,330 | Up | +$200 | 05-13 00:22 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | 48 | $3.1K | 3,330 | 0 | +3,330 | Up | +$200 | 05-14 00:37 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | 47 | $3.1K | 3,328 | 0 | +3,328 | Up | +$201 | 05-14 01:52 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | 16 | $3.1K | 3,253 | 0 | +3,253 | Up | +$194 | 05-12 09:35 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 6 | $3.0K | 3,200 | 1,000 | +2,200 | open | — | 04-29 08:07 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 03:50 UTC | 11 | $3.0K | 3,181 | 0 | +3,181 | Up | +$171 | 02-25 03:54 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | 64 | $3.0K | 3,198 | 0 | +3,198 | Up | -$2,983 | 05-17 17:33 |
| will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 | 29 | $3.0K | 31,000 | 21,500 | +9,500 | Yes | +$723 | 01-25 02:10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | 37 | $3.0K | 3,150 | 0 | +3,150 | Up | +$189 | 05-10 21:27 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | 13 | $3.0K | 3,150 | 0 | +3,150 | Up | +$189 | 05-11 10:25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | 18 | $2.9K | 3,136 | 0 | +3,136 | Up | +$188 | 05-11 09:09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | 35 | $2.9K | 3,125 | 0 | +3,125 | Up | +$187 | 05-10 23:09 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 09:00 UTC | 23 | $2.9K | 3,100 | 0 | +3,100 | Up | +$170 | 03-21 09:07 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | 36 | $2.9K | 3,075 | 0 | +3,075 | Up | +$174 | 05-18 03:07 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | 28 | $2.9K | 3,098 | 0 | +3,098 | Down | +$199 | 05-16 17:53 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | 13 | $2.9K | 3,036 | 0 | +3,036 | Up | +$170 | 05-14 08:37 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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