Realized P&L
-$238
Unrealized P&L
-$46
Hit rate
39.4%
Resolved
102
Trades
405
lifetime
Volume
$1.12K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$170
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-26 17:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Other
45% 18% -$188
Politics
31% 25% -$11
Crypto
24% 41% -$33
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% 0% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +110 $61 64¢ $71 +$10 10-26 17:28
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,226 $30 3¢ $31 +$1 09-20 23:06
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +268 $20 4¢ $12 -$8 09-20 08:35
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +9 $5 76¢ $7 +$2 06-13 17:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? Yes +900 $12 1¢ $6 -$6 10-03 11:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8 $5 76¢ $6 +$1 06-13 17:10
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $4 6¢ $6 +$2 10-23 17:06
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +91 $11 6¢ $5 -$5 08-10 06:27
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $5 45¢ $5 $0 10-22 20:18
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +245 $28 2¢ $4 -$24 10-23 05:24
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $3 3¢ $3 +$0 10-22 20:37
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +50 $3 6¢ $3 +$0 10-22 20:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? Yes +150 $7 1¢ $2 -$5 10-02 12:58
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -67 -$1 2¢ $-2 $0 09-20 07:19
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $2 8¢ $2 $0 10-22 20:25
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +100 $1 2¢ $2 +$0 10-22 20:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? Yes +100 $7 1¢ $1 -$6 10-02 12:57
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $3 5¢ $1 -$2 08-07 16:00
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 $0 08-07 16:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $0 6¢ $1 +$0 10-24 16:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October? Yes +200 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 10-02 12:58
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-22 20:17
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-02 12:55
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-13 17:10