Surprised-Instrument — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.31K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

535

lifetime

Volume

$53.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-18 05:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 0% $-1,213

Politics

8% 0% $-100

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775823600	11	$8.6K	8,575	8,004	+571	open	—	04-10 12:24
btc updown 5m 1775823900	12	$7.2K	6,984	6,528	+455	open	—	04-10 12:31
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	1	$2.0K	2,667	0	+2,667	open	—	01-14 18:46
btc updown 5m 1775826000	14	$1.7K	8,870	0	+8,870	open	—	04-10 13:04
btc updown 5m 1775825100	14	$1.5K	3,952	1,005	+2,947	open	—	04-10 12:49
btc updown 5m 1775825700	12	$1.3K	4,548	286	+4,262	open	—	04-10 12:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$1.2K	736	736	+0	open	—	04-09 16:39
btc updown 5m 1775941800	12	$1.2K	1,880	555	+1,324	open	—	04-11 21:14
btc updown 5m 1775825400	15	$1.1K	11,992	343	+11,650	open	—	04-10 12:54
btc updown 5m 1776719100	11	$1.1K	7,797	643	+7,154	open	—	04-20 21:09
btc updown 5m 1775827200	10	$1000	8,795	0	+8,795	open	—	04-10 13:23
btc updown 5m 1775949900	10	$979	2,399	1,751	+648	open	—	04-11 23:29
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$894	1,708	0	+1,708	open	—	01-14 18:58
btc updown 5m 1776720000	11	$820	5,860	0	+5,860	open	—	04-20 21:24
btc updown 5m 1775753400	6	$810	4,143	0	+4,143	open	—	04-09 16:53
btc updown 5m 1775823300	8	$810	2,598	0	+2,598	open	—	04-10 12:17
btc updown 5m 1775931900	7	$800	1,950	0	+1,950	open	—	04-11 18:27
btc updown 5m 1775757900	9	$776	2,651	148	+2,503	open	—	04-09 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	19	$709	3,225	21	+3,204	Down	$-668	05-06 22:25
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	1	$667	993	0	+993	open	—	01-15 13:59
btc updown 5m 1776719400	13	$604	11,881	0	+11,881	open	—	04-20 21:13
btc updown 5m 1775950200	7	$550	2,211	0	+2,211	open	—	04-11 23:34
btc updown 5m 1775950500	9	$550	3,899	0	+3,899	open	—	04-11 23:39
btc updown 5m 1776720300	9	$530	4,262	0	+4,262	open	—	04-20 21:29
btc updown 5m 1775824800	6	$525	3,179	0	+3,179	open	—	04-10 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	11	$520	4,937	0	+4,937	Down	$-520	05-06 22:19
btc updown 5m 1775758200	6	$515	1,793	0	+1,793	open	—	04-09 18:13
btc updown 5m 1775754600	4	$515	888	0	+888	open	—	04-09 17:11
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	1	$500	1,521	0	+1,521	open	—	01-15 13:59
btc updown 5m 1775821200	5	$500	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	04-10 11:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 05:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x45282c…
05-17 20:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x67feb6…
05-17 20:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8ee7de…
05-17 20:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3dd77b…
05-17 20:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x59b267…
05-17 20:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x167450…
05-17 20:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xba9273…
05-17 20:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7833ea…
05-17 20:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x709659…
05-17 20:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xfdad5d…
05-17 20:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xfd1c09…
05-17 20:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x43bbf3…
05-17 20:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0e1eed…
05-17 20:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x985ae0…
05-17 20:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x922521…
05-17 20:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xb107a2…
05-17 20:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	77	32¢	$25	0xed0875…
05-17 20:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x4bff2d…
05-17 20:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x874ccf…
05-17 20:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xffab8e…
05-17 20:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd7992f…
05-17 20:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x958b7f…
05-17 20:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x585df1…
05-17 20:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1106d1…
05-17 20:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf53b2f…
05-17 20:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x69c3f9…
05-17 20:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x5b9028…
05-17 20:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1f82e1…
05-17 20:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x5a3519…
05-17 20:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	41¢	$25	0x5f9aef…
05-17 20:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x262d85…
05-17 20:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x87b72a…
05-17 20:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	101	25¢	$25	0x9ff113…
05-17 20:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	88	29¢	$25	0xb7d45c…
05-17 20:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x3d3a82…
05-17 20:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x9bc8b9…
05-17 20:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x1f9bd8…
05-17 20:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x8a65a1…
05-17 20:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x8d1a30…
05-17 20:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	191	13¢	$25	0xc9292a…
05-17 20:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	213	12¢	$25	0x70e9e8…
05-17 20:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	220	11¢	$25	0x648d0e…
05-17 20:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0xac813f…
05-17 20:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0xff2057…
05-17 20:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xb1e819…
05-17 20:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	535	5¢	$25	0x0ed442…
05-17 20:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	595	4¢	$25	0x27da32…
05-17 20:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x18deaa…
05-17 20:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x1ac576…
05-17 20:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x94c65d…
05-06 22:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xc3a4ce…
05-06 22:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xdec001…
05-06 22:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xce7dba…
05-06 22:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	425	9¢	$40	0x03d69f…
05-06 22:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0xe0b4c2…
05-06 22:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xe586dd…
05-06 22:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x6c6d1e…
05-06 22:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xa2c6a6…
05-06 22:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x3b4de1…
05-06 22:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x0c7875…
05-06 22:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x921046…
05-06 22:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	133	38¢	$50	0x35ab32…
05-06 22:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x4d942f…
05-06 22:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0xdb3e69…
05-06 22:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x0781d2…
05-06 22:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x72c799…
05-06 22:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xb4dc53…
05-06 22:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x66aeba…
05-06 22:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x8815bb…
05-06 22:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xee5942…
05-06 22:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2,112	2¢	$50	0x0a36f6…
05-06 22:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	167	24¢	$40	0x661c53…
05-06 22:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xcefb45…
05-06 22:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0x75c5d7…
05-06 22:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	225	22¢	$50	0x1249cb…
05-06 22:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	103	48¢	$50	0xc6ab62…
05-06 22:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	236	21¢	$50	0xdb11a8…
05-06 22:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x47aa4d…
05-06 22:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0xc848a5…
05-06 22:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	174	23¢	$40	0xfd3bb9…
05-06 22:16:15	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	2,956	4¢	$120	0xa85ddb…
05-06 22:15:58	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	Yes	BUY	98,907	0¢	$100	0x0bc6b0…
05-06 22:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x0b60ff…
05-06 22:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x476cae…
04-22 22:28:36	btc updown 5m 1776896700	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x0d2b60…
04-22 22:28:30	btc updown 5m 1776896700	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xc4f6d8…
04-22 22:12:12	btc updown 5m 1776895800	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xe9a328…
04-22 22:11:12	btc updown 5m 1776895800	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x7db4a3…
04-22 22:11:02	btc updown 5m 1776895800	Up	BUY	280	35¢	$98	0x409a25…
04-22 22:09:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	5,427	0¢	$16	0x872376…
04-22 22:09:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	4,811	1¢	$48	0xe4f9b1…
04-22 22:09:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	2,077	3¢	$64	0xb6450e…
04-22 21:58:04	btc updown 5m 1776894900	Down	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x858948…
04-22 21:55:40	btc updown 5m 1776894900	Down	BUY	413	24¢	$100	0xc3f08e…
04-22 21:53:12	btc updown 5m 1776894600	Up	BUY	802	7¢	$60	0x402353…
04-22 21:52:56	btc updown 5m 1776894600	Up	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0x3c4ad6…
04-22 21:52:50	btc updown 5m 1776894600	Up	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0x4b478f…
04-22 21:52:36	btc updown 5m 1776894600	Up	BUY	281	21¢	$60	0x66f0f1…
04-22 21:52:24	btc updown 5m 1776894600	Up	BUY	244	20¢	$50	0x273d46…
04-22 21:52:20	btc updown 5m 1776894600	Up	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0x256d19…