Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
52.1%
Resolved
10
Trades
54
lifetime
Volume
$258
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$11
11 positions
First seen
2026-08-18
last 10-23 02:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
53% 43% -$1
Politics
37% 100% +$0
Crypto
11% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6 $6 95¢ $6 $0 10-23 02:49
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 09-09 18:47
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 09-01 08:48
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-24 16:30
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 09-02 08:40
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 08-23 22:56
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-09 13:43
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 08-24 18:50
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 10-04 00:42
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 08-28 00:38
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-01 11:53