Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$111

Unrealized P&L

+$45

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$183

Open exposure

$1.56K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-24 23:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 80% +$28

Other

20% 89% +$91

Politics

1% 25% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+749	$712	98¢	$737	+$25	09-24 23:28
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	+733	$704	98¢	$715	+$11	06-20 16:55
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+116	$109	97¢	$112	+$3	07-18 04:40
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$6	99¢	$0	+$6	08-17 19:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	17	$4.1K	2,491	1,742	+749	open	—	09-24 23:28
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.9K	1,480	1,480	+0	open	—	06-01 19:03
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	12	$2.1K	1,088	1,088	+0	open	—	08-17 19:17
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	7	$2.1K	1,451	681	+770	No	+$11	01-25 15:23
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$998	500	500	+0	No	$0	01-02 10:03
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	1	$704	733	0	+733	open	—	06-20 16:55
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$305	306	0	+306	No	+$2	03-02 10:49
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	2	$248	250	0	+250	No	+$2	05-28 16:34
will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 4pt0 and 4pt5	3	$243	125	125	+0	No	$0	01-02 10:03
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	2	$192	100	100	+0	No	+$0	01-02 10:03
will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions octdecjan	3	$132	148	0	+148	No	+$16	01-03 20:19
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$109	116	0	+116	open	—	07-18 04:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$100	119	0	+119	Yes	+$19	03-02 10:47
Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$96	100	0	+100	No	+$4	09-19 21:51
will bitcoin reach 65000 by december 31 2026 from june 29	1	$86	107	0	+107	Yes	+$21	07-02 02:58
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?	2	$84	100	0	+100	open	—	09-13 23:06
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$65	37	37	+0	No	+$0	01-20 03:40
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?	1	$64	100	0	+100	open	—	09-13 15:22
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	2	$63	100	0	+100	Yes	+$37	01-02 18:03
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by june 30 2026 816 655 272 169 592 858	1	$47	47	0	+47	Yes	+$0	01-02 10:09
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	4	$23	600	600	+0	No	+$5	01-18 04:38
will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions octdecjan	1	$22	24	0	+24	Yes	+$3	01-02 10:07
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	01-10 12:26
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 9 2026 943	1	$16	20	0	+20	No	+$4	01-02 16:29
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$4	10	0	+10	No	-$4	01-02 10:11
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-20 03:50
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-20 03:53
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-20 03:51
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-20 03:53
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-20 03:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 23:28:26	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	249	97¢	$241	0x40ec54…
09-19 21:51:29	Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	78	96¢	$74	0xa66760…
09-16 06:08:42	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0xfefde6…
09-14 04:47:25	Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x3a88ea…
09-13 23:06:30	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xfe9cf3…
09-13 22:19:07	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	84¢	$67	0x06669d…
09-13 15:22:33	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xfa17db…
09-13 07:31:10	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	327	98¢	$319	0xeb7eaa…
09-11 07:58:37	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	98¢	$62	0xd74b0e…
09-10 13:03:42	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x1ec153…
09-10 00:29:01	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x8308a8…
09-08 20:59:36	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x1dab6a…
09-08 16:22:33	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9d3ae6…
09-08 15:06:34	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x29db67…
09-08 10:38:45	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	512	98¢	$499	0x646252…
08-21 11:27:52	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	316	97¢	$306	0xd5c524…
08-21 09:36:07	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0xb5a4a3…
08-21 08:18:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xdb7165…
08-21 05:25:19	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	162	97¢	$157	0xe99b8b…
08-21 05:25:19	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	357	97¢	$346	0xc67be2…
08-17 19:17:52	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	985	98¢	$967	0x13d00d…
08-17 10:38:03	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7a2715…
08-17 09:01:39	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x7ad1e8…
08-17 08:12:43	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xc4f891…
08-17 07:52:06	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$47	0x84ee78…
08-17 07:17:46	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9ac180…
07-18 04:40:36	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	116	94¢	$109	0x00f0a3…
07-08 23:09:46	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	911	98¢	$893	0x4e67cd…
07-02 02:58:10	will bitcoin reach 65000 by december 31 2026 from june 29	Yes	BUY	107	80¢	$86	0x0421a8…
07-01 07:21:44	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	742	97¢	$720	0x719e3f…
06-20 16:55:43	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	733	96¢	$704	0x5a4d98…
06-10 02:14:15	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	742	96¢	$712	0x9fab33…
06-01 19:03:47	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,480	98¢	$1,443	0xdab171…
05-28 16:34:33	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x2e1231…
05-28 14:14:23	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	223	99¢	$221	0x11f31f…
05-22 19:02:14	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x539f0e…
05-22 17:30:32	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x7c83b1…
05-22 16:26:17	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xf5ef87…
05-22 16:12:06	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xba9204…
05-22 15:56:44	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x621791…
05-04 16:26:54	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,480	97¢	$1,428	0x35bc4d…
03-02 10:49:07	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	306	100¢	$305	0x71e08b…
03-02 10:47:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x243b7f…
01-25 15:23:48	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	700	99¢	$691	0x1f36d1…
01-20 17:55:58	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	139	99¢	$137	0x6bc7a0…
01-20 17:29:40	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xcf283f…
01-20 17:29:40	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb47156…
01-20 16:35:48	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	338	99¢	$333	0xab9160…
01-20 11:57:54	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	176	99¢	$174	0x87b7d4…
01-20 03:57:02	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	751	98¢	$740	0x525ace…
01-20 03:53:40	Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1ef813…
01-20 03:53:16	Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9b11be…
01-20 03:52:50	Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf72ab9…
01-20 03:52:08	Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x67df88…
01-20 03:51:48	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb764aa…
01-20 03:51:18	Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf73619…
01-20 03:50:54	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x65db5b…
01-20 03:50:30	Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfdfc40…
01-20 03:40:56	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	37	88¢	$33	0x324827…
01-18 04:38:26	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	SELL	600	2¢	$14	0xc5fab7…
01-10 12:26:44	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x66293f…
01-03 20:19:45	will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions octdecjan	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x0ceb9e…
01-03 17:14:57	will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions octdecjan	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x1a0199…
01-02 18:03:25	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	81	63¢	$51	0x4a322c…
01-02 17:56:51	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x6256f3…
01-02 16:29:43	will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 9 2026 943	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x9eeef0…
01-02 10:11:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x2eaa8e…
01-02 10:09:31	will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by june 30 2026 816 655 272 169 592 858	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x3e5670…
01-02 10:08:11	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	37	87¢	$32	0x69a016…
01-02 10:07:27	will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions octdecjan	Yes	BUY	24	89¢	$22	0x7ffb48…
01-02 10:05:35	will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions octdecjan	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xa679d7…
01-02 10:03:35	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x1b213d…
01-02 10:03:25	will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 4pt0 and 4pt5	No	SELL	125	97¢	$121	0x66b692…
01-02 10:03:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0xbcb0c7…
01-02 06:04:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xe4f285…
01-01 22:29:07	will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 4pt0 and 4pt5	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x21e71c…
01-01 14:51:35	will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 4pt0 and 4pt5	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3373a9…
01-01 13:40:47	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x8763f7…
01-01 11:54:35	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	494	2¢	$7	0xad5ae2…
01-01 11:54:35	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x7ffbb9…
01-01 11:24:07	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd65045…