Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$81

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

88.2%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$8.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

$71

1 position

First seen

2026-03-22

last 06-10 20:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

39% 50% +$81

Politics

36% — —

Sports

25% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes		+614	$100	12¢	$71	$-29	06-10 20:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	3	$664	406	406	+0	open	—	03-28 21:05
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	2	$623	436	436	+0	open	—	04-19 16:46
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$581	522	522	+0	open	—	03-29 19:22
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	14	$440	230,381	0	+230,381	open	—	03-25 06:06
will iran strike uae again in march	3	$383	250	250	+0	open	—	04-05 21:20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$302	811	811	+0	open	—	04-13 09:15
nba phi bos 2026 04 19 spread home 13pt5	2	$301	204	201	+3	open	—	04-19 20:14
mlb hou oak 2026 04 05	2	$301	204	201	+3	open	—	04-06 02:33
nba phi bos 2026 04 19 spread home 12pt5	2	$286	189	186	+3	open	—	04-19 20:14
nba phi bos 2026 04 19 total 213pt5	2	$276	179	176	+2	open	—	04-19 20:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$259	196	196	+0	open	—	04-04 06:34
Nothing Ever Happens: April	2	$242	471	471	+0	open	—	04-21 06:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$241	152	152	+0	open	—	04-03 16:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$238	141	141	+0	open	—	04-25 18:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$228	130	130	+0	open	—	04-03 16:06
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	1	$200	625	0	+625	open	—	03-29 12:13
nba lac mil 2026 03 29 spread away 17pt5	1	$200	368	0	+368	open	—	03-29 20:49
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	2	$200	2,548	0	+2,548	open	—	04-10 21:08
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	1	$150	251	0	+251	Yes	+$101	04-19 20:18
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$121	86	86	+0	open	—	04-01 23:35
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	04-27 21:57
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	1	$100	251	0	+251	open	—	03-29 20:26
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	1	$100	1,016	0	+1,016	open	—	03-22 13:24
nba mia ind 2026 03 29 spread away 8pt5	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	03-29 20:49
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	1	$100	524	0	+524	open	—	04-05 21:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$100	1,429	0	+1,429	open	—	03-26 22:43
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	1	$100	471	0	+471	open	—	03-23 09:07
tulsi gabbard out by march 31	1	$100	1,542	0	+1,542	open	—	03-23 09:00
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5	1	$100	192	0	+192	open	—	04-27 21:58
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	1	$100	614	0	+614	open	—	06-10 20:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 20:38:27	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	614	16¢	$100	0x30ce7c…
05-17 21:46:30	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xce8fc2…
04-27 21:58:14	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xf7b1a9…
04-27 21:57:04	Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)	Nuggets	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x037334…
04-25 18:32:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	141	98¢	$138	0x4f3dcd…
04-21 20:01:48	nba por sas 2026 04 21 total 219pt5	Over	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xe48307…
04-21 19:59:30	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xf300e8…
04-21 06:08:06	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Something	SELL	471	30¢	$142	0xf65b0b…
04-19 21:25:42	nba phx okc 2026 04 19 total 215pt5	Under	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x71e79f…
04-19 20:20:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xc98507…
04-19 20:18:44	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	251	60¢	$150	0x53c12b…
04-19 20:18:02	nba phx okc 2026 04 19	Suns	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0xdb11da…
04-19 20:17:38	nba phx okc 2026 04 19 spread home 13pt5	Suns	BUY	88	23¢	$20	0xc73e83…
04-19 20:14:16	nba phi bos 2026 04 19 spread home 13pt5	Celtics	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0x89ba8f…
04-19 20:14:00	nba phi bos 2026 04 19 spread home 12pt5	Celtics	SELL	186	100¢	$186	0xcf740b…
04-19 20:13:56	nba phi bos 2026 04 19 total 213pt5	Over	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0x92471b…
04-19 16:50:42	nba phi bos 2026 04 19 total 213pt5	Over	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xf99c91…
04-19 16:49:16	nba phi bos 2026 04 19 spread home 12pt5	Celtics	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xb68418…
04-19 16:49:04	nba phi bos 2026 04 19 spread home 13pt5	Celtics	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x81ba1e…
04-19 16:46:08	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	436	97¢	$423	0xf0443e…
04-13 09:15:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	811	0¢	$2	0x4b6292…
04-12 21:56:13	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Something	BUY	471	21¢	$100	0x36790b…
04-10 21:08:33	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,741	6¢	$100	0x86ea6a…
04-06 02:33:33	mlb hou oak 2026 04 05	Athletics	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0xf39e4a…
04-05 21:25:05	mlb hou oak 2026 04 05	Athletics	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x49335e…
04-05 21:22:17	US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	524	19¢	$100	0xe7c230…
04-05 21:20:39	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	SELL	250	97¢	$243	0x3b909c…
04-05 10:02:47	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xbd97ca…
04-05 04:57:41	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	233	4¢	$10	0x95d36d…
04-05 04:57:35	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	317	3¢	$10	0xfe31d1…
04-05 04:54:41	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0xb168e6…
04-05 04:48:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x26d39d…
04-05 04:48:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x866eea…
04-05 04:42:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xa5debb…
04-05 04:39:43	mlb mil kc 2026 04 03	Kansas City Royals	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xe55904…
04-04 07:49:49	mlb cin tex 2026 04 04	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x9e78bd…
04-04 07:48:23	mlb mil kc 2026 04 03	Kansas City Royals	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x36353f…
04-04 06:34:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	196	81¢	$159	0x89a8be…
04-03 21:45:53	mlb cin tex 2026 04 03	Texas Rangers	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6f5c4f…
04-03 21:40:25	mlb cin tex 2026 04 03	Texas Rangers	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x505b07…
04-03 21:24:23	mlb hou oak 2026 04 04	Houston Astros	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xfef51c…
04-03 21:23:57	mlb bal pit 2026 04 04	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x910c98…
04-03 21:23:05	mlb hou oak 2026 04 03	Houston Astros	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x20b722…
04-03 21:12:47	mlb cin tex 2026 04 03	Texas Rangers	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xac5329…
04-03 21:11:51	nba min phi 2026 04 03	76ers	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x87bf26…
04-03 16:06:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	152	93¢	$141	0x01c32c…
04-03 16:06:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	130	99¢	$128	0xd04c01…
04-01 23:35:27	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	86	82¢	$71	0x52bc90…
03-29 20:50:58	nba orl tor 2026 03 29	Magic	BUY	96	46¢	$44	0xc5059f…
03-29 20:49:32	nba lac mil 2026 03 29 spread away 17pt5	Clippers	BUY	368	54¢	$200	0xdeb217…
03-29 20:49:10	nba mia ind 2026 03 29 spread away 8pt5	Heat	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x7359e2…
03-29 20:26:30	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0x211ac8…
03-29 20:21:40	prince andrew charged by march 31	Yes	BUY	473	2¢	$10	0x902e68…
03-29 19:22:16	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	No	SELL	522	73¢	$381	0xdd4495…
03-29 12:13:38	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	625	32¢	$200	0xcb8481…
03-29 00:34:02	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x68ecf5…
03-29 00:33:16	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x31ea3c…
03-29 00:32:18	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 31	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x15f81d…
03-29 00:27:04	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	24¢	$50	0x7596c4…
03-29 00:03:38	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	902	1¢	$10	0xf0e8c7…
03-29 00:01:40	U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?	Yes	BUY	217	14¢	$30	0x7b0ab5…
03-28 21:11:10	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x5f0039…
03-28 21:05:00	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	406	97¢	$392	0x098e9b…
03-28 21:04:18	will the dhs shutdown end between march 28 31 2026	Yes	BUY	359	3¢	$10	0x916ca1…
03-28 11:50:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	811	37¢	$300	0xd021be…
03-28 11:34:15	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	No	BUY	522	38¢	$200	0x1a3e6f…
03-26 22:43:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0xf7d7e3…
03-25 22:33:57	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	807	12¢	$100	0x7bc96f…
03-25 17:00:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xb0d186…
03-25 17:00:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x5598bb…
03-25 16:59:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xfe6070…
03-25 16:54:49	military action against iran ends on march 29 2026	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x8c2d43…
03-25 16:54:41	military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	567	2¢	$10	0x61210b…
03-25 16:54:35	military action against iran ends on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1,082	1¢	$10	0x0a5d5f…
03-25 16:54:29	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	BUY	905	1¢	$10	0x318959…
03-25 16:47:05	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0x7c5e5a…
03-25 16:43:45	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	107	67¢	$72	0x44bae6…
03-25 06:06:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0xf633df…
03-24 23:57:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x5c45e8…
03-24 23:51:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	15,000	0¢	$30	0xb82b6f…
03-24 23:05:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0x12b73c…
03-24 21:57:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	33,333	0¢	$100	0xec8795…
03-24 21:20:09	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x1d7996…
03-24 21:19:57	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xd00d4f…
03-24 07:08:01	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 24 2026	No	BUY	246	4¢	$10	0x40d1ce…
03-24 06:47:45	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x0ed086…
03-23 22:10:07	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xd9de4c…
03-23 22:08:37	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	4,000	0¢	$20	0x530193…
03-23 22:07:05	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x0418c0…
03-23 21:56:45	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xd03223…
03-23 21:56:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x0205cc…
03-23 09:39:09	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0x6d3e04…
03-23 09:07:23	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	471	21¢	$100	0x1dc9ad…
03-23 09:00:57	tulsi gabbard out by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,542	6¢	$100	0x2bbf4a…
03-22 15:04:41	will jamie be said 10 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xfd6db5…
03-22 15:04:29	will jake paul or logan paul be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xa3e237…
03-22 15:04:19	will elon or musk be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc59fac…
03-22 14:03:37	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	586	3¢	$20	0xac5136…
03-22 13:59:49	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	436	46¢	$200	0x3e06a1…
03-22 13:32:05	will gas hit high 5pt00 by march 31	Yes	BUY	304	3¢	$10	0xf0c2f3…