Unfinished-Belt 0xae91ec…1f0f69 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$1.92K
Unrealized P&L
+$315
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved
1,039
Trades
2,743
lifetime
Volume
$42.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$2.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 19:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 250 days
Categories
Other
76% 62% +$1,010
Tech
20% 75% +$763
Sports
2% 60% +$73
Crypto
1% 90% +$53
Politics
1% 55% +$27
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +181 $152 92¢ $166 +$14 11-02 22:57
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -160 -$149 99¢ $-158 -$9 05-30 12:28
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +246 $106 57¢ $141 +$36 11-02 11:04
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +176 $95 69¢ $122 +$27 10-30 21:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +134 $121 87¢ $116 -$4 11-07 23:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +108 $100 94¢ $101 +$1 11-06 22:35
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +93 $86 98¢ $91 +$5 11-02 11:53
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +89 $76 98¢ $88 +$12 10-30 12:09
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -81 -$64 99¢ $-80 -$16 05-30 08:54
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +83 $74 93¢ $77 +$2 09-30 22:13
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +77 $70 98¢ $75 +$5 11-01 09:57
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +75 $60 98¢ $74 +$14 05-23 16:14
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? No — +74 $66 99¢ $74 +$8 11-03 01:20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +75 $60 92¢ $70 +$10 10-16 07:54
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +75 -$86 90¢ $67 +$154 11-05 00:48
Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026? Yes +66 $60 99¢ $65 +$5 11-01 21:28
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? No +70 $61 92¢ $64 +$3 09-30 20:32
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? No +74 $50 82¢ $60 +$10 10-20 06:48
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -60 -$58 99¢ $-59 -$1 08-16 14:41
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No -64 -$60 90¢ $-57 +$3 08-16 16:14
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? No +68 $54 82¢ $55 +$1 11-02 17:27
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +59 $50 90¢ $53 +$3 07-06 16:22
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +54 $49 94¢ $51 +$1 11-01 17:44
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +50 $48 98¢ $49 +$1 11-06 22:48
Will Manchester United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +50 $46 97¢ $49 +$3 10-31 20:23
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026? No +50 $41 97¢ $49 +$8 11-06 00:39
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -47 -$46 98¢ $-46 +$0 08-16 16:13
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +48 $30 95¢ $45 +$15 10-28 12:54
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027? Yes +49 $40 88¢ $43 +$3 11-01 12:22
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 9, 2026? No +44 $40 97¢ $43 +$3 11-05 10:01