Realized P&L
+$1.03K
Unrealized P&L
+$783
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved
41
Trades
25,740
lifetime
Volume
$3.24M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$126
Open exposure
$7.89K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
63% 52% +$1,028
Politics
25%
Tech
8%
Crypto
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 835 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3,020 $1,082 70¢ $2.1K +$1,047 06-20 15:19
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +2,093 $1,953 100¢ $2.1K +$134 06-23 22:47
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30? No +1,085 $1,074 100¢ $1.1K +$6 06-25 06:29
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? No -1,000 $-998 100¢ $-996 +$2 06-27 08:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +955 $586 100¢ $952 +$366 06-19 02:14
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +690 $480 64¢ $445 $-35 06-26 01:09
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +75 $63 95¢ $71 +$9 06-23 14:57
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +72 $41 99¢ $71 +$30 06-11 01:53
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -50 $-48 94¢ $-47 +$1 06-24 19:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,946 $130 $7 $-123 06-24 18:05
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1,114 $174 $3 $-171 06-09 18:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +955 $704 $2 $-701 06-19 21:01
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +2 $-215 100¢ $2 +$217 06-24 01:57