Realized P&L (30d)
+$2.38K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.40K
Hit rate
81.3%
Resolved (30d)
63
Trades (30d)
1,347
30,353 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$98.0K
$3.61M lifetime
Avg / trade
$119
Open exposure
$16.0K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 14:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 201 days
Categories
Other
61% 61% +$80,183
Politics
26% 71% +$5,194
Tech
8% 65% +$3,729
Crypto
4% 36% -$493
Sports
0% 58% -$436
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$83
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +8,056 $4,755 92¢ $7.4K +$2,616 11-06 02:33
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +4,227 $2,555 66¢ $2.8K +$256 10-28 00:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +17,049 $1,024 6¢ $938 -$86 11-06 03:19
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1,000 $910 82¢ $822 -$88 11-05 15:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +10,101 $1,498 8¢ $758 -$741 11-06 11:35
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +750 $655 98¢ $736 +$81 10-20 18:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +967 $774 74¢ $714 -$60 11-04 05:36
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No +397 $381 98¢ $387 +$7 11-06 06:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +17,560 $384 2¢ $290 -$95 11-06 03:19
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? Yes +1,560 $560 14¢ $211 -$349 11-06 11:14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +211 $80 87¢ $185 +$104 10-08 00:18
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2,009 $448 8¢ $168 -$280 11-04 23:34
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +18,797 $266 1¢ $160 -$106 11-06 14:12
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +112 $88 95¢ $106 +$17 10-06 13:15
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +102 $97 99¢ $101 +$4 10-06 05:44
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -50 -$131 99¢ $-50 +$82 10-06 02:06
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +58 $41 83¢ $48 +$7 10-06 22:29
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? No +41 $27 100¢ $41 +$14 11-04 00:59
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +35 $23 86¢ $30 +$7 10-07 19:26
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026? No +20 $9 94¢ $19 +$10 11-05 06:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,308 $21 1¢ $15 -$6 11-03 05:45
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? No +2 $0 48¢ $1 +$1 11-04 07:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +0 -$9 80¢ $0 +$9 11-05 03:24
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026? No +5 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 11-05 20:59