Repulsive-Darkness 0x7b75e7…ed3fd1 Create alert
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$1.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
79.2%
Resolved (30d)
59
Trades (30d)
1,670
30,739 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$110.3K
$3.63M lifetime
Avg / trade
$118
Open exposure
$12.6K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 01:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 204 days
Categories
Other
61% 62% +$81,071
Politics
26% 70% +$4,756
Tech
8% 65% +$3,762
Crypto
4% 36% -$493
Sports
0% 58% -$436
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$83
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 192 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +3,980 $1,130 88¢ $3.5K +$2,392 11-08 05:47
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +4,082 $2,457 68¢ $2.8K +$299 11-09 23:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +3,400 $2,425 70¢ $2.4K -$61 11-08 22:47
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +8,251 $979 10¢ $796 -$182 11-06 21:04
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +750 $655 98¢ $737 +$82 10-20 18:45
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No +397 $381 98¢ $389 +$8 11-06 06:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +22,606 $1,033 1¢ $249 -$785 11-10 01:25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +3,914 $1,065 5¢ $211 -$854 11-06 22:39
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +500 $125 40¢ $202 +$77 11-10 01:15
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +211 $80 89¢ $189 +$108 10-08 00:18
Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day? No +1,201 $197 15¢ $174 -$22 11-08 13:55
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? Yes +1,560 $560 11¢ $172 -$388 11-07 01:17
Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? No +853 $200 14¢ $115 -$85 11-06 21:49
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +112 $88 93¢ $105 +$16 10-06 13:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +25,887 $423 0¢ $104 -$320 11-10 00:17
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +102 $97 99¢ $101 +$4 10-06 05:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $10 84¢ $84 +$74 11-08 21:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +20,263 $278 0¢ $81 -$197 11-06 17:59
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +58 $41 88¢ $51 +$10 10-06 22:29
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -50 -$131 99¢ $-50 +$82 10-06 02:06
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? No +41 $27 99¢ $41 +$14 11-04 00:59
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +35 $23 86¢ $30 +$7 10-07 19:26
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $129 3¢ $30 -$99 11-08 21:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +7,308 $31 0¢ $11 -$20 11-10 01:14
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +546 $311 0¢ $1 -$310 11-07 01:58
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? No +2 $0 8¢ $0 $0 11-04 07:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +0 -$157 27¢ $0 +$157 11-09 21:51