Repulsive-Darkness 0x7b75e7…ed3fd1 Create alert
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$3.13K
Unrealized P&L
+$919
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved (90d)
80
Trades (90d)
1,831
30,637 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$139.9K
$3.62M lifetime
Avg / trade
$118
Open exposure
$15.3K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 19:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 204 days
Categories
Other
61% 61% +$80,351
Politics
26% 70% +$4,756
Tech
8% 65% +$3,762
Crypto
4% 36% -$493
Sports
0% 58% -$436
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$83
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +3,980 $1,130 90¢ $3.6K +$2,432 11-08 05:47
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +4,087 $2,460 68¢ $2.8K +$299 11-09 00:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +3,400 $2,425 70¢ $2.4K -$34 11-08 22:47
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,346 99¢ $2.0K +$642 11-08 11:52
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +8,251 $979 10¢ $800 -$178 11-06 21:04
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +750 $655 98¢ $736 +$81 10-20 18:45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +1,826 $391 24¢ $438 +$47 11-09 17:15
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No +397 $381 97¢ $387 +$6 11-06 06:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +18,606 $989 2¢ $307 -$682 11-09 15:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +3,914 $1,065 6¢ $249 -$816 11-06 22:39
Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day? No +1,201 $197 16¢ $192 -$4 11-08 13:55
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +211 $80 89¢ $188 +$108 10-08 00:18
Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? No +853 $200 22¢ $183 -$17 11-06 21:49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? Yes +1,560 $560 12¢ $179 -$380 11-07 01:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +24,572 $418 0¢ $111 -$307 11-09 18:50
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +112 $88 94¢ $105 +$17 10-06 13:15
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +102 $97 98¢ $101 +$4 10-06 05:44
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026? Yes +100 $34 100¢ $100 +$65 11-08 19:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +20,263 $278 0¢ $91 -$187 11-06 17:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $10 87¢ $87 +$77 11-08 21:47
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +302 $75 27¢ $82 +$6 11-09 19:10
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $129 8¢ $80 -$49 11-08 21:59
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +58 $41 89¢ $52 +$11 10-06 22:29
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -50 -$131 99¢ $-50 +$82 10-06 02:06
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? No +41 $27 99¢ $41 +$14 11-04 00:59
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +35 $23 86¢ $30 +$7 10-07 19:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,896 $22 0¢ $9 -$13 11-09 18:08
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +546 $311 0¢ $1 -$310 11-07 01:58
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? No +2 $0 19¢ $0 +$0 11-04 07:28