Realized P&L (90d)
+$3.28K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.09K
Hit rate
75.4%
Resolved (90d)
82
Trades (90d)
1,982
30,844 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$139.4K
$3.63M lifetime
Avg / trade
$118
Open exposure
$15.2K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 06:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 206 days
Categories
Other
62% 62% +$81,085
Politics
26% 70% +$4,756
Tech
8% 65% +$3,762
Crypto
4% 33% -$804
Sports
0% 58% -$436
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$83
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 192 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +5,202 $3,552 66¢ $3.4K -$104 11-11 00:41
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +4,068 $2,447 66¢ $2.7K +$258 11-10 21:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +2,248 $1,608 88¢ $2.0K +$375 11-11 06:37
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1,990 -$661 95¢ $1.9K +$2,549 11-10 12:01
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +6,235 $583 19¢ $1.2K +$602 11-11 00:42
Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day? No +3,221 $513 26¢ $837 +$324 11-11 00:40
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +750 $655 98¢ $738 +$83 10-20 18:45
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +8,421 $985 5¢ $408 -$577 11-10 22:02
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No +397 $381 98¢ $387 +$7 11-06 06:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +3,914 $1,065 6¢ $250 -$815 11-06 22:39
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +22,211 $994 1¢ $244 -$749 11-11 04:35
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +211 $80 89¢ $188 +$108 10-08 00:18
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? Yes +1,560 $560 10¢ $156 -$404 11-07 01:17
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +500 $125 29¢ $145 +$20 11-10 01:15
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +102 $97 99¢ $101 +$4 10-06 05:44
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +112 $88 89¢ $100 +$11 10-06 13:15
Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? No +853 $200 8¢ $72 -$128 11-06 21:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +30,887 $433 0¢ $62 -$371 11-11 04:39
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +58 $41 86¢ $50 +$9 10-06 22:29
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -50 -$131 99¢ $-50 +$82 10-06 02:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +17,910 $52 0¢ $45 -$7 11-11 06:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +23,990 $285 0¢ $36 -$249 11-11 01:08
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +35 $23 86¢ $30 +$7 10-07 19:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $16 14¢ $28 +$12 11-11 00:36
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $129 2¢ $16 -$112 11-08 21:59
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? No +2 $0 3¢ $0 $0 11-04 07:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +0 -$157 15¢ $0 +$157 11-09 21:51