Realized P&L (90d)
+$3.13K
Unrealized P&L
+$560
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved (90d)
80
Trades (90d)
1,674
30,480 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$139.6K
$3.62M lifetime
Avg / trade
$119
Open exposure
$14.6K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 01:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 204 days
Categories
Other
61% 61% +$80,351
Politics
26% 70% +$4,756
Tech
8% 65% +$3,762
Crypto
4% 36% -$493
Sports
0% 58% -$436
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$83
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +3,980 $1,130 88¢ $3.5K +$2,392 11-08 05:47
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +4,087 $2,460 68¢ $2.8K +$299 11-09 00:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +3,400 $2,425 70¢ $2.4K -$44 11-08 22:47
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,346 87¢ $1.7K +$394 11-08 11:52
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +8,251 $979 9¢ $771 -$207 11-06 21:04
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +750 $655 98¢ $738 +$83 10-20 18:45
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No +397 $381 98¢ $388 +$8 11-06 06:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +1,079 $227 24¢ $254 +$27 11-07 18:10
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +3,914 $1,065 6¢ $241 -$824 11-06 22:39
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +15,683 $951 2¢ $235 -$716 11-09 00:42
Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day? No +1,201 $197 17¢ $204 +$8 11-08 13:55
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +211 $80 89¢ $189 +$108 10-08 00:18
Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? No +853 $200 22¢ $183 -$17 11-06 21:49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? Yes +1,560 $560 12¢ $179 -$380 11-07 01:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +21,796 $407 1¢ $131 -$276 11-09 01:34
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $129 13¢ $129 $0 11-08 21:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +20,263 $278 1¢ $111 -$166 11-06 17:59
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +112 $88 91¢ $102 +$13 10-06 13:15
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +102 $97 99¢ $101 +$4 10-06 05:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $10 85¢ $85 +$75 11-08 21:47
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +58 $41 91¢ $53 +$12 10-06 22:29
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -50 -$131 99¢ $-49 +$82 10-06 02:06
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? No +41 $27 99¢ $41 +$14 11-04 00:59
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +35 $23 86¢ $30 +$7 10-07 19:26
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026? Yes +100 $34 24¢ $24 -$10 11-08 19:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,308 $21 0¢ $6 -$15 11-03 05:45
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +546 $311 0¢ $1 -$310 11-07 01:58
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? No +2 $0 28¢ $1 +$0 11-04 07:28