Realized P&L
+$91.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$588
Hit rate
76.9%
Resolved
1,685
Trades
31,064
lifetime
Volume
$3.66M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$118
Open exposure
$12.3K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 13:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 207 days
Categories
Other
62% 62% +$83,850
Politics
26% 70% +$4,756
Tech
8% 65% +$3,762
Crypto
4% 33% -$804
Sports
0% 58% -$436
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$83
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 192 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +4,048 $1,241 94¢ $3.8K +$2,550 11-12 18:22
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +4,068 $2,447 66¢ $2.7K +$238 11-10 21:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +2,185 $1,553 74¢ $1.6K +$67 11-11 06:48
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +8,235 $743 10¢ $823 +$80 11-13 07:47
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +750 $655 98¢ $737 +$82 10-20 18:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +16,063 $1,373 3¢ $442 -$931 11-13 14:46
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No +397 $381 98¢ $387 +$7 11-06 06:56
Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day? No +3,221 $513 12¢ $370 -$143 11-11 00:40
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +500 $125 52¢ $261 +$136 11-10 01:15
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +211 $80 93¢ $197 +$116 10-08 00:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +25,458 $884 1¢ $191 -$693 11-12 05:08
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1,932 $473 6¢ $125 -$349 11-13 04:53
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +112 $88 99¢ $111 +$23 10-06 13:15
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +102 $97 99¢ $101 +$4 10-06 05:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +28,432 $264 0¢ $71 -$193 11-14 07:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +37,993 $185 0¢ $57 -$128 11-13 06:49
Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? No +838 $199 6¢ $54 -$145 11-12 11:12
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -50 -$131 100¢ $-50 +$82 10-06 02:06
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +58 $41 84¢ $49 +$8 10-06 22:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +11,194 $25 0¢ $39 +$14 11-12 03:38
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +35 $23 86¢ $30 +$7 10-07 19:26
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? Yes +389 $447 8¢ $29 -$418 11-12 20:37
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.575T by November 30? Yes +40 $10 57¢ $23 +$13 11-14 13:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $16 9¢ $18 +$3 11-11 00:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +0 -$157 10¢ $0 +$157 11-09 21:51