Repulsive-Darkness 0x7b75e7…ed3fd1 Create alert
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$523
Unrealized P&L
+$417
Hit rate
83.3%
Resolved (7d)
15
Trades (7d)
441
30,073 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$35.5K
$3.59M lifetime
Avg / trade
$119
Open exposure
$15.9K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 16:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 196 days
Categories
Other
62% 61% +$80,629
Politics
26% 72% +$4,370
Tech
8% 65% +$3,729
Crypto
4% 44% -$4
Sports
0% 58% -$436
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$83
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +6,567 $3,924 55¢ $3.6K -$345 11-02 17:18
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +4,227 $2,555 64¢ $2.7K +$129 10-28 00:26
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,000 $1,800 94¢ $1.9K +$90 10-13 20:41
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,240 76¢ $1.5K +$270 10-14 15:08
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +1,000 $800 78¢ $784 -$16 11-02 13:23
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +4,175 $802 18¢ $760 -$42 11-02 15:20
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +750 $655 98¢ $732 +$77 10-20 18:45
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,000 $640 66¢ $665 +$25 10-20 20:36
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +1,000 $690 66¢ $665 -$25 10-27 16:09
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +650 $494 91¢ $594 +$100 10-25 08:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +7,698 $543 8¢ $577 +$34 11-02 17:41
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +500 $410 83¢ $415 +$5 11-02 06:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +12,145 $306 2¢ $225 -$82 10-31 11:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +15,590 $238 1¢ $195 -$43 10-30 20:46
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +211 $80 85¢ $181 +$100 10-08 00:18
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +112 $88 98¢ $110 +$21 10-06 13:15
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +102 $97 98¢ $100 +$3 10-06 05:44
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No -53 -$51 95¢ $-50 +$1 08-14 10:32
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -50 -$131 99¢ $-50 +$82 10-06 02:06
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +47 $16 99¢ $47 +$31 10-31 02:55
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +58 $41 74¢ $43 +$2 10-06 22:29