Realized P&L
+$6.60K
Unrealized P&L
+$250
Hit rate
59.9%
Resolved
1,812
Trades
11,286
lifetime
Volume
$754.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$5.99K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 11-03 09:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 264 days
Categories
Other
48% 67% -$543
Sports
48% 63% +$7,179
Tech
2% 66% -$263
Politics
2% 63% +$126
Crypto
0% 67% +$141
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +700 $582 82¢ $578 -$4 10-15 09:13
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +540 $508 92¢ $498 -$11 10-26 12:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +400 $344 94¢ $375 +$31 06-19 13:48
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +400 $348 92¢ $366 +$18 09-23 23:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +311 $291 98¢ $306 +$14 06-23 03:05
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +300 $273 94¢ $284 +$10 10-16 06:31
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +260 $237 94¢ $246 +$8 10-16 06:31
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -200 -$180 98¢ $-195 -$15 06-27 17:44
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +200 $163 96¢ $191 +$28 09-21 17:32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +200 $186 94¢ $189 +$3 10-02 09:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +200 $156 92¢ $185 +$29 06-19 10:37
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +200 $172 92¢ $183 +$11 10-08 16:59
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +200 $167 92¢ $183 +$16 10-06 05:14
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +200 $165 91¢ $182 +$17 10-02 09:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +200 $144 91¢ $182 +$38 06-30 02:52
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +200 $176 90¢ $181 +$5 08-18 04:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $163 88¢ $177 +$14 10-07 06:04
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +200 $172 86¢ $172 +$0 08-27 07:39
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +200 $130 74¢ $149 +$18 10-30 07:36
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +150 $122 86¢ $128 +$7 10-07 06:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +200 $130 60¢ $120 -$10 10-28 02:41
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +150 $109 76¢ $115 +$6 10-23 07:32
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +160 $117 70¢ $113 -$4 10-10 20:53
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +150 $94 72¢ $109 +$14 10-16 06:32
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +100 $96 100¢ $100 +$3 10-05 09:34
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +150 $111 66¢ $100 -$11 10-30 05:17
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +100 $95 98¢ $98 +$3 10-09 13:18
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +100 $95 97¢ $97 +$2 10-17 01:53
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $87 96¢ $96 +$8 10-02 09:43
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +100 $95 95¢ $95 +$0 08-11 20:29