Realized P&L
-$243
Unrealized P&L
+$69
Hit rate
51.0%
Resolved
59
Trades
4,261
lifetime
Volume
$485.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$114
Open exposure
$1.52K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 07-23 04:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Sports
67% 43% $-247
Other
31% 68% +$5
Politics
1%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +400 $344 86¢ $346 +$2 06-19 13:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +311 $291 96¢ $299 +$8 06-23 03:05
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +217 $153 88¢ $190 +$36 07-03 08:05
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -200 $-180 92¢ $-185 $-5 06-27 17:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +200 $156 86¢ $173 +$17 06-19 10:37
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +200 $172 85¢ $170 $-2 07-17 18:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +200 $144 78¢ $157 +$13 06-30 02:52
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-25 04:04