Realized P&L
+$6.52K
Unrealized P&L
+$261
Hit rate
60.2%
Resolved
1,788
Trades
11,071
lifetime
Volume
$743.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$5.99K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 11-01 07:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 262 days
Categories
Other
49% 67% -$543
Sports
47% 63% +$7,094
Tech
2% 66% -$263
Politics
2% 63% +$126
Crypto
0% 67% +$141
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +700 $582 84¢ $584 +$2 10-15 09:13
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +540 $508 90¢ $486 -$22 10-26 12:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +400 $344 97¢ $387 +$43 06-19 13:48
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +400 $348 92¢ $366 +$18 09-23 23:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +311 $291 98¢ $306 +$14 06-23 03:05
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +300 $273 94¢ $284 +$10 10-16 06:31
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +260 $237 94¢ $246 +$8 10-16 06:31
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -200 -$180 97¢ $-195 -$15 06-27 17:44
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +200 $186 96¢ $191 +$5 10-02 09:42
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +200 $167 94¢ $189 +$22 10-06 05:14
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +200 $172 94¢ $187 +$15 08-27 07:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +200 $144 93¢ $186 +$42 06-30 02:52
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +200 $163 92¢ $185 +$22 09-21 17:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +200 $156 92¢ $184 +$28 06-19 10:37
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +200 $172 92¢ $184 +$12 10-08 16:59
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +200 $176 90¢ $181 +$5 08-18 04:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $163 88¢ $175 +$12 10-07 06:04
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +200 $165 82¢ $165 +$0 10-02 09:46
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +200 $130 73¢ $145 +$15 10-30 07:36
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +150 $122 86¢ $128 +$7 10-07 06:06
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +160 $117 72¢ $116 -$1 10-10 20:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +200 $130 58¢ $115 -$14 10-28 02:41
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +150 $109 76¢ $115 +$6 10-23 07:32
Celtics vs. Magic Celtics +150 $105 70¢ $106 +$1 11-01 07:24
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +150 $94 70¢ $106 +$11 10-16 06:32
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +100 $96 100¢ $100 +$3 10-05 09:34
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +100 $95 97¢ $97 +$3 10-17 01:53
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +100 $95 97¢ $97 +$2 10-09 13:18
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +100 $95 96¢ $96 +$1 08-11 20:29
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +100 $89 94¢ $94 +$6 08-06 02:09