Realized P&L
-$243
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
51.0%
Resolved
59
Trades
3,289
lifetime
Volume
$428.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$130
Open exposure
$1.49K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 07-02 12:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Sports
75% 43% $-247
Other
22% 68% +$5
Politics
1%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +400 $344 88¢ $354 +$10 06-19 13:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +311 $291 96¢ $300 +$9 06-23 03:05
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +200 $187 98¢ $196 +$9 06-22 15:37
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -200 $-180 92¢ $-183 $-3 06-27 17:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +200 $156 84¢ $167 +$11 06-19 10:37
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $142 72¢ $143 +$1 06-26 23:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +200 $144 70¢ $141 $-3 06-30 02:52
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-25 04:04