(anonymous) 0xfd5a25…40aa7a
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$197
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
5,162
lifetime
Volume
$50.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.61K
20 positions
First seen
2026-06-09
last 07-23 11:30
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69% — —
Sports
20% — —
Politics
9% — —
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 1070 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +833 $284 50¢ $421 +$137 07-16 07:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +334 $282 76¢ $252 $-30 07-13 20:11
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +285 $165 70¢ $201 +$36 07-14 12:30
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +405 $145 42¢ $168 +$23 07-18 09:02
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +224 $123 68¢ $151 +$28 07-14 12:45
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +102 $92 80¢ $81 $-10 07-10 12:02
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +75 $61 82¢ $61 $-0 07-11 17:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +243 $49 24¢ $60 +$11 07-16 22:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +56 $51 90¢ $51 $-0 07-18 06:00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +59 $49 81¢ $48 $-1 07-13 19:46
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +46 $33 70¢ $32 $-0 07-10 23:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +260 $23 10¢ $25 +$1 07-12 12:14
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +90 $19 28¢ $25 +$6 07-12 05:39
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $-0 06-28 07:16
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +9 $8 87¢ $8 $-0 07-09 19:39
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 07-01 06:07
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +4 $3 86¢ $4 +$0 06-25 20:43
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +8 $3 44¢ $3 +$0 07-06 11:06
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +7 $4 30¢ $2 $-2 06-26 04:26
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes +7 $2 26¢ $2 $-0 07-13 18:15