(anonymous) 0xfd5a25…40aa7a Create alert
whale bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$121
Unrealized P&L
+$1.10K
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved (7d)
24
Trades (7d)
122
10,135 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$5.44K
$116.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$6.93K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-09
last 11-11 00:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Other
74% 55% -$2,985
Politics
16% 59% +$579
Sports
9% 49% -$869
Tech
1% 68% +$191
Crypto
0% 83% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,188 $1,042 92¢ $1.1K +$57 09-26 00:32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +979 $842 96¢ $935 +$93 11-09 11:05
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +441 $400 97¢ $428 +$28 09-08 18:56
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +2,321 $280 15¢ $336 +$57 09-22 17:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +350 $258 92¢ $321 +$62 10-28 13:54
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +477 $137 58¢ $276 +$140 10-06 19:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +356 $243 77¢ $273 +$30 11-01 14:25
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +746 $251 30¢ $227 -$23 10-27 11:40
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +489 $279 46¢ $225 -$54 11-07 23:15
Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026? No +246 $208 91¢ $224 +$16 11-05 19:30
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,471 $13 6¢ $205 +$192 09-26 16:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +215 $179 90¢ $195 +$16 11-09 04:37
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +193 $151 92¢ $179 +$28 08-01 09:54
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +221 $157 76¢ $169 +$12 11-09 11:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +235 -$58 68¢ $161 +$219 11-10 15:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +462 $221 34¢ $159 -$62 11-09 22:12
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +248 $99 58¢ $145 +$46 11-01 18:18
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +159 $117 90¢ $143 +$26 08-20 23:26
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +405 $97 34¢ $136 +$39 10-05 01:30
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +134 $113 98¢ $131 +$18 11-09 15:01
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +132 $98 96¢ $127 +$28 09-12 20:37
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +125 $117 99¢ $123 +$7 09-15 21:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 No +182 $37 66¢ $119 +$82 08-17 01:49
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,778 $122 4¢ $108 -$14 11-09 13:54
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +117 $57 86¢ $100 +$42 10-07 01:56
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +93 $58 90¢ $83 +$25 09-13 18:12
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +89 $62 91¢ $81 +$19 09-12 08:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +592 $137 14¢ $80 -$57 11-09 23:06
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +75 $61 98¢ $74 +$13 07-11 17:38
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by december 31 2026 20260701160841000 No +76 $60 94¢ $71 +$11 07-23 00:03