(anonymous) 0x9de3fb…dcb489
bot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$101
Unrealized P&L
+$25
Hit rate
64.6%
Resolved
146
Trades
600
lifetime
Volume
$4.31K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$90
20 positions
First seen
2026-08-04
last 10-31 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Other
75% 52% +$124
Tech
13% 43% -$61
Politics
11% 62% +$66
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$15
Crypto
0% 0% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +100 $15 20¢ $20 +$6 10-13 20:59
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? Yes +276 $19 7¢ $19 +$0 09-28 11:17
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +58 $14 30¢ $17 +$3 09-16 19:26
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +13 $5 99¢ $13 +$8 09-27 06:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +73 $17 8¢ $6 -$10 10-15 21:02
skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027 No +14 $5 40¢ $6 +$1 08-20 15:32
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +30 $2 12¢ $3 +$1 09-29 00:46
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +14 $8 16¢ $2 -$6 10-31 00:43
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +37 $5 4¢ $1 -$3 09-04 23:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +26 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 10-07 09:11
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes +27 $7 1¢ $0 -$7 08-29 00:06
saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31 Yes +17 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 09-24 07:09
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +7 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 10-14 23:04
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +1 $0 15¢ $0 $0 09-16 21:09
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +1 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 09-29 14:19
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +13 $7 0¢ $0 -$7 10-15 14:07
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +0 $1 68¢ $0 -$1 10-25 23:05
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$29 26¢ $0 +$29 09-10 16:25
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +0 $2 22¢ $0 -$2 09-04 23:44
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$30 14¢ $0 +$30 09-10 16:54