Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

292

Trades

651

lifetime

Volume

$2.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-09

last 09-20 11:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

40% 62% +$25

Crypto

23% 81% +$1

Sports

21% 56% +$41

Tech

10% 35% -$29

Politics

6% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mlb stl phi 2026 08 21	10	$66	50	44	+6	Philadelphia Phillies	+$1	08-21 22:08
ufc eds est1 2026 08 15	4	$50	32	28	+5	Esteban Ribovics	+$1	08-11 18:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?	9	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	9	$43	25	25	+0	No	+$1	08-26 15:44
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	7	$39	62	62	+0	open	—	08-21 13:06
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	6	$34	23	23	+0	Yes	$0	08-28 15:48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	6	$25	14	14	+0	No	+$1	09-01 04:19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	4	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	09-20 11:47
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$21	17	17	+0	No	-$1	09-20 11:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	6	$20	17	7	+10	No	+$2	08-12 08:07
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	4	$19	12	12	+0	No	+$3	09-20 11:47
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	5	$18	18	18	+0	open	—	09-20 11:48
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	3	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$2	09-01 04:19
Will Solana dip to $90 in September?	2	$18	11	11	+0	No	+$2	09-20 11:47
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in August?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$2	08-31 20:43
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$2	09-20 11:47
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$1	09-20 11:47
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$1	09-20 11:47
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	09-20 11:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$1	09-20 11:47
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$1	09-01 04:19
will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$1	08-18 01:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$1	09-20 11:47
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$1	09-20 11:47
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$1	09-20 11:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$1	09-20 11:47
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in September?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$1	09-20 11:47
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$17	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	09-20 11:47
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$1	09-20 11:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	09-01 04:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 11:48:21	Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xcd6d01…
09-20 11:48:19	Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x0ed688…
09-20 11:48:18	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xf6ab72…
09-20 11:48:18	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x451af1…
09-20 11:48:18	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x02f05a…
09-20 11:48:16	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0xc5809c…
09-20 11:48:16	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x1396bd…
09-20 11:48:15	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0xed6881…
09-20 11:48:15	Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0xe1d51d…
09-20 11:48:15	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xdaf768…
09-20 11:48:13	Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x8ffc57…
09-20 11:48:13	Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x401a4c…
09-20 11:48:13	Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x169045…
09-20 11:48:12	Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xee682c…
09-20 11:48:12	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x776345…
09-20 11:48:12	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x33a9a0…
09-20 11:48:10	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x774925…
09-20 11:48:10	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x482bad…
09-20 11:48:10	Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x08e8ae…
09-20 11:48:09	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xce0528…
09-20 11:48:09	Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$2	0x569d8d…
09-20 11:48:09	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$1	0x334b30…
09-20 11:48:09	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x2d5cb5…
09-20 11:48:07	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xf1d581…
09-20 11:48:07	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0x82a33d…
09-20 11:48:06	Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xf3111f…
09-20 11:48:06	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x2acd42…
09-20 11:48:06	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x0d6388…
09-20 11:48:04	Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xdee689…
09-20 11:48:04	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xcb8832…
09-20 11:48:04	OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0xbe1a9b…
09-20 11:48:04	Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0xa89e31…
09-20 11:48:03	Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xc572fe…
09-20 11:48:03	Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x0b6d94…
09-20 11:48:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xf775bc…
09-20 11:48:01	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xa9a0d1…
09-20 11:48:01	Astra removed from public access by September 30?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5e1f5d…
09-20 11:48:01	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x2a4015…
09-20 11:48:00	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x98a020…
09-20 11:48:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x509be0…
09-20 11:48:00	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?	No	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x294dcf…
09-20 11:47:58	Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x87f2ef…
09-20 11:47:58	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x70a0c9…
09-20 11:47:58	Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x410c5f…
09-20 11:47:58	Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x014ae7…
09-20 11:47:57	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x9d10da…
09-20 11:47:57	Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x54501a…
09-20 11:47:57	Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x1dd240…
09-20 11:47:55	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xf0c854…
09-20 11:47:55	OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xdcad47…
09-20 11:47:55	Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x51e29f…
09-20 11:47:54	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x8c49ee…
09-20 11:47:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x5f02fc…
09-20 11:47:54	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x1f5df9…
09-20 11:47:52	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x8e2d72…
09-20 11:47:52	Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x1a63e6…
09-20 11:47:51	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x93c5a8…
09-20 11:47:51	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x44f3c9…
09-20 11:47:51	Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x3dcd59…
09-20 11:47:49	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x63df09…
09-20 11:47:49	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x4ecd6a…
09-20 11:47:48	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xeba1e7…
09-20 11:47:48	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0xac868d…
09-20 11:47:48	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x586e5c…
09-20 11:47:46	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$3	0xb48cc0…
09-20 11:47:46	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x9a1c68…
09-20 11:47:46	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x595d72…
09-20 11:47:46	Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x4c3249…
09-20 11:47:45	Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0xed371c…
09-20 11:47:45	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x847c3a…
09-20 11:47:45	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x20c29c…
09-20 11:47:43	Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0xbe751c…
09-20 11:47:43	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x5d5acc…
09-20 11:47:43	Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x16f2a1…
09-20 11:47:42	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	8	46¢	$3	0xbdfdc3…
09-20 11:47:40	Raiders vs. Chargers	Chargers	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xa3e015…
09-20 11:47:40	Eagles vs. Titans	Eagles	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x8138f6…
09-20 11:47:40	Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x79449d…
09-20 11:47:40	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x5b3c95…
09-20 11:47:39	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x9d6a46…
09-20 11:47:39	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x86d5c9…
09-20 11:47:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x07d58a…
09-20 11:47:37	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0xf0c446…
09-20 11:47:37	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in September?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0xc7664f…
09-20 11:47:37	Will Solana reach $130 in September?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x51bee2…
09-20 11:47:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xf359b3…
09-20 11:47:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x847d88…
09-20 11:47:36	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x67196c…
09-20 11:47:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x689a17…
09-20 11:47:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in September?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x246f96…
09-20 11:47:34	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x232850…
09-20 11:47:33	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xe7fcb9…
09-20 11:47:33	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x54b7ee…
09-20 11:47:31	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x677b3e…
09-20 11:47:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x3e1dc4…
09-20 11:47:31	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x21b7a8…
09-20 11:47:30	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x80bae5…
09-20 11:47:30	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x6c9848…
09-20 11:47:28	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	186	6¢	$11	0xd5d77c…
09-20 11:47:28	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xbdf651…