Realized P&L
+$92
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
56.4%
Resolved
662
Trades
15,170
lifetime
Volume
$59.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$588
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 10-31 00:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Politics
72% 58% +$85
Other
21% 58% +$41
Sports
6% 71% -$15
Crypto
1% 47% -$15
Tech
1% 25% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +53 $49 94¢ $49 +$0 10-23 04:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +66 $48 57¢ $38 -$11 10-30 16:53
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +36 $34 94¢ $34 +$0 10-28 11:54
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +51 $42 66¢ $34 -$8 10-26 05:18
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +40 $35 83¢ $33 -$2 10-30 02:39
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +45 $29 72¢ $32 +$3 10-21 00:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +35 $28 82¢ $29 +$0 10-29 17:55
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +26 $25 100¢ $26 +$1 10-24 14:39
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +26 $25 97¢ $25 +$0 09-02 14:00
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +30 $23 80¢ $24 +$1 10-25 01:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +41 $17 56¢ $23 +$7 10-28 17:09
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 10-08 13:55
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 09-18 07:59
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +21 $19 96¢ $20 +$0 10-20 06:18
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +390 $44 4¢ $16 -$28 09-12 14:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $16 42¢ $16 $0 10-27 19:24
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +16 $15 92¢ $15 $0 09-18 07:59
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +20 $12 72¢ $14 +$2 08-27 18:35
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 10-28 17:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +11 $11 98¢ $11 +$0 10-31 00:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +13 $10 86¢ $11 +$1 08-17 14:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +29 $13 37¢ $11 -$3 10-21 19:00
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 09-19 21:59
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $0 09-17 06:59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +10 $7 97¢ $10 +$3 10-22 01:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 09-17 08:21
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +13 $9 78¢ $10 +$1 09-11 13:21
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$0 08-24 05:27
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +9 $4 100¢ $9 +$5 10-08 07:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +9 $9 94¢ $9 $0 10-15 05:29