Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
70.3%
Resolved
8
Trades
12,539
lifetime
Volume
$49.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$43
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 07-15 19:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
81%
Other
15% 100% +$19
Sports
3%
Crypto
1% 29% $-6
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +31 $30 96¢ $30 $-0 07-11 13:00
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 07-03 10:40
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 07-15 12:05
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -3 $-3 90¢ $-3 $-0 07-02 08:03
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +74 $2 $1 $-1 06-15 18:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -13 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-29 03:25