Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$338

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

Trades

361

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-10

last 08-28 22:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

51% 44% -$322

Politics

45% 57% -$51

Sports

2% 100% +$34

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	18	$661	630	630	+0	open	—	08-28 22:15
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	8	$430	832	832	+0	Yes	-$26	08-02 18:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$327	200	200	+0	open	—	08-18 19:45
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	9	$303	573	573	+0	No	-$76	07-29 21:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	8	$299	290	290	+0	No	+$18	08-26 13:33
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	15	$281	450	450	+0	No	-$16	08-28 22:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	5	$244	200	200	+0	No	-$12	08-28 22:15
lol kt bro2 2026 08 26	5	$207	220	155	+65	KT Rolster	-$27	08-26 12:37
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	4	$206	170	170	+0	Yes	+$25	08-04 15:18
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	3	$205	160	160	+0	Yes	+$19	07-25 11:54
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america in 2026	5	$202	261	261	+0	Yes	+$7	08-28 22:11
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	2	$202	110	110	+0	Yes	+$2	07-12 18:34
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	2	$202	120	120	+0	open	—	08-09 20:40
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	2	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$4	08-07 22:46
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	4	$193	110	110	+0	open	—	08-28 22:11
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	3	$191	100	100	+0	No	+$7	08-18 20:06
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	4	$180	180	180	+0	Yes	+$11	08-23 15:34
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	3	$175	110	110	+0	Yes	+$43	08-12 23:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	7	$173	410	279	+131	No	-$136	08-07 20:29
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	8	$172	183	183	+0	No	+$41	07-31 18:33
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$172	100	100	+0	open	—	08-28 22:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$152	195	0	+195	Yes	+$43	07-28 15:51
Fed rate hike in 2026?	4	$143	160	160	+0	Yes	+$6	08-20 12:08
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	5	$142	250	0	+250	No	-$142	08-06 19:35
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	3	$142	80	80	+0	No	+$2	07-31 22:43
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$139	170	0	+170	No	+$31	07-13 01:31
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	3	$126	175	0	+175	No	+$49	07-21 17:42
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	2	$123	70	70	+0	Yes	+$17	08-04 15:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	8	$122	330	330	+0	No	+$1	08-28 13:01
will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	2	$120	70	70	+0	No	+$20	08-04 15:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 22:16:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	175	1¢	$1	0x5cd6f8…
08-28 22:16:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xeafbf0…
08-28 22:16:04	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	SELL	90	12¢	$11	0xf9690f…
08-28 22:15:58	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x9e02b6…
08-28 22:15:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x809652…
08-28 22:15:46	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	13¢	$17	0xd485e0…
08-28 22:15:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	390	4¢	$16	0xd818fa…
08-28 22:15:34	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	26¢	$21	0x37708b…
08-28 22:15:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	19¢	$25	0x92d695…
08-28 22:15:21	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x44e9e0…
08-28 22:15:00	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xdd4d6b…
08-28 22:14:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x510262…
08-28 22:14:31	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x3e85bb…
08-28 22:14:24	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	60	64¢	$38	0x682b4b…
08-28 22:14:09	UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	150	14¢	$21	0x90ef7e…
08-28 22:14:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x1cc926…
08-28 22:13:25	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	SELL	33	50¢	$17	0x12268d…
08-28 22:13:01	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	60	49¢	$29	0x54a46e…
08-28 22:12:54	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x764657…
08-28 22:12:46	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	49¢	$34	0xe2f38a…
08-28 22:12:30	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x5b35fa…
08-28 22:12:10	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	85	50¢	$42	0x3ae16d…
08-28 22:12:03	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xd146ce…
08-28 22:11:54	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	51¢	$46	0xde10ca…
08-28 22:11:43	Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	No	SELL	55	88¢	$48	0xfa0c12…
08-28 22:11:33	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	60	87¢	$52	0xe60596…
08-28 22:11:21	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america in 2026	Yes	SELL	61	93¢	$57	0x64594b…
08-28 22:10:30	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x17870b…
08-28 22:09:34	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	SELL	67	51¢	$34	0x72cb78…
08-28 22:09:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	70	50¢	$35	0x4673dc…
08-28 16:22:18	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	70	28¢	$20	0x912fd3…
08-28 16:13:27	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0x7016f8…
08-28 16:10:31	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x076c4c…
08-28 14:32:49	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x98f715…
08-28 13:01:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	1¢	$2	0x5a7734…
08-27 22:40:31	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	SELL	78	2¢	$2	0xf639fd…
08-27 20:01:03	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x069a68…
08-27 18:34:09	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america in 2026	Yes	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x715581…
08-27 18:31:57	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america in 2026	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x12b42f…
08-27 18:31:45	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america in 2026	No	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0xb1d4b3…
08-27 18:27:25	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america in 2026	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x43ff9a…
08-27 17:50:30	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long	No	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xf2b215…
08-27 17:50:16	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0x7d6a20…
08-27 12:03:18	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0xfed44b…
08-27 11:42:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xecb6fc…
08-26 19:39:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	34¢	$24	0x3b12ec…
08-26 18:45:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x398084…
08-26 15:57:09	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x0c6c18…
08-26 14:56:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x6acc8e…
08-26 14:38:27	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xd912db…
08-26 14:20:13	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xfff6e1…
08-26 14:13:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x50dde3…
08-26 13:33:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	64¢	$26	0xc5be19…
08-26 12:37:55	lol kt bro2 2026 08 26	KT Rolster	SELL	65	69¢	$45	0xfe8f7c…
08-26 12:20:01	lol kt bro2 2026 08 26	KT Rolster	BUY	60	86¢	$52	0xe8fa66…
08-26 12:19:51	lol kt bro2 2026 08 26	KT Rolster	BUY	70	87¢	$61	0xe4a46e…
08-26 12:18:39	lol kt bro2 2026 08 26	HANJIN BRION	SELL	90	14¢	$13	0x253f2f…
08-26 12:02:09	lol kt bro2 2026 08 26	HANJIN BRION	BUY	90	41¢	$37	0xb0ce52…
08-26 11:24:51	lol kt bro2 2026 08 26 game4	KT Rolster	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x39740e…
08-26 11:24:51	lol kt bro2 2026 08 26 game4	KT Rolster	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3548b8…
08-26 00:00:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	190	12¢	$23	0xb927c9…
08-25 23:41:00	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x864395…
08-25 22:42:30	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	BUY	90	12¢	$11	0x2c92ca…
08-25 22:39:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x4f137e…
08-25 22:07:58	Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	No	SELL	55	88¢	$48	0x530f2e…
08-25 22:07:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xde7668…
08-25 21:20:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	9¢	$7	0x8fff95…
08-25 20:56:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xb5d831…
08-25 17:05:46	LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs	ROSSMANN Centaurs	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0xc6b4fa…
08-25 15:46:22	LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs	ROSSMANN Centaurs	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0xfe360c…
08-25 14:09:27	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x300f62…
08-25 14:02:55	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x17e51c…
08-25 13:38:16	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x1c7e2d…
08-25 13:36:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	4¢	$8	0x4ec94a…
08-25 13:36:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$2	0x94f50e…
08-24 23:39:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x851019…
08-24 13:09:34	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	15¢	$20	0xfc0e5d…
08-24 13:08:45	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0xb33471…
08-23 16:25:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	180	6¢	$11	0xd4002c…
08-23 16:24:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3a542b…
08-23 15:49:42	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	51¢	$46	0x8063c3…
08-23 15:34:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0x6ecffd…
08-23 14:45:24	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	BUY	80	38¢	$30	0xc9a4fa…
08-23 12:57:42	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xa75615…
08-23 12:18:00	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xb67d22…
08-23 09:41:36	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x418fa1…
08-22 19:28:49	dota2 boombo ts8 2026 08 22 game2	Team Spirit	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x27926f…
08-22 17:35:54	dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22	Team Yandex	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x3b6fc6…
08-22 17:23:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	SELL	420	0¢	$0	0x2cf916…
08-22 15:19:22	dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22	Team Yandex	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x4f18fc…
08-22 14:27:03	dota2 boombo ts8 2026 08 22 game2	Team Spirit	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xba8f2d…
08-21 23:59:13	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	27¢	$22	0xcff078…
08-21 23:25:28	dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21	Team Liquid	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0x5470f1…
08-21 18:48:30	lol vit navi 2026 08 21	Team Vitality	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xb93d37…
08-21 17:55:18	lol vit navi 2026 08 21 game2	Natus Vincere	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x4634d1…
08-21 17:01:51	lol th sk 2026 08 21 game1	Team Heretics	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x0077fa…
08-21 16:08:48	lol th sk 2026 08 21 game2	SK Gaming	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x4eab6a…
08-21 15:31:43	lol th sk 2026 08 21 game1	Team Heretics	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x0b7527…
08-21 15:31:09	lol th sk 2026 08 21	Team Heretics	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0xd7bcc1…
08-21 15:29:16	lol th sk 2026 08 21	Team Heretics	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xc8649c…