Realized P&L
-$388
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
46.9%
Resolved
2,142
Trades
4,357
lifetime
Volume
$46.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$114
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-13 13:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 244 days
Categories
Other
41% 41% -$564
Sports
34% 53% -$147
Politics
12% 25% -$60
Crypto
12% 51% +$389
Tech
1% 8% -$8
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +98 $39 55¢ $55 +$16 09-13 13:45
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +30 $8 56¢ $17 +$8 06-29 21:55
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +57 $8 26¢ $15 +$7 07-08 19:21
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +10 $4 72¢ $7 +$3 05-31 20:50
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -11 -$6 42¢ $-5 +$2 05-28 19:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $16 2¢ $4 -$12 08-27 17:30
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -5 -$3 88¢ $-4 -$1 07-11 16:07
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes +61 $15 6¢ $3 -$12 06-24 21:13
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -2 -$2 70¢ $-2 +$0 06-19 18:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +41 $6 4¢ $2 -$5 06-04 14:51