Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
54.6%
Resolved
85
Trades
2,019
lifetime
Volume
$24.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$57
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 18:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Sports
54% 49% $-2
Other
24% 50% $-2
Crypto
21%
Politics
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +69 $27 30¢ $21 $-6 07-01 20:38
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes +61 $15 20¢ $12 $-3 06-24 21:13
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +30 $8 29¢ $8 +$0 06-29 21:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -11 $-6 46¢ $-5 +$1 05-28 19:21
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +10 $4 38¢ $4 $-0 05-31 20:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +35 $5 $2 $-3 06-04 14:51
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -2 $-2 84¢ $-2 $-0 06-19 18:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +45 $4 $2 $-2 06-04 14:51