Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
52.8%
Resolved
87
Trades
2,354
lifetime
Volume
$27.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$61
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-15 20:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Sports
53% 49% $-2
Other
25% 50% $-2
Crypto
19% 0% $-6
Politics
3%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +79 $30 24¢ $19 $-11 07-03 20:28
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes +61 $15 18¢ $11 $-4 06-24 21:13
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +30 $8 35¢ $10 +$2 06-29 21:55
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +57 $8 11¢ $6 $-2 07-08 19:21
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -11 $-6 42¢ $-5 +$2 05-28 19:21
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +10 $4 45¢ $5 +$1 05-31 20:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +35 $5 $2 $-3 06-04 14:51
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -2 $-2 74¢ $-2 +$0 06-19 18:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +45 $4 $1 $-3 06-04 14:51
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? Yes -3 $-0 $-0 +$0 07-15 15:35