Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7fe…90deb5
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$15
Unrealized P&L
+$79
Hit rate
47.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
51,188
lifetime
Volume
$258.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$2.36K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 07-01 06:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
57% 100% +$36
Other
32% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Sports
5% 50% $-21
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1547 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +519 $423 86¢ $449 +$26 06-28 20:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +240 $190 99¢ $238 +$48 06-27 17:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +315 $175 70¢ $219 +$44 06-30 22:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +174 $147 90¢ $158 +$11 06-28 01:51
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +189 $146 84¢ $157 +$11 07-01 00:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +163 $125 88¢ $142 +$18 06-29 17:04
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +152 $128 82¢ $125 $-3 06-30 14:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +150 $105 82¢ $122 +$18 06-28 23:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +300 $140 30¢ $91 $-49 06-30 23:22
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +118 $97 66¢ $78 $-19 06-30 19:04
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +101 $78 73¢ $74 $-5 07-01 07:18
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? No -60 $-59 100¢ $-60 $-1 06-28 17:14
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +67 $56 82¢ $54 $-2 06-23 17:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +104 $51 42¢ $43 $-8 06-30 17:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +159 $40 25¢ $40 $-0 06-30 14:50
US recession by end of 2026? No +45 $34 88¢ $39 +$5 06-26 14:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +62 $64 58¢ $36 $-28 07-01 02:28
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +220 $38 16¢ $36 $-1 07-01 00:30
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +35 $29 84¢ $29 $-0 06-30 18:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -194 $-32 14¢ $-26 +$6 06-30 18:23
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +54 $27 36¢ $19 $-7 07-01 01:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +94 $23 18¢ $17 $-6 07-01 07:07
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? No +20 $16 83¢ $17 +$0 06-30 22:32
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No -15 $-15 99¢ $-15 +$0 06-27 14:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +53 $12 27¢ $14 +$3 06-30 20:48
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +15 $13 94¢ $14 +$1 06-27 17:41
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +39 $5 34¢ $13 +$8 06-28 11:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +67 $14 18¢ $12 $-2 06-30 15:37
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +14 $2 80¢ $11 +$9 06-30 12:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +114 $8 10¢ $11 +$3 06-23 14:03