Realized P&L
-$3.19K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.35K
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
150
Trades
142,137
lifetime
Volume
$841.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$74.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 10-27 10:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Politics
57% 39% -$1,963
Other
34% 49% -$289
Sports
8% 50% +$291
Crypto
2% 67% -$1,231
Tech
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 775 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +6,405 $3,268 96¢ $6.1K +$2,881 10-27 04:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,196 $4,988 82¢ $5.1K +$123 10-16 03:43
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6,248 $5,071 72¢ $4.5K -$603 10-12 20:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5,077 $4,108 86¢ $4.3K +$241 10-26 17:10
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,086 $4,256 77¢ $3.9K -$362 10-18 15:13
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4,258 $3,222 86¢ $3.7K +$440 10-22 23:45
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,572 $2,879 62¢ $3.4K +$559 10-27 11:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,586 $3,186 74¢ $3.4K +$185 10-27 08:07
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +3,090 $2,437 84¢ $2.6K +$174 10-26 11:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +2,584 $2,198 99¢ $2.6K +$352 10-27 06:58
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,359 $2,934 56¢ $2.4K -$513 10-27 09:17
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,605 $2,264 92¢ $2.4K +$119 09-21 12:34
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +2,852 $1,410 82¢ $2.4K +$943 09-21 09:28
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,572 $2,673 38¢ $2.1K -$539 10-27 11:20
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,302 $1,175 88¢ $2.0K +$840 10-18 10:52
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,342 $1,443 44¢ $1.9K +$487 10-27 09:17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,165 $1,857 83¢ $1.8K -$50 10-25 20:07
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +6,245 $1,181 29¢ $1.8K +$599 10-15 12:46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,898 $1,644 92¢ $1.8K +$112 09-22 21:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,912 $1,362 92¢ $1.7K +$388 10-27 02:28
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,082 $1,677 84¢ $1.7K +$69 10-26 19:16
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,676 $1,623 99¢ $1.7K +$39 10-01 18:38
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,579 $1,357 92¢ $1.4K +$88 09-21 13:00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,538 $1,369 94¢ $1.4K +$69 09-20 05:49
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,549 $1,397 92¢ $1.4K +$36 10-27 10:47
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +1,945 $1,236 74¢ $1.4K +$193 10-21 09:57
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638 No +1,480 $1,185 94¢ $1.4K +$199 10-25 05:39
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1,731 $851 78¢ $1.4K +$507 10-27 05:57
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1,400 $978 94¢ $1.3K +$345 10-26 21:06
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,357 $851 54¢ $1.3K +$428 10-16 22:33