Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7fe…90deb5
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$15
Unrealized P&L
+$126
Hit rate
47.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
43,527
lifetime
Volume
$209.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$2.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 06-10 00:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
62% 100% +$36
Other
28% — —
Crypto
7% — —
Sports
3% 50% $-21
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 2226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +574 $431 84¢ $485 +$54 06-10 02:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +283 $227 82¢ $233 +$7 06-10 01:07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -228 $-202 92¢ $-208 $-6 06-10 00:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +235 $184 82¢ $192 +$8 06-09 19:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +170 $143 88¢ $149 +$6 06-08 09:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -215 $-180 68¢ $-145 +$35 06-09 16:40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No -185 $-140 78¢ $-145 $-5 06-10 02:36
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +115 $77 72¢ $82 +$6 06-09 17:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -81 $-78 97¢ $-79 $-1 06-09 14:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +86 $72 90¢ $78 +$6 06-10 00:29
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -149 $-52 36¢ $-54 $-3 06-09 16:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +330 $85 16¢ $51 $-34 06-10 02:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -118 $-43 38¢ $-45 $-3 06-10 03:34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +55 $41 82¢ $45 +$4 06-09 20:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +120 $5 32¢ $39 +$34 06-09 22:58
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +43 $38 91¢ $39 +$1 06-10 02:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes -154 $-38 22¢ $-34 +$5 06-10 02:36
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -35 $-34 97¢ $-34 +$1 06-06 05:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +105 $29 28¢ $29 $-0 06-10 00:04
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No -30 $-28 95¢ $-28 $-0 06-04 17:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +146 $24 18¢ $27 +$3 06-09 20:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -145 $-33 18¢ $-25 +$8 06-10 03:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +40 $28 62¢ $25 $-3 06-09 15:32
US recession by end of 2026? No +26 $19 82¢ $21 +$2 06-07 17:54
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -50 $-20 40¢ $-20 +$0 06-08 16:18
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes -19 $-20 100¢ $-19 +$1 06-04 21:34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +89 $18 18¢ $16 $-2 06-10 01:20
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +50 $10 29¢ $14 +$4 06-09 19:15
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -22 $-13 60¢ $-13 +$0 06-08 16:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $14 38¢ $13 $-1 06-09 15:28