Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7fe…90deb5
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$15
Unrealized P&L
+$234
Hit rate
47.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
59,299
lifetime
Volume
$309.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$5.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 07-21 18:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
53% 100% +$36
Other
32% — —
Sports
10% 50% $-21
Crypto
5% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 797 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,063 $780 99¢ $1.1K +$270 07-13 21:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,006 $807 72¢ $719 $-88 07-21 23:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +570 $519 90¢ $511 $-8 07-21 11:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +497 $443 90¢ $445 +$2 07-20 08:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +323 $263 86¢ $279 +$16 07-21 19:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +358 $287 74¢ $263 $-24 07-21 22:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +275 $209 86¢ $238 +$28 07-17 21:41
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +288 $249 74¢ $213 $-35 07-21 22:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +678 $161 29¢ $193 +$32 07-21 17:30
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +251 $194 68¢ $169 $-24 07-20 20:05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +185 $159 88¢ $162 +$3 07-21 08:44
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +550 $109 26¢ $146 +$37 07-21 19:34
US recession by end of 2026? No +105 $88 88¢ $92 +$5 07-20 09:57
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +124 $79 70¢ $88 +$8 07-21 15:39
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +173 $72 46¢ $81 +$9 07-21 18:00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +123 $100 66¢ $80 $-20 07-21 21:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +92 $69 76¢ $70 +$1 07-21 22:43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +538 $49 10¢ $56 +$7 07-21 18:14
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +91 $47 56¢ $51 +$4 07-19 04:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +60 $46 82¢ $50 +$4 07-21 14:43
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +57 $50 84¢ $48 $-2 07-21 22:43
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +41 $37 96¢ $40 +$2 07-21 21:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +366 $30 11¢ $38 +$8 07-20 20:47
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -42 $-32 84¢ $-35 $-3 07-17 13:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +199 $49 18¢ $35 $-14 07-21 07:14
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +40 $33 82¢ $33 $-1 07-21 20:18
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +88 $21 34¢ $30 +$9 07-18 05:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +115 $22 24¢ $27 +$5 07-21 01:29
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +45 $27 60¢ $27 $-0 07-21 20:58
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No -25 $-25 100¢ $-25 +$0 07-13 18:44