Realized P&L (7d)
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$8.57K
Hit rate
53.8%
Resolved (7d)
7
Trades (7d)
2,420
143,581 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$7.83K
$845.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$74.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 11-01 01:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Politics
57% 42% -$1,934
Other
34% 49% -$289
Sports
7% 50% +$291
Crypto
2% 67% -$1,231
Tech
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 775 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 No +6,410 $3,273 99¢ $6.3K +$3,073 10-31 09:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,174 $4,971 82¢ $5.1K +$123 10-30 19:37
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6,248 $5,071 70¢ $4.4K -$697 10-12 20:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5,062 $4,095 85¢ $4.3K +$228 10-31 23:43
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,086 $4,256 75¢ $3.8K -$433 10-18 15:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,572 $2,672 66¢ $3.7K +$986 10-27 23:28
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4,229 $3,197 86¢ $3.6K +$418 10-29 19:17
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +3,074 $2,423 88¢ $2.7K +$297 10-31 02:58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,577 $3,181 58¢ $2.7K -$504 10-28 00:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +2,584 $2,198 100¢ $2.6K +$382 10-27 06:58
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,329 $2,917 59¢ $2.6K -$344 10-31 21:58
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,605 $2,264 94¢ $2.5K +$198 09-21 12:34
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +2,852 $1,410 84¢ $2.4K +$971 09-21 09:28
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,302 $1,175 90¢ $2.1K +$885 10-31 16:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,572 $2,879 34¢ $1.9K -$965 10-28 00:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,577 $1,297 42¢ $1.9K +$603 10-27 21:50
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +6,245 $1,181 30¢ $1.9K +$692 10-15 12:46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,898 $1,644 96¢ $1.8K +$168 09-22 21:22
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,125 $1,823 84¢ $1.8K -$37 10-31 18:28
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,355 $1,449 41¢ $1.8K +$317 10-31 21:58
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,902 $1,353 92¢ $1.7K +$388 10-28 05:53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,077 $1,672 83¢ $1.7K +$61 10-30 08:23
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,676 $1,623 98¢ $1.6K +$21 10-01 18:38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +1,945 $1,236 76¢ $1.5K +$252 10-21 09:57
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,569 $1,347 94¢ $1.5K +$135 10-29 17:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,518 $1,350 94¢ $1.4K +$85 10-30 07:02
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,489 $1,339 96¢ $1.4K +$82 10-28 00:24
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1,691 $819 82¢ $1.4K +$568 10-31 16:46
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638 No +1,480 $1,185 94¢ $1.4K +$199 10-25 05:39
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1,935 $969 72¢ $1.4K +$414 09-22 20:17