Realized P&L (30d)
-$163
Unrealized P&L
+$8.11K
Hit rate
64.9%
Resolved (30d)
30
Trades (30d)
7,559
145,820 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$28.5K
$854.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$67.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 11-05 20:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Politics
57% 42% -$2,096
Other
34% 48% -$245
Sports
7% 50% +$291
Crypto
2% 67% -$1,231
Tech
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 775 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,191 $4,985 88¢ $5.4K +$432 11-05 06:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5,112 $4,138 90¢ $4.6K +$476 11-05 17:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6,248 $5,071 70¢ $4.4K -$666 10-12 20:27
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4,189 $3,161 92¢ $3.8K +$672 11-04 09:32
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,086 $4,256 72¢ $3.7K -$589 10-18 15:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,577 $3,181 77¢ $3.5K +$350 10-28 00:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,572 $2,879 63¢ $3.5K +$629 10-28 00:51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +3,089 $2,436 92¢ $2.9K +$421 11-03 09:55
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +2,872 $1,427 88¢ $2.5K +$1,115 11-04 07:58
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,349 $2,930 57¢ $2.5K -$436 11-05 12:37
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,357 $851 100¢ $2.4K +$1,503 10-16 22:33
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,302 $1,175 92¢ $2.1K +$931 11-03 01:19
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,572 $2,672 37¢ $2.1K -$608 10-27 23:28
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,145 $1,839 88¢ $1.9K +$39 11-01 13:37
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,350 $1,447 43¢ $1.9K +$409 11-05 20:52
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +6,245 $1,181 30¢ $1.8K +$661 10-15 12:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,902 $1,353 92¢ $1.8K +$407 11-04 15:49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,007 $1,614 83¢ $1.7K +$54 11-05 18:08
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,676 $1,623 98¢ $1.6K +$17 10-01 18:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,518 $1,350 97¢ $1.5K +$123 11-05 14:17
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1,696 $822 86¢ $1.5K +$636 11-05 20:44
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,489 $1,339 97¢ $1.4K +$101 10-28 00:24
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5,085 $832 28¢ $1.4K +$586 10-18 14:25
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1,400 $978 94¢ $1.3K +$331 11-05 16:00
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +1,490 $1,195 86¢ $1.3K +$94 11-03 05:33
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,300 $952 88¢ $1.2K +$199 11-01 09:49
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,098 $943 96¢ $1.0K +$106 11-05 03:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,577 $1,297 23¢ $1.0K -$251 10-27 21:50
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,024 $711 99¢ $1.0K +$303 11-04 01:30
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +1,095 $934 92¢ $1.0K +$68 09-20 07:58