Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.30K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.16K
Hit rate
39.7%
Resolved (90d)
65
Trades (90d)
27,797
120,052 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$191.8K
$699.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$66.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 11-06 07:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Politics
57% 41% -$2,195
Other
34% 48% -$245
Sports
7% 50% +$291
Crypto
2% 67% -$1,231
Tech
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 775 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,211 $5,003 88¢ $5.4K +$432 11-05 22:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5,112 $4,138 91¢ $4.7K +$528 11-05 17:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6,248 $5,071 70¢ $4.4K -$666 10-12 20:27
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4,189 $3,161 92¢ $3.8K +$672 11-04 09:32
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,086 $4,256 70¢ $3.6K -$698 10-18 15:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,572 $2,879 64¢ $3.5K +$665 10-28 00:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,577 $3,181 76¢ $3.5K +$320 10-28 00:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +3,089 $2,436 92¢ $2.9K +$421 11-03 09:55
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +2,872 $1,427 89¢ $2.6K +$1,129 11-04 07:58
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,389 $2,952 56¢ $2.4K -$505 11-05 22:26
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,282 $1,157 92¢ $2.1K +$954 11-05 21:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,572 $2,672 36¢ $2.0K -$644 10-27 23:28
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,330 $1,438 44¢ $1.9K +$478 11-05 22:06
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,155 $1,848 87¢ $1.9K +$34 11-06 01:41
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +6,245 $1,181 30¢ $1.8K +$661 10-15 12:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,902 $1,353 92¢ $1.8K +$407 11-04 15:49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,027 $1,630 83¢ $1.7K +$47 11-06 05:30
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,676 $1,623 98¢ $1.6K +$15 10-01 18:38
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5,085 $832 30¢ $1.5K +$696 10-18 14:25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,518 $1,350 97¢ $1.5K +$125 11-05 14:17
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1,676 $804 88¢ $1.5K +$670 11-06 04:51
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,489 $1,339 98¢ $1.5K +$113 10-28 00:24
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1,400 $978 94¢ $1.3K +$338 11-05 16:00
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +1,470 $1,177 88¢ $1.3K +$109 11-05 22:30
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,300 $952 90¢ $1.2K +$212 11-01 09:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,577 $1,297 24¢ $1.1K -$221 10-27 21:50
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,118 $962 96¢ $1.1K +$107 11-06 01:22
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,024 $711 99¢ $1.0K +$300 11-04 01:30
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +1,095 $934 92¢ $1.0K +$68 09-20 07:58
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +1,059 $552 89¢ $943 +$390 11-04 08:51