Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7fe…90deb5 Create alert
whale bot cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.38K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.79K
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
175
Trades
146,782
lifetime
Volume
$857.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$67.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 11-09 16:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Politics
57% 41% -$2,195
Other
34% 48% -$245
Sports
7% 50% +$291
Crypto
2% 67% -$1,231
Tech
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 775 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,191 $4,985 90¢ $5.6K +$618 11-06 20:19
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5,107 $4,133 93¢ $4.8K +$622 11-08 18:09
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +6,245 $1,181 62¢ $3.9K +$2,722 10-15 12:46
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4,219 $3,188 92¢ $3.9K +$714 11-06 14:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,577 $3,181 78¢ $3.6K +$394 10-28 00:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,572 $2,879 62¢ $3.4K +$562 10-28 00:51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +3,089 $2,436 92¢ $2.8K +$406 11-03 09:55
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5,085 $832 54¢ $2.8K +$1,939 10-18 14:25
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +2,872 $1,427 90¢ $2.6K +$1,172 11-04 07:58
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,349 $2,930 54¢ $2.4K -$562 11-09 12:44
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6,248 $5,071 38¢ $2.3K -$2,728 10-12 20:27
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,086 $4,256 45¢ $2.3K -$1,941 10-18 15:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,572 $2,672 38¢ $2.1K -$541 10-27 23:28
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,282 $1,157 92¢ $2.1K +$943 11-09 17:19
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,350 $1,447 46¢ $2.0K +$534 11-07 18:58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,130 $1,826 92¢ $2.0K +$141 11-09 13:24
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,922 $1,370 91¢ $1.7K +$379 11-09 09:56
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,012 $1,618 84¢ $1.7K +$67 11-09 11:56
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,676 $1,623 98¢ $1.6K +$20 10-01 18:38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1,699 $824 90¢ $1.5K +$713 11-07 06:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,523 $1,355 97¢ $1.5K +$128 11-07 23:57
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,489 $1,339 97¢ $1.4K +$101 10-28 00:24
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1,380 $959 97¢ $1.3K +$375 11-06 09:46
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +1,425 $1,136 92¢ $1.3K +$182 11-09 16:11
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,300 $952 92¢ $1.2K +$250 11-09 13:44
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,118 $962 96¢ $1.1K +$109 11-06 01:22
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,024 $711 99¢ $1.0K +$300 11-04 01:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,577 $1,297 22¢ $1.0K -$295 10-27 21:50
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +1,095 $934 92¢ $1.0K +$68 09-20 07:58
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +1,069 $561 90¢ $957 +$396 11-06 14:08