Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7fe…90deb5 Create alert
whale bot cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.38K
Hit rate
51.5%
Resolved
176
Trades
147,386
lifetime
Volume
$858.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$67.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 11-12 03:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Politics
57% 42% -$2,187
Other
34% 48% -$245
Sports
7% 50% +$291
Crypto
2% 67% -$1,231
Tech
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 775 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,211 $5,003 92¢ $5.7K +$742 11-12 02:53
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5,112 $4,138 94¢ $4.8K +$655 11-12 04:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4,219 $3,188 94¢ $3.9K +$756 11-06 14:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,577 $3,181 77¢ $3.5K +$364 10-28 00:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,572 $2,879 64¢ $3.5K +$660 10-28 00:51
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +6,245 $1,181 56¢ $3.5K +$2,347 10-15 12:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +3,089 $2,436 92¢ $2.9K +$421 11-03 09:55
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +2,912 $1,465 94¢ $2.8K +$1,287 11-12 04:22
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6,248 $5,071 44¢ $2.7K -$2,353 10-12 20:27
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5,085 $832 51¢ $2.6K +$1,738 10-18 14:25
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,086 $4,256 49¢ $2.5K -$1,741 10-18 15:13
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,339 $2,925 54¢ $2.3K -$597 11-11 17:39
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,292 $1,166 94¢ $2.2K +$989 11-11 13:35
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,572 $2,672 36¢ $2.0K -$639 10-27 23:28
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,350 $1,447 46¢ $2.0K +$569 11-11 13:52
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,150 $1,844 90¢ $1.9K +$86 11-10 00:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,922 $1,370 92¢ $1.8K +$408 11-09 09:56
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,012 $1,618 85¢ $1.7K +$100 11-09 11:56
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,676 $1,623 98¢ $1.6K +$22 10-01 18:38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1,709 $834 94¢ $1.6K +$773 11-12 04:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,523 $1,355 97¢ $1.5K +$129 11-07 23:57
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,489 $1,339 97¢ $1.4K +$102 10-28 00:24
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1,405 $982 97¢ $1.4K +$376 11-11 09:15
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +1,425 $1,136 94¢ $1.3K +$196 11-09 16:11
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,300 $952 92¢ $1.2K +$250 11-09 13:44
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,118 $962 98¢ $1.1K +$133 11-06 01:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,577 $1,297 23¢ $1.0K -$265 10-27 21:50
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +1,079 $570 94¢ $1.0K +$439 11-12 04:07
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +1,095 $934 92¢ $1.0K +$68 09-20 07:58
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +949 $575 99¢ $943 +$368 11-03 23:31