Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7fe…90deb5 Create alert
whale bot cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.24K
Hit rate
51.5%
Resolved
176
Trades
147,172
lifetime
Volume
$857.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$67.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 11-10 21:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Politics
57% 42% -$2,187
Other
34% 48% -$245
Sports
7% 50% +$291
Crypto
2% 67% -$1,231
Tech
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 775 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,186 $4,980 94¢ $5.8K +$803 11-09 19:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5,107 $4,133 94¢ $4.8K +$650 11-08 18:09
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4,219 $3,188 92¢ $3.9K +$714 11-06 14:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,577 $3,181 76¢ $3.5K +$275 10-28 00:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,572 $2,879 60¢ $3.4K +$481 10-28 00:51
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +6,245 $1,181 52¢ $3.3K +$2,098 10-15 12:46
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6,248 $5,071 48¢ $3.0K -$2,103 10-12 20:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +3,089 $2,436 92¢ $2.9K +$421 11-03 09:55
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +2,872 $1,427 94¢ $2.7K +$1,258 11-04 07:58
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,086 $4,256 51¢ $2.6K -$1,685 10-18 15:13
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5,085 $832 49¢ $2.5K +$1,682 10-18 14:25
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,369 $2,941 55¢ $2.4K -$558 11-10 20:21
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,572 $2,672 40¢ $2.2K -$460 10-27 23:28
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,282 $1,157 94¢ $2.1K +$977 11-09 17:19
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,343 $1,444 45¢ $2.0K +$530 11-10 20:19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,150 $1,844 90¢ $1.9K +$86 11-10 00:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,922 $1,370 92¢ $1.8K +$408 11-09 09:56
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,012 $1,618 85¢ $1.7K +$97 11-09 11:56
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,676 $1,623 98¢ $1.6K +$19 10-01 18:38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1,699 $824 93¢ $1.6K +$756 11-07 06:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,523 $1,355 97¢ $1.5K +$125 11-07 23:57
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,489 $1,339 97¢ $1.4K +$104 10-28 00:24
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1,415 $992 96¢ $1.4K +$361 11-10 16:33
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +1,425 $1,136 94¢ $1.3K +$196 11-09 16:11
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,300 $952 92¢ $1.2K +$237 11-09 13:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,577 $1,297 24¢ $1.1K -$176 10-27 21:50
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,118 $962 96¢ $1.1K +$112 11-06 01:22
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +1,095 $934 92¢ $1.0K +$68 09-20 07:58
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +1,066 $559 90¢ $960 +$401 11-10 14:50
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +949 $575 99¢ $936 +$361 11-03 23:31