Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
18
lifetime
Volume
$38
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$32
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-06 08:08
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
54%
Other
46%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +11 $10 93¢ $10 +$0 05-29 23:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 05-29 23:44
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 05-29 23:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5 $2 52¢ $2 +$0 06-16 07:30
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 05-29 23:46
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 05-29 23:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +3 $2 60¢ $2 $-0 06-16 07:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +3 $2 65¢ $2 $-0 06-06 08:08
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1 $1 79¢ $1 +$0 05-29 23:50
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-29 23:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2 $1 56¢ $1 +$0 06-16 07:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-02 05:30