Past-Reverse 0xb8fc28…e6ed7f
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$513
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved
367
Trades
814
lifetime
Volume
$17.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$264
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-07 01:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
71% 52% -$12
Politics
17% 59% +$2
Tech
5% 63% +$97
Sports
4% 35% -$554
Crypto
3% 41% -$47
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +34 $10 98¢ $34 +$24 07-03 13:46
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -23 -$17 98¢ $-22 -$5 07-22 14:20
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +36 $20 48¢ $17 -$3 08-24 17:32
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -16 -$14 98¢ $-16 -$2 07-10 18:29
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -18 -$15 81¢ $-15 $0 07-21 07:29
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -15 -$11 95¢ $-14 -$3 06-11 12:23
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +77 $10 18¢ $13 +$3 09-11 16:19
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +466 $10 3¢ $13 +$3 05-09 12:56
US recession by end of 2026? No -14 -$12 92¢ $-13 -$1 06-08 18:29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -15 -$13 86¢ $-13 $0 06-18 16:01
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -13 -$11 96¢ $-13 -$1 06-10 17:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -14 -$11 83¢ $-12 $0 06-11 12:11
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +112 $10 9¢ $11 +$1 07-01 14:09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -27 -$13 38¢ $-10 +$3 09-12 11:42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $10 19¢ $10 $0 05-06 08:14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +67 $10 14¢ $9 -$1 07-14 12:26
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -26 -$10 28¢ $-7 +$3 09-12 11:41
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -23 -$6 24¢ $-5 +$1 09-12 12:54
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -23 -$6 18¢ $-4 +$2 09-12 12:51
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes -78 -$4 4¢ $-3 +$1 09-12 12:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -16 -$2 17¢ $-3 $0 09-12 11:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -59 -$2 4¢ $-2 $0 09-12 11:50
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes -27 -$3 8¢ $-2 +$1 09-12 12:45
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +48 $10 4¢ $2 -$8 08-19 13:01
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +59 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 06-04 20:33