Past-Reverse 0xb8fc28…e6ed7f
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
84.2%
Resolved
6
Trades
366
lifetime
Volume
$4.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$353
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-01 14:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
40% 75% +$10
Other
38% 50% $-8
Tech
14% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Sports
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -19 $-16 100¢ $-18 $-2 06-08 15:14
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes +26 $10 68¢ $18 +$8 06-11 12:03
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +22 $10 62¢ $13 +$3 06-25 09:21
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $10 64¢ $13 +$3 06-10 08:15
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +22 $10 60¢ $13 +$3 06-03 09:16
US recession by end of 2026? No -14 $-12 88¢ $-13 $-1 06-08 18:29
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No -13 $-11 100¢ $-13 $-1 06-09 11:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -14 $-11 86¢ $-12 $-1 06-11 12:11
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No -15 $-12 84¢ $-12 $-0 06-17 10:20
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -14 $-12 84¢ $-12 $-0 06-17 10:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +14 $10 82¢ $12 +$2 06-11 12:23
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes -12 $-11 99¢ $-12 $-1 06-03 21:16
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-11 78¢ $-11 $-0 06-11 12:23
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -13 $-11 86¢ $-11 $-0 06-10 17:01
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +16 $10 69¢ $11 +$1 06-08 15:23
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +18 $10 62¢ $11 +$1 06-05 15:17
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -13 $-11 84¢ $-11 $-0 06-11 12:25
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +15 $10 74¢ $11 +$1 06-18 16:17
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-12 82¢ $-11 +$1 06-17 10:03
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -12 $-10 88¢ $-11 $-1 06-25 10:56
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? No -14 $-11 76¢ $-11 $-0 06-25 10:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -12 $-10 88¢ $-11 $-1 06-12 19:22
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No +14 $10 73¢ $11 +$1 06-15 12:33
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +17 $10 63¢ $10 +$0 06-29 15:07
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -11 $-10 90¢ $-10 $-0 06-08 15:14
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -12 $-10 89¢ $-10 $-0 06-12 19:17
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +14 $10 72¢ $10 +$0 07-01 14:10
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +16 $10 63¢ $10 +$0 07-01 14:11
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +14 $10 72¢ $10 $-0 07-01 08:00
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +21 $10 46¢ $10 $-0 06-18 15:58