Past-Reverse 0xb8fc28…e6ed7f
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Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
84.2%
Resolved
6
Trades
412
lifetime
Volume
$4.77K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$380
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-21 07:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
39% 75% +$10
Other
38% 50% $-8
Tech
14% — —
Crypto
7% — —
Sports
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes +26 $10 92¢ $24 +$14 06-11 12:03
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +33 $10 59¢ $20 +$10 07-03 14:13
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -20 $-17 86¢ $-17 $-0 07-21 07:26
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -23 $-17 76¢ $-17 $-0 07-22 14:20
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +22 $10 70¢ $15 +$5 06-03 09:16
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -16 $-14 82¢ $-14 +$0 07-10 18:29
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? No -14 $-11 93¢ $-13 $-3 06-25 10:55
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-11 88¢ $-13 $-2 06-11 12:23
US recession by end of 2026? No -14 $-12 88¢ $-13 $-1 06-08 18:29
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No -15 $-12 84¢ $-12 $-0 06-17 10:20
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -16 $-13 78¢ $-12 +$0 07-14 13:03
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +22 $10 56¢ $12 +$2 06-25 09:21
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +16 $10 74¢ $12 +$2 06-08 15:23
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +18 $10 66¢ $12 +$2 06-05 15:17
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +19 $10 62¢ $12 +$2 07-10 18:30
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -13 $-11 88¢ $-12 $-0 06-10 17:01
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -13 $-11 88¢ $-12 $-1 06-11 12:25
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +15 $10 77¢ $11 +$1 06-18 16:17
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +16 $10 69¢ $11 +$1 06-29 15:04
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -11 $-10 95¢ $-11 $-1 06-08 15:14
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-12 82¢ $-11 +$1 06-17 10:03
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -12 $-10 88¢ $-11 $-1 06-25 10:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -14 $-12 74¢ $-11 +$1 06-17 10:23
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $10 52¢ $11 +$1 06-10 08:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -12 $-10 86¢ $-11 $-1 06-12 19:22
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +15 $10 68¢ $10 +$0 07-22 14:15
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +67 $10 16¢ $10 +$0 07-14 12:26
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -12 $-10 89¢ $-10 $-0 06-12 19:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -14 $-11 72¢ $-10 +$1 06-11 12:11
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +18 $10 55¢ $10 $-0 06-17 09:41