Past-Reverse 0xb8fc28…e6ed7f
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Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
84.2%
Resolved
6
Trades
280
lifetime
Volume
$3.20K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$327
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-11 12:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
46% 75% +$10
Other
35% 50% $-8
Tech
13% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +23 $10 82¢ $19 +$9 05-29 09:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -19 $-16 94¢ $-17 $-1 06-08 15:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -16 $-13 84¢ $-14 $-0 06-11 12:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +20 $10 68¢ $14 +$4 06-03 00:13
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +71 $10 16¢ $12 +$2 06-05 15:15
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No -13 $-11 92¢ $-12 $-0 06-09 11:26
US recession by end of 2026? No -14 $-12 80¢ $-11 +$0 06-08 18:29
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-11 78¢ $-11 $-0 06-11 12:23
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No -15 $-11 78¢ $-11 $-0 06-11 12:20
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -13 $-11 86¢ $-11 $-0 06-10 17:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +18 $10 62¢ $11 +$1 06-05 15:17
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -13 $-11 84¢ $-11 $-0 06-11 12:25
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes -12 $-11 89¢ $-11 +$0 06-03 21:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -14 $-11 74¢ $-10 +$1 06-11 12:11
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $10 50¢ $10 +$0 06-10 08:15
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -11 $-10 90¢ $-10 +$0 06-08 15:14
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +24 $10 42¢ $10 +$0 06-11 12:21
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +12 $10 82¢ $10 $-0 06-08 15:20
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes +26 $10 38¢ $10 $-0 06-11 12:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +14 $10 68¢ $10 $-0 06-11 12:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +12 $10 82¢ $10 $-0 06-05 15:14
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +13 $10 74¢ $10 $-0 06-04 20:34
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No +17 $10 57¢ $10 $-0 06-11 12:26
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +15 $10 64¢ $9 $-1 06-11 12:06
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +16 $10 57¢ $9 $-1 06-08 15:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +22 $10 42¢ $9 $-1 06-03 09:16
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +42 $10 22¢ $9 $-1 06-08 15:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $10 44¢ $9 $-1 06-05 15:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +32 $10 26¢ $9 $-1 06-05 15:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +12 $10 66¢ $8 $-2 05-29 07:16