Realized P&L (30d)
+$76
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
75.7%
Resolved (30d)
10
Trades (30d)
4
814 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$357
$17.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$269
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-07 01:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Other
71% 53% -$12
Politics
17% 58% -$3
Tech
5% 63% +$97
Sports
4% 35% -$554
Crypto
3% 41% -$47
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +34 $10 98¢ $34 +$24 07-03 13:46
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -23 -$17 98¢ $-22 -$5 07-22 14:20
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +36 $20 56¢ $20 +$0 08-24 17:32
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -16 -$14 99¢ $-16 -$2 07-10 18:29
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -18 -$15 84¢ $-15 -$1 07-21 07:29
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -15 -$11 95¢ $-14 -$3 06-11 12:23
US recession by end of 2026? No -14 -$12 94¢ $-13 -$2 06-08 18:29
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +77 $10 18¢ $13 +$3 09-11 16:19
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -15 -$13 85¢ $-13 $0 06-18 16:01
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -13 -$11 97¢ $-13 -$2 06-10 17:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -14 -$11 82¢ $-12 $0 06-11 12:11
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +67 $10 18¢ $12 +$2 07-14 12:26
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +112 $10 10¢ $12 +$2 07-01 14:09
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +466 $10 2¢ $10 +$0 05-09 12:56
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -27 -$13 36¢ $-10 +$4 09-12 11:42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $10 18¢ $9 -$1 05-06 08:14
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -26 -$10 33¢ $-9 +$1 09-12 11:41
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -23 -$6 26¢ $-6 +$1 09-12 12:54
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -23 -$6 18¢ $-4 +$2 09-12 12:51
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes -78 -$4 5¢ $-4 +$0 09-12 12:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -16 -$2 18¢ $-3 $0 09-12 11:51
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes -27 -$3 9¢ $-2 +$0 09-12 12:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -59 -$2 3¢ $-2 +$0 09-12 11:50
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +48 $10 3¢ $1 -$8 08-19 13:01
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +59 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 06-04 20:33