Past-Reverse 0xb8fc28…e6ed7f Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$533
Unrealized P&L
+$39
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved
380
Trades
814
lifetime
Volume
$17.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$284
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-07 01:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 131 days
Categories
Other
71% 53% -$16
Politics
17% 58% -$14
Tech
5% 63% +$97
Sports
4% 35% -$554
Crypto
3% 41% -$47
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +34 $10 100¢ $34 +$24 07-03 13:46
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +466 $10 6¢ $26 +$16 05-09 12:56
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -23 -$17 98¢ $-22 -$5 07-22 14:20
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +36 $20 57¢ $21 +$1 08-24 17:32
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +112 $10 17¢ $20 +$10 07-01 14:09
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -18 -$15 91¢ $-17 -$2 07-21 07:29
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -16 -$14 98¢ $-16 -$2 07-10 18:29
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +77 $10 20¢ $15 +$5 09-11 16:19
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -15 -$11 97¢ $-14 -$3 06-11 12:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -15 -$13 92¢ $-14 -$1 06-18 16:01
US recession by end of 2026? No -14 -$12 96¢ $-14 -$2 06-08 18:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -14 -$11 90¢ $-13 -$1 06-11 12:11
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -13 -$11 93¢ $-12 -$1 06-10 17:01
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -27 -$13 36¢ $-9 +$4 09-12 11:42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $10 18¢ $9 -$1 05-06 08:14
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -26 -$10 29¢ $-7 +$2 09-12 11:41
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -23 -$6 30¢ $-7 -$1 09-12 12:51
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +67 $10 8¢ $5 -$5 07-14 12:26
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes -78 -$4 3¢ $-2 +$1 09-12 12:42
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes -27 -$3 7¢ $-2 +$1 09-12 12:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -16 -$2 11¢ $-2 +$1 09-12 11:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -59 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 09-12 11:50
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +48 $10 2¢ $1 -$9 08-19 13:01
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -23 -$6 1¢ $-0 +$6 09-12 12:54