Realized P&L
+$4.30K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.21K
Hit rate
61.0%
Resolved
1,969
Trades
3,871
lifetime
Volume
$121.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$2.69K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 14:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 254 days
Categories
Other
58% 58% -$1,217
Politics
18% 58% -$699
Crypto
13% 57% +$5,723
Sports
7% 63% +$107
Tech
4% 70% +$379
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +1,879 $924 56¢ $1.1K +$138 09-09 10:02
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,274 $202 25¢ $321 +$119 09-09 06:43
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +1,084 $268 27¢ $289 +$22 08-24 04:00
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +242 $183 71¢ $172 -$11 10-27 02:47
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -3,346 -$1,431 4¢ $-120 +$1,311 06-11 02:35
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +158 $89 72¢ $115 +$26 08-24 03:57
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No -116 -$99 96¢ $-111 -$13 06-03 18:04
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +760 $84 11¢ $86 +$3 08-24 05:27
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,720 $298 3¢ $84 -$214 09-19 02:55
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -228 $54 27¢ $-62 -$116 05-29 15:58
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +76 $62 81¢ $61 $0 09-11 09:07
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +25 $9 98¢ $25 +$16 07-03 04:03
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +24 $10 92¢ $22 +$12 07-24 09:21
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? Yes -45 -$45 37¢ $-17 +$28 05-20 02:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +348 $30 4¢ $14 -$16 07-10 04:15
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +285 $75 4¢ $12 -$63 09-14 03:15
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 06-03 17:43
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +107 $20 10¢ $10 -$10 05-09 13:30
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 05-16 07:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +53 $10 18¢ $10 $0 07-16 08:41
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +73 $11 14¢ $10 -$2 07-22 08:26
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +10 $7 96¢ $10 +$3 08-27 02:41
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +10 $6 94¢ $9 +$3 08-27 02:41
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11 $5 66¢ $7 +$2 07-03 03:11
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +21 $9 36¢ $7 -$2 10-13 03:02
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +18 $5 40¢ $7 +$2 06-06 09:40
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +100 $10 7¢ $7 -$3 07-06 08:26
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +7 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 06-10 03:09
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +47 $20 14¢ $6 -$14 05-28 06:31
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +143 $18 4¢ $6 -$12 06-08 18:40