Realized P&L
+$303
Unrealized P&L
-$467
Hit rate
67.9%
Resolved
71
Trades
2,864
lifetime
Volume
$109.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$2.12K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-15 14:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
59% 64% +$203
Politics
19% 100% +$22
Crypto
10% 100% +$77
Sports
7%
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -2,846 $-1,301 56¢ $-1608 $-307 06-11 02:35
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,408 $292 11¢ $155 $-137 06-02 18:03
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No -116 $-99 88¢ $-102 $-3 06-03 18:04
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +162 $58 44¢ $72 +$14 05-29 15:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -62 $-32 34¢ $-21 +$11 06-01 07:36
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -22 $-20 98¢ $-21 $-1 06-08 08:08
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +47 $20 36¢ $17 $-3 05-28 06:31
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +143 $18 $13 $-5 06-08 18:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +37 $10 36¢ $13 +$3 06-08 08:10
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 88¢ $10 $-0 06-03 17:43
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +11 $5 86¢ $9 +$4 05-30 01:44
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +68 $5 12¢ $8 +$3 06-12 08:11
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes +13 $5 62¢ $8 +$3 06-11 08:35
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +7 $5 100¢ $7 +$2 06-03 17:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +62 $10 10¢ $6 $-4 06-03 17:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +62 $5 $6 +$1 06-08 08:10
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +9 $5 58¢ $5 +$0 06-03 17:35
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes +7 $5 71¢ $5 +$0 06-15 08:03
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $5 48¢ $5 $-0 06-10 07:44
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +7 $5 66¢ $5 $-0 06-10 03:09
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +12 $5 38¢ $5 $-0 06-10 03:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +7 $5 62¢ $4 $-1 06-12 04:00
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? Yes +247 $20 $3 $-17 05-28 06:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +16 $5 16¢ $3 $-2 06-08 08:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +54 $25 $2 $-23 06-14 02:32
Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale? Yes -24 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-04 02:20
Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale? Yes -17 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-04 02:20
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +11 $5 $1 $-4 06-08 08:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +7 $3 10¢ $1 $-3 06-11 08:38
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale? Yes -11 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-04 02:20