Realized P&L
-$36.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.45K
Hit rate
80.7%
Resolved
110
Trades
2,094
lifetime
Volume
$1.32M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$628
Open exposure
$79.4K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-06 02:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Politics
53% 83% -$43,076
Other
34% 91% -$10,994
Crypto
9% 80% +$12,245
Sports
4% 92% +$5,085
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +20,319 $19,015 99¢ $20.1K +$1,039 11-05 07:28
Trump out as President before 2027? No +12,328 $12,445 97¢ $11.9K -$518 11-05 05:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -11,530 -$11,136 98¢ $-11294 -$158 10-19 01:22
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -7,154 -$6,525 98¢ $-6979 -$454 05-30 10:04
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +8,221 $5,025 56¢ $4.6K -$380 11-06 02:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -3,568 -$3,283 97¢ $-3450 -$168 08-14 02:27
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +117,895 $2,212 3¢ $3.4K +$1,148 11-05 08:23
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3,687 $3,001 73¢ $2.7K -$318 10-29 14:37
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3,408 $2,999 72¢ $2.5K -$528 09-23 04:47
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -2,446 -$2,218 99¢ $-2412 -$193 04-30 13:34
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -2,350 -$2,115 98¢ $-2292 -$178 04-30 08:45
michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195 No +2,304 $2,002 97¢ $2.2K +$232 07-03 02:56
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -2,000 -$1,720 98¢ $-1967 -$247 04-29 05:22
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -1,300 -$1,183 97¢ $-1265 -$82 05-06 19:14
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +1,100 $1,030 94¢ $1.0K +$7 11-05 13:59
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +784 $766 98¢ $766 $0 11-05 07:24
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +348 -$146 98¢ $340 +$486 10-23 13:13
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +171 $166 97¢ $166 $0 11-05 07:23
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +29 $28 96¢ $28 +$0 11-05 02:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +3,160 $1,798 0¢ $3 -$1,795 11-03 01:47
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +1 -$42 97¢ $1 +$43 11-04 02:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$167 88¢ $0 +$167 09-06 01:47
New pandemic in 2026? No +0 -$236 98¢ $0 +$236 09-03 16:20
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$149 92¢ $0 +$149 08-28 16:35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$64 12¢ $0 +$64 07-31 13:32