Shocked-Brink — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$62.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

869

lifetime

Volume

$617.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$710

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-14 05:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

48% 0% $-62,239

Other

27% — —

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	57	$113.5K	98,037	103,872	-5,835	open	—	06-02 01:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	38	$61.8K	65,880	0	+65,880	Yes	$-61,849	05-06 02:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	42	$47.2K	29,319	30,579	-1,260	open	—	08-02 13:45
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	49	$42.2K	20,130	22,493	-2,363	open	—	01-31 14:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	16	$31.1K	26,707	5,800	+20,907	open	—	04-30 05:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	34	$29.5K	31,000	0	+31,000	open	—	01-31 14:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	9	$20.2K	10,196	10,196	+0	open	—	04-30 07:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	19	$15.1K	7,719	7,719	+0	open	—	05-20 07:35
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	70	$12.8K	13,803	0	+13,803	open	—	07-15 18:44
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	21	$12.1K	9,686	3,571	+6,115	open	—	05-13 06:55
netanyahu out by march 31 854	9	$11.9K	12,456	0	+12,456	open	—	03-29 06:27
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	2	$10.2K	11,598	0	+11,598	open	—	07-02 14:17
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	1	$10.0K	10,050	0	+10,050	open	—	07-20 08:32
world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	19	$9.4K	4,873	4,674	+199	open	—	07-12 22:08
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	7	$8.6K	8,802	0	+8,802	open	—	01-03 06:59
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	4	$8.5K	8,532	8,532	+0	open	—	01-03 07:36
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	38	$8.4K	8,708	0	+8,708	open	—	07-17 05:44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	3	$8.0K	9,314	0	+9,314	open	—	07-01 19:22
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	2	$8.0K	9,130	0	+9,130	open	—	06-02 01:15
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	16	$7.5K	7,592	0	+7,592	open	—	06-28 08:19
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	4	$7.4K	7,427	0	+7,427	open	—	07-24 02:13
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	29	$6.4K	7,418	0	+7,418	open	—	02-15 10:49
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	3	$6.2K	3,110	3,110	+0	open	—	08-02 07:39
zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	11	$6.1K	3,153	3,183	-30	open	—	03-01 09:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	13	$5.9K	6,433	8,190	-1,757	open	—	03-01 02:16
cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	5	$5.8K	2,984	2,984	+0	open	—	01-05 20:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	16	$5.5K	7,750	0	+7,750	open	—	08-14 03:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$5.5K	5,693	0	+5,693	open	—	07-27 12:18
will zelenskyy attend the world economic forum	4	$5.0K	5,108	0	+5,108	open	—	01-22 12:30
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	5	$4.9K	2,800	2,800	-0	open	—	06-21 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 05:06:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,115	45¢	$502	0xb9316c…
08-14 03:08:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	2,239	67¢	$1,500	0x16d7f6…
08-14 02:27:57	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	3,568	92¢	$3,283	0x02e046…
08-13 17:22:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	92	71¢	$65	0xdf9948…
08-13 17:11:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$5	0xffed04…
08-13 16:27:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	207	71¢	$147	0xc5e2da…
08-13 16:03:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	796	71¢	$565	0x7da09d…
08-13 15:26:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	207	71¢	$147	0x0314d2…
08-13 15:11:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x24ba8f…
08-13 15:00:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0ef9cf…
08-13 09:15:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	8	71¢	$5	0x8abffe…
08-13 09:11:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	80	71¢	$57	0xe7b9ee…
08-13 00:03:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,548	46¢	$712	0x58260b…
08-12 23:58:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,300	46¢	$598	0xb26a6a…
08-12 23:38:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x2c1f16…
08-12 22:56:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xdc79a6…
08-12 22:50:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	896	46¢	$412	0xd401b8…
08-12 22:26:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	61	46¢	$28	0x03d358…
08-12 22:02:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0xd6c604…
08-12 21:56:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0x8028af…
08-12 21:44:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	182	46¢	$84	0x7caadf…
08-12 21:28:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x969cf3…
08-12 20:56:51	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	BUY	894	10¢	$89	0x5b4af6…
08-12 20:35:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x95385d…
08-12 18:09:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xc03b45…
08-12 18:03:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	80	46¢	$37	0xbd3d2e…
08-12 17:44:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xa6d07a…
08-12 16:52:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x227f86…
08-12 16:52:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x640cb5…
08-12 15:43:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x06d90b…
08-12 14:52:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	1,354	73¢	$988	0x82cedb…
08-12 14:50:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	741	73¢	$541	0x18fc97…
08-12 14:49:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xe64db5…
08-12 14:48:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb4a25b…
08-12 14:48:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xb40d3b…
08-12 14:48:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbe9942…
08-12 14:48:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	350	46¢	$161	0x8191e6…
08-12 14:39:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x1cfc05…
08-12 14:39:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x60a4f2…
08-12 14:36:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x67ab18…
08-12 14:09:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x897343…
08-12 14:09:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x387bf8…
08-12 14:01:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	926	46¢	$426	0x9de87e…
08-12 13:59:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xab5847…
08-12 13:48:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	216	46¢	$99	0x18e5de…
08-12 13:37:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	133	73¢	$97	0x480999…
08-12 13:27:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	222	73¢	$162	0xd3b78e…
08-12 13:03:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x26f592…
08-12 12:44:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	563	46¢	$259	0xe3eb18…
08-12 12:24:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0x83ff13…
08-12 12:02:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	1,351	74¢	$1,000	0x9e5416…
08-11 23:59:18	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	BUY	106	10¢	$11	0xf67d41…
08-11 04:01:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x8b2e72…
08-11 04:00:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1,064	94¢	$1,000	0xa620dc…
08-11 01:44:21	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,084	92¢	$1,911	0xdb7187…
08-10 07:40:25	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	581	96¢	$560	0xe58ea4…
08-09 16:11:33	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0xbd9f31…
08-09 06:35:04	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	443	96¢	$427	0x967b2a…
08-09 03:09:25	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0x8084c6…
08-08 02:46:40	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x8e49d5…
08-08 02:46:39	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	192	89¢	$171	0xc269a1…
08-07 17:36:37	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	41	89¢	$36	0xbeecc0…
08-07 11:49:55	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	1,170	89¢	$1,041	0xa7888c…
08-07 11:44:06	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	1,985	89¢	$1,766	0x53ef1d…
08-07 02:45:09	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	170	96¢	$164	0xe48544…
08-06 12:27:54	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	1,050	99¢	$1,040	0x5d8b0a…
08-05 20:45:47	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x075a76…
08-05 18:10:06	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x94ca76…
08-05 18:10:05	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$8	0xda33f2…
08-05 18:10:03	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x33e168…
08-05 17:00:30	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0xcb6cc6…
08-05 15:58:42	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	35	91¢	$32	0x3c172f…
08-05 15:46:35	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x640733…
08-05 11:52:11	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xe86a22…
08-05 09:33:30	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	182	91¢	$166	0xbb799f…
08-02 13:45:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	26,754	80¢	$21,314	0x66c5bd…
08-02 07:39:41	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	3,110	100¢	$3,107	0xbb2f1a…
07-31 13:32:39	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xeeeeac…
07-31 13:32:39	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xc106ac…
07-31 13:32:39	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x8f341c…
07-31 13:32:39	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,207	31¢	$684	0x44333a…
07-31 13:32:39	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	31¢	$24	0x073d73…
07-31 11:38:51	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	31¢	$43	0x27e432…
07-31 09:42:42	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by december 31 2026 20260701160841000 645	No	SELL	1,320	80¢	$1,056	0xd8fa3f…
07-31 05:01:21	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	93¢	$332	0x88424b…
07-31 03:06:24	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	329	100¢	$328	0x2efca0…
07-30 07:59:44	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,432	28¢	$690	0x452b64…
07-30 07:43:42	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	470	100¢	$469	0x7511d5…
07-27 12:18:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	179	97¢	$174	0x32a8b8…
07-27 10:19:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	314	97¢	$306	0x744890…
07-27 08:49:00	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,016	98¢	$1,000	0x945c92…
07-27 08:47:30	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x280eb3…
07-27 08:46:37	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	276	91¢	$250	0x4313d1…
07-27 05:25:31	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	BUY	713	98¢	$700	0x9cb1be…
07-27 05:18:04	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	216	93¢	$200	0x452494…
07-27 05:13:16	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	177	99¢	$176	0xa4d25f…
07-27 03:09:12	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x821df4…
07-27 03:07:04	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x68ee72…
07-27 03:04:42	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x16afe1…
07-27 03:02:33	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x6c0556…