Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
92
lifetime
Volume
$409
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$157
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 07-01 13:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
58%
Crypto
22% 50% $-1
Tech
12%
Politics
9%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -57 $-29 36¢ $-20 +$9 06-01 13:13
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +24 $5 70¢ $17 +$12 06-10 12:22
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -26 $-12 55¢ $-14 $-2 06-12 08:22
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -43 $-5 18¢ $-8 $-3 06-15 18:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -26 $-8 26¢ $-7 +$1 06-12 08:27
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -34 $-9 20¢ $-7 +$2 06-12 08:08
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +37 $5 16¢ $6 +$1 06-06 12:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +45 $8 12¢ $6 $-3 06-12 14:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -37 $-8 14¢ $-5 +$3 06-12 08:27
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes +43 $5 10¢ $4 $-1 06-06 12:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $5 12¢ $4 $-1 06-01 13:19
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +36 $6 12¢ $4 $-2 06-15 18:43
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +37 $5 11¢ $4 $-1 06-06 12:49
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +57 $8 $4 $-4 06-12 09:39
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +35 $4 12¢ $4 $-0 06-28 21:13
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +31 $4 12¢ $4 $-0 06-30 11:20
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +45 $8 $4 $-4 06-09 14:38
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +26 $3 14¢ $4 +$1 06-10 12:22
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +15 $3 22¢ $3 +$0 06-14 15:21
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $5 $3 $-2 06-07 09:14
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes +15 $3 20¢ $3 $-0 06-13 21:56
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +28 $4 11¢ $3 $-1 06-27 15:19
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +32 $5 $3 $-2 06-01 13:14
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes +14 $3 18¢ $3 +$0 06-10 12:22
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes +22 $3 12¢ $3 $-1 06-09 13:12
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +26 $5 10¢ $2 $-3 06-01 13:13
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $5 $2 $-3 06-01 13:12
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +43 $5 $2 $-3 06-01 13:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +15 $3 16¢ $2 $-1 06-14 02:27
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +21 $3 11¢ $2 $-1 06-09 14:39