Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
101
lifetime
Volume
$452
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$133
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 07-20 12:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
57%
Crypto
20% 50% $-1
Politics
12%
Tech
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -26 $-12 72¢ $-18 $-6 06-12 08:22
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -57 $-29 23¢ $-13 +$16 06-01 13:13
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -43 $-5 16¢ $-7 $-2 06-15 18:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +45 $8 14¢ $6 $-2 06-12 14:52
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +45 $8 11¢ $5 $-3 06-09 14:38
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +37 $5 13¢ $5 $-0 06-06 12:49
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +37 $5 12¢ $4 $-1 06-06 12:49
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $5 12¢ $4 $-1 06-07 09:14
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +36 $6 12¢ $4 $-2 06-15 18:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -26 $-8 16¢ $-4 +$4 06-12 08:27
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -34 $-9 12¢ $-4 +$5 06-12 08:08
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +12 $2 33¢ $4 +$2 07-01 08:05
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +15 $3 26¢ $4 +$1 06-14 02:27
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +15 $3 24¢ $4 +$1 06-14 15:21
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +57 $8 $4 $-4 06-12 09:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -37 $-8 10¢ $-4 +$5 06-12 08:27
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +21 $3 16¢ $4 +$1 06-09 14:39
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +35 $4 10¢ $3 $-1 06-28 21:13
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +26 $3 12¢ $3 +$0 06-10 12:22
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes +43 $5 $3 $-2 06-06 12:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $5 $3 $-2 06-01 13:19
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +16 $2 18¢ $3 +$1 07-01 09:31
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes +15 $3 18¢ $3 $-0 06-13 21:56
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +28 $4 10¢ $3 $-1 06-27 15:19
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +31 $4 $2 $-2 06-30 11:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +26 $5 10¢ $2 $-3 06-01 13:10
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $5 $2 $-3 06-01 13:12
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +43 $5 $2 $-3 06-01 13:18
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +26 $5 $2 $-3 06-01 13:13
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +32 $5 $2 $-3 06-01 13:14